Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
61
Trades
98,081
lifetime
Volume
$122.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-11 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
66% 39% $-2
Politics
17% 31% $-6
Sports
9% 40% +$3
Crypto
8% 0% $-6
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1990 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +59 $-2 $4 +$6 06-11 22:30
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +12 $3 $1 $-2 06-09 21:10
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +60 $1 $1 +$0 06-10 01:22
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +4 $0 17¢ $1 +$0 05-29 08:55
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $0 48¢ $0 +$0 06-04 18:21
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes -4 $-1 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 21:18
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-31 06:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes +11 $0 $0 +$0 06-05 12:51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Yes +1 $1 16¢ $0 $-0 06-05 20:46
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $-1 $0 +$2 06-05 09:20
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 30¢ $0 $-0 06-10 12:21
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-01 06:22
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +1 $-1 $0 +$1 06-10 23:06
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +0 $0 $0 +$0 06-10 03:26