Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
61
Trades
102,809
lifetime
Volume
$129.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-22 17:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
64% 39% $-2
Politics
19% 31% $-6
Sports
8% 40% +$3
Crypto
8% 0% $-6
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 693 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -11 $-5 78¢ $-9 $-4 06-19 19:16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +14 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 07-21 19:19
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +7 $2 22¢ $2 $-1 06-15 17:00
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes +14 $2 $1 $-1 07-16 16:27
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +4 $0 24¢ $1 +$1 05-29 08:55
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +22 $1 $1 $-0 07-22 16:06
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $0 77¢ $1 +$0 06-04 18:21
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-25 06:02
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 06-26 11:37
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 25¢ $0 +$0 07-02 12:37
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026? Yes +2 $0 $0 +$0 07-03 09:26
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-30 11:47
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +0 $-1 24¢ $0 +$1 07-08 20:07
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 $-0 $0 +$0 07-22 08:29
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-01 06:22
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 13¢ $0 $-0 06-10 12:21