Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
61
Trades
101,016
lifetime
Volume
$127.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-02 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
64% 39% $-2
Politics
19% 31% $-6
Sports
8% 40% +$3
Crypto
8% 0% $-6
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -11 $-5 70¢ $-8 $-3 06-19 19:16
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +7 $2 24¢ $2 $-1 06-15 17:00
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +19 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 00:08
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-25 06:02
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2 $0 30¢ $1 +$0 06-29 02:25
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +4 $0 20¢ $1 +$0 05-29 08:55
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $0 65¢ $1 +$0 06-04 18:21
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 16¢ $0 +$0 06-26 11:37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +48 $5 $0 $-5 06-28 06:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -9 $-43 $-0 +$42 07-02 04:11
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +3 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 11:47
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-01 06:22
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 $-0 06-10 12:21
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes -4 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-20 14:45
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $-4 $0 +$4 06-16 07:11