Likely-Exhibit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

Trades

103,350

lifetime

Volume

$130.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-07 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

64% 39% $-2

Politics

19% 31% $-6

Sports

8% 40% +$3

Crypto

8% 0% $-6

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 693 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	631	$1.6K	7,058	7,127	-69	open	—	05-25 13:14
bitboy convicted	1,117	$1.4K	5,618	5,618	+0	open	—	04-01 00:22
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	807	$1.2K	6,086	6,097	-10	open	—	07-02 20:48
will axiom be accused of insider trading	542	$936	3,350	3,348	+1	open	—	02-26 13:36
iran closes its airspace by june 15	311	$735	1,952	1,952	+0	open	—	06-07 19:00
will iran strike israel on march 4	333	$718	2,399	2,399	+0	open	—	03-06 19:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	377	$659	3,893	3,893	+0	open	—	04-03 15:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	522	$635	6,992	6,189	+802	open	—	06-17 18:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	358	$629	3,793	3,702	+91	open	—	05-28 09:25
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	316	$627	2,734	2,678	+56	open	—	06-14 21:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	369	$569	3,692	3,691	+2	open	—	04-25 14:29
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	259	$560	1,512	1,512	+0	open	—	03-30 21:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	328	$533	3,526	3,392	+133	open	—	06-23 08:11
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	287	$510	2,387	2,387	+0	open	—	03-26 05:28
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	300	$481	2,933	2,933	+0	open	—	04-03 22:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	253	$455	3,860	3,860	+0	open	—	04-20 21:53
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	181	$455	855	855	+0	open	—	04-16 12:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 8	321	$454	2,728	2,728	+0	open	—	03-08 14:16
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	159	$448	643	643	+0	open	—	04-09 06:38
will italy win the 2026 world baseball classic	403	$441	4,982	4,982	+0	open	—	03-17 02:29
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	260	$439	3,869	3,849	+20	open	—	03-05 17:21
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	207	$421	1,597	1,606	-9	open	—	02-28 05:46
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	151	$415	1,239	1,212	+27	open	—	04-22 20:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	276	$411	3,779	3,779	+0	open	—	04-25 15:19
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	284	$410	3,898	3,898	+0	open	—	03-30 07:43
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	183	$390	1,746	1,745	+1	open	—	03-23 16:48
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	184	$369	1,812	1,812	+0	open	—	03-22 13:58
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	165	$362	1,703	1,701	+1	open	—	02-26 15:13
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 30corhigher	259	$360	2,109	2,119	-10	open	—	04-09 08:27
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	292	$359	2,855	2,855	+0	open	—	03-29 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 17:36:58	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x994706…
08-07 15:21:15	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xef9690…
08-05 20:29:59	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xf34fe1…
08-05 20:29:48	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xb7d0e2…
08-05 20:29:00	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xc1b320…
08-05 20:26:26	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xad67a1…
08-05 20:26:06	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x7e318e…
08-05 20:10:09	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xf758c0…
08-05 20:10:09	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x925a5d…
08-05 19:32:11	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x437c01…
08-05 19:31:57	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xcda9d7…
08-05 19:24:18	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x636dfe…
08-05 15:20:14	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x87e7a6…
08-05 15:20:12	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x3d6584…
08-05 14:59:08	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x28f1d2…
08-05 14:29:15	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x06b9db…
08-05 09:42:54	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611339	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x04a4ad…
08-05 02:15:27	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x84ecb5…
08-05 02:14:18	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xce9ba2…
08-04 22:55:26	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x6eb90a…
08-04 22:55:24	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe1e759…
08-04 22:28:29	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x582bdb…
08-04 19:51:54	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0ae4af…
08-04 19:44:20	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaec08e…
08-04 19:36:02	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	No	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xf147a6…
08-04 17:55:02	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0xf2efd3…
08-04 17:52:29	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe773da…
08-04 17:51:53	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x1eafbf…
08-04 16:56:21	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe7cfc1…
08-04 14:44:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x19d58a…
08-04 14:44:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x8db162…
08-04 14:09:54	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x0f852f…
08-04 14:02:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x85fb46…
08-04 13:58:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xc48c11…
08-04 13:57:53	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x0a61be…
08-04 13:57:18	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9ded78…
08-04 09:15:45	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x6aebad…
08-03 23:46:56	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xaed706…
08-03 23:46:54	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x6409c4…
08-03 23:28:21	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xc8e350…
08-03 23:28:21	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x077ce0…
08-03 23:04:00	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b0e68…
08-03 23:03:48	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0a43e4…
08-03 23:03:33	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x00a090…
08-03 23:03:24	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xeab8d8…
08-03 23:03:17	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc6dbd4…
08-03 20:32:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x6c7582…
08-03 20:26:47	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xa800d7…
08-03 14:59:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xee9444…
08-03 13:28:05	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x90a1d7…
08-03 13:07:44	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0xf0d9ba…
08-03 13:05:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	7¢	$4	0xf488be…
08-03 12:38:47	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xb28c1f…
08-03 12:35:27	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf69f6f…
08-03 12:35:26	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x170120…
08-03 10:11:30	will trump praise mark rutte in august 20260728221212343	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x1b7943…
08-03 10:10:44	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x43d937…
08-03 10:09:38	will trump praise mark rutte in august 20260728221212343	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4efbda…
08-03 09:28:48	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x961600…
08-03 04:27:05	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x793ca8…
08-03 04:27:03	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xbc5fcf…
08-02 21:43:12	will donald trump publicly insult melania trump by august 31 2026 20260730161742255	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x1da085…
08-02 10:47:42	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x3072f7…
08-02 10:47:26	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x2dbbca…
08-01 19:02:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xcbc6f8…
08-01 19:02:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa496e0…
08-01 19:02:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0059a5…
08-01 19:00:54	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x7341bc…
08-01 18:59:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$4	0x1a5470…
08-01 18:59:47	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x71c3c8…
08-01 18:59:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x0a7e45…
08-01 18:59:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x814836…
08-01 18:57:17	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x9c139b…
08-01 18:56:17	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xf512ad…
08-01 18:55:56	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x97e4a3…
08-01 18:55:48	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xdccfe9…
08-01 18:55:36	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xc72a4a…
08-01 18:55:27	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xab44ea…
08-01 18:55:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x991c14…
08-01 18:54:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xe7da95…
08-01 18:54:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x64e109…
08-01 18:54:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x2e96c0…
08-01 18:52:47	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xda45d0…
08-01 18:51:08	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xbac9d8…
08-01 18:50:09	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x691b95…
08-01 18:47:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xea2c33…
08-01 18:47:18	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xcade0d…
08-01 18:46:53	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x98b072…
08-01 18:28:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x6917c9…
08-01 18:27:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xaa1cca…
08-01 18:26:27	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x0df829…
08-01 18:23:35	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x4ab42e…
08-01 18:23:05	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x106877…
08-01 18:22:45	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x11799b…
08-01 18:21:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xf4f05a…
08-01 18:05:09	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x188914…
08-01 17:22:41	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x084420…
08-01 17:22:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x1e6881…
08-01 17:14:36	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe73537…
08-01 17:13:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xf636f4…