Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$4,464
Trades
146
Unique wallets
47
Liquidity
$674
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-23 00:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+87.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $8
vs crowd: 13% YES on $3.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $60 | $595 | $536 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $72 | $905 | $833 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $73 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $253 | $50 | +$203 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | $136 | $125 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $539 | $532 |
| Median | 3 | $12 | $55 | $43 |
| Below median | 11 | $153 | $821 | $668 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $9 | $249 | $240 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $23 | $133 | $110 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $28 | $803 | $775 |
| unranked | 14 | $207 | $338 | $131 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x09b5…8b88 | Yes | +1,595 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 07-19 16:20 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | +686 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-22 05:52 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +500 | $439 | $439 | 2 | 07-23 00:38 |
| Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | +500 | $466 | $466 | 2 | 07-19 16:20 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +335 | $248 | $248 | 2 | 07-22 14:39 |
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +255 | $222 | $222 | 6 | 07-22 05:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +240 | $212 | $212 | 2 | 07-22 05:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +131 | $172 | $566 | 6 | 07-23 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +128 | $87 | $87 | 5 | 07-22 17:17 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +120 | $106 | $106 | 4 | 07-22 05:52 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +110 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-13 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +107 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 07-22 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 07-22 05:52 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | +75 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 07-22 05:52 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +60 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 07-22 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +54 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 07-22 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-22 08:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-22 09:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $5 | $9 | 6 | 07-23 00:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-22 14:40 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-22 14:39 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $5 | $17 | 3 | 07-23 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 16:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 14:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-20 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 18:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 00:38:31 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0x88c5d8… |
| 07-23 00:38:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x88c5d8… |
| 07-23 00:38:31 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x88c5d8… |
| 07-23 00:38:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 72 | 75¢ | $54 | 0x88c5d8… |
| 07-22 17:17:52 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 69¢ | $34 | 0x6bc628… |
| 07-22 17:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x6bc628… |
| 07-22 17:17:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x6bc628… |
| 07-22 14:40:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x74cdcc… |
| 07-22 14:40:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x74cdcc… |
| 07-22 14:40:13 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x74cdcc… |
| 07-22 14:40:13 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x74cdcc… |
| 07-22 14:39:16 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5bcb73… |
| 07-22 14:39:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 27¢ | $12 | 0x5bcb73… |
| 07-22 14:39:16 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | BUY | 201 | 74¢ | $148 | 0x5bcb73… |
| 07-22 14:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 26¢ | $14 | 0x5bcb73… |
| 07-22 14:39:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 97 | 74¢ | $72 | 0x5bcb73… |
| 07-22 13:31:43 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | BUY | 134 | 74¢ | $99 | 0x5eb42b… |
| 07-22 13:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 26¢ | $14 | 0x5eb42b… |
| 07-22 13:31:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 79 | 74¢ | $58 | 0x5eb42b… |
| 07-22 13:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0x68de95… |
| 07-22 13:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 22 | 68¢ | $15 | 0x68de95… |
| 07-22 13:30:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0x1c7a77… |
| 07-22 13:30:09 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 42 | 68¢ | $29 | 0x1c7a77… |
| 07-22 13:30:09 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x1c7a77… |
| 07-22 12:20:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0xe76e51… |
| 07-22 12:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0xe76e51… |
| 07-22 11:06:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 17 | 74¢ | $12 | 0xf259e1… |
| 07-22 11:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 13 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xf259e1… |
| 07-22 11:06:40 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xf259e1… |
| 07-22 09:20:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xf762f0… |
| 07-22 09:20:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xf762f0… |
| 07-22 08:58:58 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x698bc8… |
| 07-22 08:58:58 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x698bc8… |
| 07-22 07:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 24 | 75¢ | $18 | 0x99ae69… |
| 07-22 07:34:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x99ae69… |
| 07-22 05:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x3339c9… |
| 07-22 05:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x3339c9… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 13 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 120 | 86¢ | $103 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 122 | 87¢ | $107 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-22 05:52:25 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 686 | 15¢ | $100 | 0x7c3d97… |
| 07-20 18:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x5df4a8… |
| 07-20 18:50:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x5df4a8… |
| 07-20 18:50:30 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0x072fd2… |
| 07-20 18:50:30 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0x072fd2… |
| 07-20 02:10:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x034c8e… |
| 07-20 02:10:13 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x034c8e… |
| 07-19 20:33:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 29 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x5e76f3… |
| 07-19 20:33:55 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x5e76f3… |
| 07-19 20:33:55 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x5e76f3… |
| 07-19 16:22:45 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x7f73f9… |
| 07-19 16:22:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7f73f9… |
| 07-19 16:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | Yes | SELL | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x7f73f9… |
| 07-19 16:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x164055… |
| 07-19 16:22:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x164055… |
| 07-19 16:20:43 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0xf40d78… |
| 07-19 16:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xf40d78… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 60 | 91¢ | $55 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 60 | 91¢ | $55 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 146 | 92¢ | $135 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | (anonymous) 0x09b5…8b88 | Yes | BUY | 1,595 | 9¢ | $148 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 120 | 91¢ | $109 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | Yes | SELL | 721 | 10¢ | $72 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-19 16:20:34 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xcce67a… |
| 07-16 19:15:08 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe5ce11… |
| 07-16 19:15:08 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xe5ce11… |
| 07-16 19:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe5ce11… |
| 07-16 19:15:08 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe5ce11… |
| 07-16 19:14:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xbd8204… |
| 07-16 19:14:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xbd8204… |
| 07-16 19:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xa60c10… |
| 07-16 19:04:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xa60c10… |
| 07-16 19:01:32 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2b3ff1… |
| 07-16 19:01:32 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x2b3ff1… |
| 07-16 19:01:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2b3ff1… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 300 | 94¢ | $282 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | Yes | BUY | 849 | 6¢ | $50 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xe71bd6… |
| 07-16 19:01:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 249 | 94¢ | $234 | 0xe71bd6… |