Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$195

Unrealized P&L

+$373

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,316

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$5.41K

8 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 11-03 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

51% 50% +$380

Crypto

32% 48% +$28

Other

17% 60% -$199

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+2,535	$2,358	98¢	$2.5K	+$133	08-22 18:32
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+890	$724	92¢	$814	+$90	09-21 08:26
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No		+600	$414	90¢	$537	+$123	07-22 22:21
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No		+668	$518	78¢	$524	+$6	10-02 05:40
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	Yes		+430	$348	99¢	$425	+$76	07-10 01:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+379	$317	91¢	$346	+$29	09-04 13:32
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No		+210	$206	99¢	$208	+$2	11-03 20:49
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	—	+1,595	$148	4¢	$61	-$87	07-19 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	2,535	0	+2,535	open	—	08-22 18:32
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	4	$888	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$696	09-29 06:26
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$724	890	0	+890	open	—	09-21 08:26
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	3	$518	668	0	+668	open	—	10-02 05:40
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	1	$446	550	0	+550	Yes	+$104	07-10 01:55
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$414	600	0	+600	open	—	07-22 22:21
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	1	$348	430	0	+430	open	—	07-10 01:56
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	2	$337	220	220	+0	open	—	07-22 22:26
Haiti elections delayed again?	3	$320	185	185	+0	Yes	+$13	07-20 16:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$317	379	0	+379	open	—	09-04 13:32
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	1	$288	375	0	+375	No	+$87	07-11 16:54
will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	1	$283	814	0	+814	No	-$283	07-15 18:33
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	2	$219	400	0	+400	Yes	-$219	07-10 02:10
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	1	$206	210	0	+210	open	—	11-03 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:55 UTC	65	$174	328	0	+328	Up	+$21	07-06 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:50 UTC	48	$154	241	0	+241	Down	-$63	07-06 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:00 UTC	57	$151	290	0	+290	Up	+$40	07-06 17:04
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$148	1,595	0	+1,595	open	—	07-19 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:30 UTC	38	$147	191	0	+191	Down	-$2	07-06 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:40 UTC	48	$146	238	0	+238	Up	+$21	07-06 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:25 UTC	56	$141	283	0	+283	Down	+$27	07-06 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:20 UTC	42	$137	218	0	+218	Down	-$8	07-06 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	40	$135	205	0	+205	Down	+$6	07-06 17:39
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	1	$120	164	0	+164	No	-$120	07-10 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:15 UTC	44	$111	218	0	+218	Up	-$2	07-06 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 18:15 UTC	30	$110	151	0	+151	Down	-$20	07-06 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 18:10 UTC	31	$110	150	0	+150	Up	+$11	07-06 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:10 UTC	31	$109	152	0	+152	Down	+$12	07-06 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:00 UTC	27	$106	136	0	+136	Down	+$9	07-06 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:40 UTC	25	$102	125	0	+125	Up	+$8	07-06 19:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:49:04	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x41d39f…
10-02 05:40:18	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x946baf…
10-02 05:26:05	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	258	77¢	$199	0xd04542…
09-29 07:11:11	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x5932f0…
09-29 06:26:57	Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	403	78¢	$314	0xc13219…
09-21 08:26:59	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	565	85¢	$480	0x7a6aa4…
09-21 08:08:47	Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xef59a1…
09-21 08:08:44	Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	577	80¢	$462	0x3d64b0…
09-04 13:34:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x7eb1b8…
09-04 13:32:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	84¢	$270	0xcf8aca…
09-04 13:32:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x454082…
08-22 18:32:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,535	93¢	$1,428	0x4de187…
08-22 18:25:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x6a36a7…
07-22 22:36:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	325	75¢	$244	0xa197ce…
07-22 22:26:06	Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	No	SELL	220	89¢	$196	0x9281b0…
07-22 22:21:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	600	69¢	$414	0x420a1a…
07-20 16:25:42	Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	SELL	185	90¢	$167	0xb5e10e…
07-19 16:21:54	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x2ab215…
07-19 16:20:34	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,595	9¢	$148	0xcce67a…
07-15 18:33:28	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	Yes	BUY	814	35¢	$283	0xe52322…
07-14 17:05:16	will ukraine re enter kamianske by september 30	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa87ead…
07-14 17:04:37	will ukraine re enter kamianske by september 30	No	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0x1a358b…
07-13 18:42:55	Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$96	0x1734d8…
07-11 16:54:34	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	No	BUY	375	77¢	$288	0x9d9f88…
07-10 14:51:22	Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	No	BUY	220	64¢	$141	0x3ff5d6…
07-10 02:29:28	Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xe02923…
07-10 02:26:23	will republicans win any senate or governors election in a biden trump state	Yes	BUY	77	62¢	$48	0x237db5…
07-10 02:24:49	Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	BUY	98	86¢	$84	0x4c9d78…
07-10 02:14:49	Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x3b615b…
07-10 02:13:34	will republicans win any senate or governors election in a biden trump state	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xf46ac7…
07-10 02:10:11	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	No	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0xdb2206…
07-10 02:04:01	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x983803…
07-10 02:02:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?	Yes	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0x1fe677…
07-10 02:00:55	Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	164	73¢	$120	0xb31a9c…
07-10 01:59:40	Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x5dda28…
07-10 01:58:08	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	No	BUY	250	54¢	$135	0x5d754a…
07-10 01:56:29	Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	430	81¢	$348	0xf9f2f9…
07-10 01:55:40	Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	550	81¢	$446	0xbf395e…
07-06 20:21:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6505b4…
07-06 20:21:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4a6183…
07-06 20:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2ace89…
07-06 20:21:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1c0302…
07-06 20:21:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfe0e0f…
07-06 20:21:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0aef6d…
07-06 20:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5ac51d…
07-06 20:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xff796b…
07-06 20:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf13f50…
07-06 20:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x213a36…
07-06 20:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7f95f6…
07-06 20:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5d5aa8…
07-06 20:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x98128a…
07-06 20:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1fbec8…
07-06 20:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe03169…
07-06 20:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x277fe6…
07-06 20:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xda4218…
07-06 20:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbd783f…
07-06 20:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa5548e…
07-06 20:18:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb5aeb…
07-06 20:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5187e…
07-06 20:17:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7ef859…
07-06 20:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x45423a…
07-06 20:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x65c069…
07-06 20:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf0165d…
07-06 20:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x47f142…
07-06 20:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x786d03…
07-06 20:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6fc1b0…
07-06 20:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x835e83…
07-06 20:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x17a5d3…
07-06 20:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xad69d3…
07-06 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x90aece…
07-06 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xfa9c9b…
07-06 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x52571c…
07-06 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x0312d2…
07-06 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe811bc…
07-06 20:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x74b5ff…
07-06 20:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7da1bc…
07-06 20:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe42764…
07-06 20:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfec7cb…
07-06 20:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x06d2ca…
07-06 20:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbf0a1a…
07-06 20:09:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x641f17…
07-06 20:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2fba55…
07-06 20:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0cb159…
07-06 20:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9d3914…
07-06 20:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x746791…
07-06 20:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa2ada5…
07-06 20:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe27729…
07-06 20:07:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe184b0…
07-06 20:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4810a3…
07-06 20:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x12504a…
07-06 20:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf90311…
07-06 20:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcc72be…
07-06 20:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x4ea597…
07-06 20:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7ee31b…
07-06 20:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa6c288…
07-06 20:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc720a8…
07-06 20:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa4aaba…
07-06 20:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8767a2…
07-06 20:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x936ed1…
07-06 20:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b424a…