Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
38.2%
Resolved
35
Trades
121,056
lifetime
Volume
$251.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$302
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-05 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 31% $-67
Other
1%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 1048 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +50 $36 69¢ $34 $-1 07-03 14:16
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +22 $12 67¢ $15 +$3 07-04 08:13
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +29 $14 49¢ $14 +$0 07-02 12:13
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $14 60¢ $14 +$0 07-05 02:47
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-13 74¢ $-12 +$1 06-30 15:11
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +25 $12 46¢ $12 $-0 06-28 08:27
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +14 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 06-29 17:29
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +15 $11 70¢ $11 $-0 07-01 15:04
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No +15 $12 69¢ $10 $-1 06-30 17:33
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +15 $9 67¢ $10 +$1 07-02 17:29
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +13 $9 76¢ $10 +$1 07-01 17:22
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +15 $9 64¢ $10 +$0 07-04 19:41
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +15 $9 63¢ $9 +$1 07-05 04:55
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +13 $10 72¢ $9 $-0 07-04 14:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 62¢ $9 $-0 07-01 10:40
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +12 $9 77¢ $9 +$0 07-04 23:39
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $9 58¢ $9 $-0 07-02 11:01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +16 $9 54¢ $8 $-0 07-02 23:41
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +15 $9 56¢ $8 $-1 07-02 03:23
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? No +14 $9 60¢ $8 $-1 07-01 11:53
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +27 $12 29¢ $8 $-4 07-02 20:07
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +21 $9 35¢ $7 $-2 07-02 21:08
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $9 48¢ $7 $-2 07-03 00:44
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +16 $10 43¢ $7 $-3 07-02 16:56
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? Yes +15 $5 44¢ $7 +$2 07-02 08:41
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No +8 $5 87¢ $7 +$2 07-02 21:09
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +15 $4 44¢ $7 +$3 06-30 11:13
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +10 $4 65¢ $6 +$2 07-01 12:15
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +6 $2 99¢ $6 +$5 06-27 21:00
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 07-04 21:04