Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
open
Total volume
$780
Trades
98
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$1,637
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 07:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $22 | $48 | $26 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $15 | $34 | $19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $33 | $77 | $45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $73 | $65 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | $39 | $29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $15 | $55 | $41 |
| Median | 5 | $5 | $32 | $27 |
| Below median | 6 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $33 | $33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | $23 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 16 | $93 | $33 | +$59 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loving-Snakebite 0xe30b…98cc | Yes | +64 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-03 05:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +54 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-28 05:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +33 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-17 07:16 |
| Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 07-13 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x112a…c730 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-17 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc45…bd17 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-07 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +13 | $2 | $7 | 7 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-12 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x51a1…2335 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 18:18 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 14:16 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-12 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x75c0…8c92 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 07:36:15 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc016b6… |
| 07-20 07:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x51a1…2335 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc016b6… |
| 07-20 07:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc016b6… |
| 07-20 07:36:15 | (anonymous) 0xfc45…bd17 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $23 | 0xc016b6… |
| 07-13 08:28:16 | Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa79ada… |
| 07-13 08:28:16 | Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa79ada… |
| 07-12 19:09:56 | Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xcb184a… |
| 07-12 19:09:56 | Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xcb184a… |
| 07-12 14:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x15489c… |
| 07-12 14:40:14 | Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | BUY | 17 | 91¢ | $15 | 0x15489c… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xa4eb60… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x1698…4f46 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5f3f3b… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5f3f3b… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5f3f3b… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x1698…4f46 | No | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xa4eb60… |
| 07-09 14:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfba93b… |
| 07-09 14:16:28 | Purple-Band 0x52c6…cbf8 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xfba93b… |
| 07-09 14:16:28 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfba93b… |
| 07-06 18:18:56 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x40226f… |
| 07-06 18:18:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x40226f… |
| 07-05 10:17:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x7af46c… |
| 07-05 10:17:46 | Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | SELL | 14 | 78¢ | $11 | 0x7af46c… |
| 07-03 05:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x1c85…1949 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7220ab… |
| 07-03 05:42:37 | Loving-Snakebite 0xe30b…98cc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7220ab… |
| 06-29 06:08:05 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xbdaf16… |
| 06-29 06:08:05 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xbdaf16… |
| 06-21 05:17:46 | Loving-Snakebite 0xe30b…98cc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x80b28b… |
| 06-21 05:17:46 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x80b28b… |
| 06-17 07:16:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x01af8d… |
| 06-17 07:16:29 | (anonymous) 0x112a…c730 | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x01af8d… |
| 06-16 06:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x4926…8cfc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc66a65… |
| 06-16 06:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc66a65… |
| 06-16 05:48:45 | Loving-Snakebite 0xe30b…98cc | Yes | BUY | 49 | 27¢ | $13 | 0x46baa9… |
| 06-16 05:48:45 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x46baa9… |
| 06-16 05:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x46baa9… |
| 06-16 05:48:45 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x46baa9… |
| 06-12 10:54:10 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0d6bdc… |
| 06-12 10:54:10 | Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 23¢ | $16 | 0x0d6bdc… |
| 06-12 10:54:10 | Infinite-Compassionate 0x1e4f…73b1 | No | SELL | 56 | 77¢ | $43 | 0x0d6bdc… |
| 06-12 10:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x0d6bdc… |
| 06-08 19:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x301b4f… |
| 06-08 19:32:46 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x301b4f… |
| 06-08 14:07:33 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x19e17d… |
| 06-08 14:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x19e17d… |
| 06-08 14:07:33 | Spry-Hanger 0x79a2…0228 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x19e17d… |
| 06-07 07:39:22 | (anonymous) 0x75c0…8c92 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xf499e5… |
| 06-07 07:39:22 | Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xf499e5… |
| 06-06 20:14:24 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xc7dd3b… |
| 06-06 20:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc7dd3b… |
| 06-06 07:16:24 | Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x74f06b… |
| 06-06 07:16:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x74f06b… |
| 06-06 07:16:22 | Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xcdb587… |
| 06-06 07:16:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xcdb587… |
| 05-31 06:59:05 | Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 39¢ | $17 | 0xab12e2… |
| 05-31 06:59:05 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 44 | 61¢ | $27 | 0xab12e2… |
| 05-31 03:42:22 | Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x6eba8c… |
| 05-31 03:42:22 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 22 | 71¢ | $16 | 0x6eba8c… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Fast-Rent 0xf41e…3734 | No | SELL | 132 | 58¢ | $77 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x79cf…105a | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 44 | 49¢ | $22 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 32¢ | $13 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 22 | 50¢ | $11 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-30 04:01:01 | Purple-Band 0x52c6…cbf8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x38ec79… |
| 05-30 04:01:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x38ec79… |
| 05-28 18:54:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x809d88… |
| 05-28 18:54:14 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x809d88… |
| 05-28 05:43:12 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xa42ada… |
| 05-28 05:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x79cf…105a | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $7 | 0xa42ada… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x79cf…105a | No | SELL | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:42:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xe955cc… |
| 05-28 05:42:16 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xe955cc… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x52d1b4… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x52d1b4… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | SELL | 58 | 28¢ | $16 | 0x387c3d… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x52d1b4… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x387c3d… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x387c3d… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 44 | 71¢ | $31 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 19 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 29¢ | $27 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 58 | 40¢ | $23 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Unhealthy-Hockey 0xcaed…70ec | Yes | SELL | 34 | 38¢ | $13 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:42 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x312d47… |
| 05-28 05:40:42 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x312d47… |
| 05-28 05:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x312d47… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 43 | 64¢ | $27 | 0x6c737b… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 35¢ | $32 | 0x6c737b… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x6c737b… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 67¢ | $30 | 0x6c737b… |