Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
open
Total volume
$557
Trades
58
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,637
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-08 19:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $16 | $39 | $23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $13 | $28 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $30 | $50 | $21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $50 | $22 | +$28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $5 | $39 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $13 | $55 | $42 |
| Median | 3 | $5 | $9 | $4 |
| Below median | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | $23 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 9 | $70 | $13 | +$57 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +54 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-28 05:42 |
| Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-07 07:39 |
| Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | +16 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-28 05:40 |
| Purple-Band 0x52c6…cbf8 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 04:01 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $23 | 5 | 06-06 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 05:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-08 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x75c0…8c92 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 19:32:46 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x301b4f… |
| 06-08 19:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x301b4f… |
| 06-08 14:07:33 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x19e17d… |
| 06-08 14:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x19e17d… |
| 06-08 14:07:33 | Spry-Hanger 0x79a2…0228 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x19e17d… |
| 06-07 07:39:22 | (anonymous) 0x75c0…8c92 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xf499e5… |
| 06-07 07:39:22 | Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xf499e5… |
| 06-06 20:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc7dd3b… |
| 06-06 20:14:24 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xc7dd3b… |
| 06-06 07:16:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x74f06b… |
| 06-06 07:16:24 | Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x74f06b… |
| 06-06 07:16:22 | Basic-Outset 0x774c…40f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xcdb587… |
| 06-06 07:16:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xcdb587… |
| 05-31 06:59:05 | Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 39¢ | $17 | 0xab12e2… |
| 05-31 06:59:05 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 44 | 61¢ | $27 | 0xab12e2… |
| 05-31 03:42:22 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 22 | 71¢ | $16 | 0x6eba8c… |
| 05-31 03:42:22 | Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x6eba8c… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 32¢ | $13 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 44 | 49¢ | $22 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x79cf…105a | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Fast-Rent 0xf41e…3734 | No | SELL | 132 | 58¢ | $77 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 22 | 50¢ | $11 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-31 01:39:45 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xd057cc… |
| 05-30 04:01:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x38ec79… |
| 05-30 04:01:01 | Purple-Band 0x52c6…cbf8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x38ec79… |
| 05-28 18:54:14 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x809d88… |
| 05-28 18:54:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x809d88… |
| 05-28 05:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x79cf…105a | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $7 | 0xa42ada… |
| 05-28 05:43:12 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xa42ada… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x79cf…105a | No | SELL | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb9f3a6… |
| 05-28 05:42:16 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xe955cc… |
| 05-28 05:42:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xe955cc… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x387c3d… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x387c3d… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x52d1b4… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x52d1b4… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x52d1b4… |
| 05-28 05:42:13 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | SELL | 58 | 28¢ | $16 | 0x387c3d… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 29¢ | $27 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 19 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 44 | 71¢ | $31 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:42:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x2ed382… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Unhealthy-Hockey 0xcaed…70ec | Yes | SELL | 34 | 38¢ | $13 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 58 | 40¢ | $23 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:44 | Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x02b755… |
| 05-28 05:40:42 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x312d47… |
| 05-28 05:40:42 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x312d47… |
| 05-28 05:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x1385…e96a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x312d47… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 43 | 64¢ | $27 | 0x6c737b… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x6c737b… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 67¢ | $30 | 0x6c737b… |
| 05-28 05:40:40 | Soggy-Notepad 0xdf36…ffb0 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 35¢ | $32 | 0x6c737b… |