Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf29…dc60f7
bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$74
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
2,005
Trades
9,006
lifetime
Volume
$73.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$568
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Politics
48% 66% -$112
Other
26% 75% -$440
Crypto
23% 66% -$434
Sports
1% 67% +$34
Tech
1% 70% -$76
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -337 -$280 97¢ $-327 -$47 07-07 22:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$35 92¢ $-51 -$16 05-21 10:27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 96¢ $-48 -$2 05-04 06:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +35 $22 66¢ $23 +$1 10-29 17:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +35 $25 62¢ $22 -$4 10-27 21:49
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$19 100¢ $-20 -$1 05-03 05:33
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -18 -$11 83¢ $-15 -$4 06-26 09:57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $14 84¢ $13 -$2 10-14 12:01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 +$1 10-30 08:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +10 $6 72¢ $7 +$1 09-26 14:01
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +10 $6 56¢ $6 $0 09-04 19:31
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-15 09:20
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 09-15 09:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $6 30¢ $5 -$1 10-08 18:11
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 10-28 09:47
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 09-21 19:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 67¢ $3 $0 09-25 10:25
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 09-14 04:40