Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf29…dc60f7
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$131
Unrealized P&L
-$114
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
7,757
lifetime
Volume
$60.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$786
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
52% 71% $-126
Crypto
27% — —
Other
19% 50% $-5
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -338 $-173 77¢ $-260 $-87 07-14 13:47
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -200 $-176 90¢ $-181 $-5 06-12 05:38
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-48 96¢ $-53 $-5 06-06 06:46
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -50 $-48 93¢ $-47 +$2 07-12 02:54
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +50 $43 91¢ $46 +$3 07-01 15:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +42 $33 84¢ $35 +$2 06-26 22:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +34 $25 82¢ $28 +$3 06-25 20:43
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -38 $-24 70¢ $-26 $-3 06-26 09:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-19 64¢ $-26 $-7 06-05 11:08
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +30 $23 84¢ $25 +$2 06-06 16:11
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? No +30 $27 82¢ $25 $-2 07-13 08:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +20 $14 62¢ $12 $-1 07-13 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $7 48¢ $10 +$2 07-12 11:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-30 17:37
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-22 20:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -3 $16 40¢ $-1 $-18 06-05 14:35