Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf29…dc60f7
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$131
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,903
lifetime
Volume
$53.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$841
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 12:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
57% 71% $-126
Crypto
21% — —
Other
20% 50% $-5
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -348 $-180 74¢ $-257 $-77 06-16 18:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -200 $-176 90¢ $-179 $-3 06-12 05:38
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +60 $55 99¢ $59 +$4 07-01 12:37
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-48 91¢ $-50 $-2 06-06 06:46
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +50 $43 87¢ $43 +$0 07-01 15:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +42 $33 82¢ $34 +$1 06-26 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $40 100¢ $30 $-10 06-27 16:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +30 $27 96¢ $29 +$2 05-31 05:26
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +34 $25 76¢ $26 +$1 06-25 20:43
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +30 $23 80¢ $24 +$1 06-06 16:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -38 $-24 61¢ $-23 +$0 06-26 09:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-19 56¢ $-23 $-4 06-05 11:08
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $-0 06-20 06:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 06-30 11:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 06-20 15:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-16 12:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 +$0 06-30 17:37
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 06-22 20:27
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +4 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 05-31 17:46
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -3 $16 46¢ $-1 $-18 06-05 14:35