Male-Tribe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

513

Trades

1,363

lifetime

Volume

$46.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

70% 41% +$457

Politics

29% 37% -$583

Sports

1% 17% +$0

Crypto

0% 50% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes		+53	$10	16¢	$8	-$2	11-02 02:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$880	611	491	+120	No	+$0	04-22 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$861	695	695	+0	No	-$139	04-19 22:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	4	$566	360	360	+0	No	-$34	04-25 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	10	$563	534	534	+0	Yes	+$81	02-17 16:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$561	505	505	+0	Yes	+$381	04-07 22:57
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$533	324	323	+1	No	-$66	04-26 01:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	5	$495	413	413	+0	Yes	+$325	06-14 22:16
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	14	$486	3,097	2,964	+133	No	-$134	02-10 14:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	3	$485	706	706	+0	No	-$315	04-18 02:50
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	5	$466	470	470	+0	Yes	+$166	02-03 16:08
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	2	$463	298	298	+0	No	+$63	04-26 01:45
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$451	270	270	+0	No	+$51	04-10 12:49
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	3	$443	248	248	+0	No	+$43	04-13 21:50
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?	3	$424	375	375	+0	Yes	+$264	04-28 20:23
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	11	$412	876	876	+0	No	-$18	01-13 13:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$398	359	359	+0	Yes	-$22	04-06 22:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$379	241	241	+0	No	-$21	04-15 11:29
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	4	$363	452	452	+0	Yes	+$83	02-04 08:32
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	4	$348	288	288	+0	Yes	+$228	01-10 16:57
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	8	$347	586	586	+0	No	+$27	01-09 15:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$346	272	272	+0	No	-$54	04-18 10:11
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	9	$345	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	+$47	02-10 14:19
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	10	$344	823	823	+0	Yes	+$84	01-12 12:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$338	260	260	+0	No	-$62	04-17 16:22
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	8	$332	674	470	+204	No	+$12	02-04 08:41
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	5	$312	389	389	+0	Yes	+$112	02-02 06:38
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	7	$303	838	723	+115	No	-$97	02-10 14:56
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	8	$286	518	518	+0	No	-$44	01-13 15:01
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	7	$282	654	654	+0	Yes	+$52	02-13 15:10
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	6	$282	322	322	+0	No	+$82	02-10 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:46:43	Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x27e418…
11-07 01:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xfd0621…
11-07 01:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x1b8720…
11-06 20:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7d8a54…
11-06 03:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	74¢	$43	0x9774cd…
11-05 18:14:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	31¢	$17	0xbb7ae9…
11-05 17:12:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	6¢	$6	0x129992…
11-05 15:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa9cec7…
11-04 16:47:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x9aa248…
11-04 15:33:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	91¢	$43	0x3612e4…
11-04 14:26:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x51d65a…
11-04 14:26:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x246591…
11-04 14:24:22	Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?	Mississippi	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xcb2a52…
11-04 09:27:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb35d60…
11-04 09:23:03	Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x848efb…
11-04 09:22:28	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0688a7…
11-04 09:00:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x4c1134…
11-04 04:11:46	Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x427561…
11-04 03:54:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	468	1¢	$5	0x535cbe…
11-04 03:36:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x87a94a…
11-04 02:15:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x09f096…
11-04 02:15:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xbf5803…
11-04 01:54:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xba9922…
11-04 01:54:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5b1746…
11-04 01:22:46	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x60e7d7…
11-04 01:17:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xed4c2c…
11-04 01:03:24	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x77296a…
11-03 23:50:51	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdfd218…
11-03 23:50:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x82cbe0…
11-03 21:52:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x866ad1…
11-03 13:08:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xbf4c6f…
11-03 13:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x03acfc…
11-03 13:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	66¢	$34	0xa8fac3…
11-03 12:34:00	Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa7d1db…
11-03 02:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x3b5154…
11-03 02:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0x7375c1…
11-03 02:43:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x95e86d…
11-03 02:41:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	1¢	$1	0x9df902…
11-03 01:34:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfaaa27…
11-02 22:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	3¢	$5	0xbe888f…
11-02 21:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x94309c…
11-02 11:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	83¢	$37	0xb946b3…
11-02 03:01:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x003697…
11-02 03:01:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	44¢	$30	0xb6790c…
11-02 02:49:01	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4396a6…
11-02 02:48:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x243d7e…
11-02 02:48:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfa268c…
11-02 02:47:24	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3192e9…
11-02 02:46:43	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x96b244…
11-02 02:04:06	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x8dba2f…
11-02 01:23:34	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2aa1cc…
11-02 01:23:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x67f0ad…
11-02 01:22:16	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0x0bece6…
11-02 00:58:34	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0xbd4622…
11-01 23:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x2bca73…
11-01 23:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$3	0xecd9c7…
11-01 23:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	9¢	$14	0xc00431…
11-01 15:15:27	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x7c0561…
11-01 15:15:09	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe6acd0…
11-01 13:54:30	Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?	Mississippi	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd2ea67…
11-01 12:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x7d866b…
11-01 12:41:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	10¢	$15	0xb444d4…
11-01 12:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$1	0x242dc9…
11-01 12:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x46a5a7…
11-01 10:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe2747c…
11-01 10:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0xa27fda…
11-01 10:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x495b39…
11-01 01:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf8b513…
10-30 18:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	11¢	$7	0x748abe…
10-30 17:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xd17662…
10-30 17:40:28	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	11¢	$12	0x9b3d56…
10-30 17:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	13¢	$15	0xced539…
10-30 15:40:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x2cdfd3…
10-30 15:25:03	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0x3f5c47…
10-30 15:24:43	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	SELL	2,030	0¢	$5	0x5cc072…
10-30 15:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0xb25f60…
10-30 15:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x0954ba…
10-30 14:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xba4ecd…
10-30 13:47:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6aee85…
10-30 12:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xa0c6a1…
10-30 12:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	16¢	$8	0xf2fd38…
10-30 11:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x885853…
10-30 11:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0x9e4452…
10-30 11:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	27¢	$24	0xb3f1f9…
10-29 15:10:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xc7a3ab…
10-29 15:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x5e71ef…
10-29 15:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	35¢	$30	0xe80d40…
10-29 03:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x58963b…
10-29 03:19:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$11	0x176cd3…
10-29 03:18:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	12¢	$13	0xc7e960…
10-29 03:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	14¢	$15	0xcb7606…
10-29 03:08:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9168f7…
10-29 03:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	36¢	$35	0x9135c9…
10-28 14:43:41	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xf22314…
10-28 14:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x951034…
10-28 14:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x1a6873…
10-28 14:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x6f7689…
10-28 12:49:55	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	17¢	$21	0x8c1d6b…
10-28 03:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x68bb5e…
10-28 03:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0xb6fe36…