Probable-Site 0x1e524f…8e91d6
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved
124
Trades
105,055
lifetime
Volume
$2.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.34K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
73% 31% $-3,061
Sports
14% 47% $-412
Politics
10% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -409 $-282 86¢ $-350 $-68 06-05 05:14
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -273 $-251 96¢ $-263 $-12 06-25 19:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $231 87¢ $260 +$29 07-20 18:48
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -136 $-130 98¢ $-133 $-3 05-28 11:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +150 $37 64¢ $95 +$58 06-12 09:04
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -1,042 $-90 7¢ $-73 +$17 06-30 13:48
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +129 $49 40¢ $52 +$3 07-13 20:26
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $53 12¢ $34 $-19 06-30 12:02
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +299 $33 8¢ $24 $-9 07-19 03:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +171 $1 13¢ $22 +$21 07-20 11:29
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -299 $-42 6¢ $-16 +$25 06-21 15:35
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes -283 $-10 2¢ $-5 +$5 06-14 04:49
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 +$0 07-14 21:30
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $5 15¢ $2 $-3 06-04 16:24
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Something -19 $-1 9¢ $-2 $-0 07-01 02:40
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 07-17 09:57
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1 $-18 60¢ $0 +$18 07-19 22:18
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-7 88¢ $0 +$8 07-01 03:58
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) Al Hilal Saudi Club +220 $118 0¢ $0 $-117 05-05 18:59
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 89¢ $0 +$0 06-29 09:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +0 $-48 36¢ $0 +$48 07-19 13:54