Realized P&L
-$3.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved
124
Trades
101,048
lifetime
Volume
$2.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.08K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
72% 31% $-3,061
Sports
14% 47% $-412
Politics
10%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -409 $-282 76¢ $-311 $-29 06-05 05:14
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -273 $-251 94¢ $-255 $-4 06-25 19:33
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -136 $-130 97¢ $-132 $-2 05-28 11:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +150 $37 76¢ $115 +$77 06-12 09:04
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? Yes +70 $61 95¢ $66 +$5 06-30 07:00
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -58 $-50 100¢ $-57 $-7 06-10 20:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +175 $-13 24¢ $41 +$54 06-13 10:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -299 $-42 $-27 +$15 06-21 15:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +170 $14 11¢ $18 +$4 06-12 21:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -15 $-49 95¢ $-14 +$34 06-30 06:36
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$1 06-11 15:53
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -352 $-32 $-11 +$21 06-26 01:33
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes -283 $-10 $-8 +$2 06-14 04:49
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? No +67 $6 $4 $-2 06-30 06:15
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $5 24¢ $4 $-1 06-04 16:24
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +263 $39 $2 $-37 06-02 01:18
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +62 $24 $1 $-23 06-27 11:04
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-10 26¢ $-1 +$9 06-30 02:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-34 90¢ $-0 +$33 06-11 07:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -6 $-8 $-0 +$8 06-30 04:15
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) Al Hilal Saudi Club +220 $118 $0 $-117 05-05 18:59
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -190 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-11 15:53
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 84¢ $0 +$0 06-29 09:17
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? Yes -74 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-15 10:34
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +0 $-1 58¢ $0 +$1 06-25 14:04
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? Yes +1 $6 $0 $-6 06-22 21:53