Probable-Site 0x1e524f…8e91d6
whale cold 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$17.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$253
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
7,154
Trades
137,790
lifetime
Volume
$3.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 04:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 297 days
Categories
Other
76% 38% -$19,929
Sports
12% 45% -$3,442
Politics
10% 48% +$6,705
Crypto
2% 36% -$202
Tech
0% 30% -$592
Pop-Culture
0% 29% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +345 $241 72¢ $247 +$5 10-21 00:05
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +1,067 $185 18¢ $187 +$2 10-21 13:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -244 -$319 76¢ $-186 +$133 10-23 19:18
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +175 $106 100¢ $175 +$69 10-26 04:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,148 $60 10¢ $118 +$58 10-20 08:08
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -1,162 -$102 6¢ $-69 +$34 08-10 09:47
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +492 $176 14¢ $66 -$109 10-26 13:21
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +293 $71 20¢ $60 -$11 10-05 09:29
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27? No — +135 $55 42¢ $56 +$1 10-27 04:38
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +300 $48 18¢ $55 +$7 09-06 06:41
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 Yes +300 $107 16¢ $47 -$60 08-17 17:43
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 Yes +300 $51 15¢ $45 -$6 08-18 00:27
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +181 $24 20¢ $37 +$13 09-03 09:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -128 -$25 29¢ $-36 -$11 10-13 09:40
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1,035 -$2 3¢ $-33 -$31 10-13 20:32
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +298 $10 10¢ $30 +$19 10-06 13:18
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +299 $54 9¢ $27 -$27 07-19 03:11
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554 Yes +124 $21 17¢ $21 +$0 08-18 13:09
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +26 $19 72¢ $18 -$1 09-28 21:35
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -734 -$211 2¢ $-18 +$193 10-03 11:40
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes -999 -$40 2¢ $-16 +$23 08-22 19:50
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +16 -$57 96¢ $15 +$72 06-05 05:14
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $32 6¢ $6 -$26 08-26 03:20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -578 -$18 1¢ $-5 +$13 08-02 05:02
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +5 $18 97¢ $4 -$14 09-10 19:48
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -757 -$5 1¢ $-4 +$1 10-02 13:17
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 09-10 09:26
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes -110 -$21 4¢ $-4 +$17 05-07 02:38
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +237 $37 2¢ $4 -$33 10-10 10:46
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +217 $82 1¢ $2 -$80 10-19 11:54