Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
20
Trades
5,012
lifetime
Volume
$123.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 17:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
44% 80% $-53
Other
38% 80% +$17
Sports
13%
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -561 $-551 100¢ $-560 $-9 06-07 19:08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -308 $-304 100¢ $-307 $-3 06-19 11:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +319 $277 86¢ $276 $-1 06-30 14:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -299 $-206 66¢ $-199 +$8 06-18 13:23
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +158 $143 99¢ $156 +$13 06-30 16:21
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? No +147 $146 99¢ $146 $-0 06-29 16:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -144 $-104 86¢ $-123 $-20 06-11 16:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +120 $116 100¢ $120 +$4 05-30 15:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +117 $107 94¢ $110 +$3 06-07 01:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$3 06-04 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +79 $69 100¢ $78 +$10 06-11 13:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +85 $74 90¢ $76 +$3 06-04 02:18
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +68 $67 99¢ $67 +$1 06-30 11:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +63 $57 100¢ $63 +$5 06-23 14:31
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -62 $-63 100¢ $-62 +$1 06-28 07:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +58 $54 100¢ $58 +$3 06-03 14:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +61 $55 90¢ $55 +$0 06-14 21:47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-19 11:18
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +50 $48 99¢ $50 +$1 06-04 19:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +50 $42 100¢ $49 +$8 06-29 16:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -54 $-41 90¢ $-49 $-8 05-28 11:19
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +46 $44 100¢ $46 +$2 06-02 14:15
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +52 $39 80¢ $42 +$2 06-05 13:23
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -40 $-40 100¢ $-40 $-0 06-28 07:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +48 $27 80¢ $39 +$12 05-30 16:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -38 $-42 100¢ $-38 +$4 06-28 07:56
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +49 $34 73¢ $36 +$2 05-29 20:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +45 $33 74¢ $34 +$0 06-08 16:28
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +33 $33 100¢ $33 +$1 06-02 19:05
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? No -31 $-31 100¢ $-31 $-0 06-07 01:42