Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
29
lifetime
Volume
$1.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$421
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 09:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
79% 60% $-10
Politics
21% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? No +127 $126 100¢ $126 $-0 05-14 09:09
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $79 74¢ $74 $-6 05-12 17:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%? Yes +54 $54 100¢ $54 $-0 05-06 17:48
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No +45 $41 96¢ $44 +$3 05-12 17:06
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? No +35 $33 95¢ $33 $-0 05-14 09:19
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +30 $22 100¢ $29 +$7 05-14 03:48
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +28 $27 100¢ $28 +$1 05-14 03:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-08 09:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 65¢ $6 +$0 05-12 17:16
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-4 26¢ $-5 $-1 05-12 17:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +10 $8 44¢ $4 $-3 05-14 00:24
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +20 $9 20¢ $4 $-5 05-13 07:36
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? Yes +20 $1 13¢ $3 +$1 05-12 04:54
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 05-14 03:40
Netanyahu out by May 31? Yes +100 $2 $1 $-1 05-06 17:47