Different-Windshield 0xb22085…c45f71
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$119
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved
4,293
Trades
11,134
lifetime
Volume
$383.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$7.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 00:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 271 days
Categories
Other
54% 89% +$914
Sports
24% 94% +$578
Politics
20% 79% -$1,393
Crypto
2% 62% -$9
Tech
0% 68% -$78
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,038 $835 86¢ $890 +$55 10-11 23:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +884 $716 82¢ $721 +$4 10-22 12:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -683 -$667 98¢ $-670 -$2 10-24 19:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No -651 -$560 95¢ $-620 -$60 04-30 17:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -609 -$566 96¢ $-583 -$17 05-15 12:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +441 $386 88¢ $388 +$2 10-19 03:52
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +272 $215 90¢ $245 +$30 10-19 13:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +258 $231 94¢ $241 +$10 10-28 00:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +263 $232 90¢ $238 +$6 10-24 18:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -237 -$221 98¢ $-232 -$11 06-20 05:04
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +239 $228 95¢ $228 $0 10-27 11:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +229 $205 96¢ $218 +$14 10-14 23:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -261 -$180 78¢ $-205 -$25 10-17 12:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +200 $157 90¢ $180 +$24 10-19 23:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +183 $169 94¢ $172 +$3 10-14 23:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +162 $148 94¢ $153 +$5 10-18 14:34
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +145 $121 92¢ $133 +$12 10-24 07:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +183 $145 64¢ $118 -$27 10-15 12:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 -$99 97¢ $-97 +$2 07-16 22:54
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -85 -$80 96¢ $-82 -$2 07-11 07:08
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -82 -$68 100¢ $-81 -$13 08-13 16:32
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +80 $68 96¢ $77 +$8 08-15 08:50
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +78 $74 92¢ $72 -$1 10-25 21:07
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -71 -$86 98¢ $-70 +$16 07-05 09:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +83 $61 82¢ $69 +$8 10-19 12:35
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +66 $45 94¢ $63 +$18 10-15 04:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -214 -$95 26¢ $-57 +$39 10-26 11:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +58 $48 94¢ $54 +$7 10-22 13:07
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +57 $44 94¢ $54 +$10 07-13 22:55
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +64 $47 81¢ $52 +$5 10-20 15:38