Different-Windshield 0xb22085…c45f71
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$123
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved
4,283
Trades
11,124
lifetime
Volume
$382.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$7.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 04:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 271 days
Categories
Other
54% 89% +$941
Sports
24% 94% +$578
Politics
20% 80% -$1,366
Crypto
2% 62% -$9
Tech
0% 68% -$78
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,038 $835 86¢ $890 +$56 10-11 23:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +884 $716 82¢ $721 +$4 10-22 12:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -683 -$667 98¢ $-668 -$1 10-24 19:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No -651 -$560 96¢ $-624 -$64 04-30 17:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -609 -$566 96¢ $-587 -$20 05-15 12:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +441 $386 88¢ $387 +$1 10-19 03:52
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +272 $215 90¢ $245 +$30 10-19 13:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +249 $223 94¢ $233 +$10 10-22 15:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -237 -$221 98¢ $-232 -$11 06-20 05:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +263 $232 88¢ $230 -$2 10-24 18:23
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +238 $227 95¢ $225 -$1 10-25 07:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +229 $205 94¢ $214 +$9 10-14 23:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -261 -$180 76¢ $-200 -$20 10-17 12:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +200 $157 88¢ $177 +$21 10-19 23:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +183 $169 94¢ $173 +$4 10-14 23:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +162 $148 94¢ $153 +$5 10-18 14:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +183 $145 74¢ $136 -$9 10-15 12:57
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +145 $121 92¢ $134 +$12 10-24 07:29
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 -$99 97¢ $-97 +$2 07-16 22:54
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -85 -$80 97¢ $-82 -$2 07-11 07:08
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -82 -$68 100¢ $-81 -$13 08-13 16:32
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +80 $68 96¢ $77 +$9 08-15 08:50
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +78 $74 94¢ $73 $0 10-25 21:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $64 73¢ $73 +$9 10-08 22:59
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -71 -$86 98¢ $-70 +$16 07-05 09:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +83 $61 82¢ $68 +$7 10-19 12:35
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +66 $45 92¢ $61 +$16 10-15 04:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -214 -$95 26¢ $-57 +$39 10-26 11:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +58 $48 94¢ $54 +$6 10-22 13:07
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +57 $44 94¢ $54 +$10 07-13 22:55