Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
35
lifetime
Volume
$1.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$639
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 09:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
75% 60% $-10
Politics
25% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? No +227 $226 100¢ $226 $-0 05-14 09:44
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? No +91 $90 99¢ $90 $-0 05-14 09:49
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $79 74¢ $74 $-4 05-12 17:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%? Yes +54 $54 100¢ $54 $-0 05-06 17:48
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No +45 $41 94¢ $43 +$2 05-12 17:06
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? No +35 $33 96¢ $33 +$0 05-14 09:19
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +30 $22 99¢ $29 +$7 05-14 03:48
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +28 $27 99¢ $28 +$1 05-14 03:44
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 $-0 05-14 09:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-08 09:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 65¢ $6 +$0 05-12 17:16
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-4 26¢ $-5 $-1 05-12 17:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +10 $8 45¢ $5 $-3 05-14 00:24
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 $-0 05-14 09:49
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +20 $9 19¢ $4 $-5 05-13 07:36
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? No +5 $4 71¢ $4 $-0 05-14 09:29
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? Yes +20 $1 13¢ $3 +$1 05-12 04:54
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? No +13 $10 17¢ $2 $-8 05-14 09:19
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 05-14 03:40
Netanyahu out by May 31? Yes +100 $2 $1 $-1 05-06 17:47