Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$19
$93 in 24h
Trades
4
Unique wallets
4
Liquidity
$1,322
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 09:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🦐 Shrimp 4 $2 $17 $15
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
Median 2 — $17 $17
Below median 1 $1 — +$1
unranked 1 $1 — +$1
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Ajar-Hops-Commotion 0xb91d…0f36 Yes +22 $1 $1 1 05-10 20:01
Triangular-Minorleague 0xceef…17b1 Yes +17 $1 $1 1 05-11 09:40
Possible-Perpendicular 0x8ae4…273e No +10 $10 $10 1 05-10 23:17
Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 No +7 $7 $7 1 05-10 18:00