Ajar-Hops-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-28 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

83% 31% $-37

Sports

10% 40% $-93

Crypto

7% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	2	$294	179	179	+0	open	—	05-20 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	05-12 13:59
World Championships: Germany vs. Switzerland	1	$100	556	0	+556	open	—	05-18 16:19
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$100	122	0	+122	Sean Strickland	$-100	05-09 21:15
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia	1	$50	191	0	+191	open	—	05-28 08:02
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	1	$50	143	0	+143	open	—	05-18 16:19
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	1	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	05-28 08:02
World Championships: USA vs. Germany	2	$27	45	45	+0	open	—	05-20 20:44
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 07:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$20	23	23	+0	open	—	05-20 21:07
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$20	39	0	+39	Up	$-20	05-10 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?	1	$15	517	0	+517	open	—	05-28 08:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$15	208	0	+208	open	—	05-28 08:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$11	29	0	+29	Up	$-11	05-11 12:51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-12 13:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-28 08:06
Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	05-20 16:54
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	18	0	+18	Alexander Volkov	+$8	05-09 21:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	05-28 08:05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	05-28 08:06
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-10 10:13
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$8	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-19 08:53
World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland	1	$6	55	0	+55	open	—	05-21 07:38
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	2	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 20:35
World Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 13:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$5	40	0	+40	open	—	05-28 08:07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-28 08:08
World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 20:06
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 17:34
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:11:36	World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	Latvia	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xecfb35…
05-28 08:09:55	Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	517	3¢	$15	0x7e1bf0…
05-28 08:08:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd6a43e…
05-28 08:07:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xe6186f…
05-28 08:06:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0ae342…
05-28 08:06:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x54ea7f…
05-28 08:05:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x163cec…
05-28 08:05:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0xd2e318…
05-28 08:02:46	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Sweden	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xaebe0c…
05-28 08:02:37	World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0xbd0ab4…
05-23 20:09:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x8a8b0e…
05-23 20:08:06	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada	Slovakia	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdaddc1…
05-23 20:06:23	World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden	Norway	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x38be3e…
05-23 19:54:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x77b3b9…
05-23 19:54:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa4ba39…
05-21 07:38:54	World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland	Latvia	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xd33d52…
05-20 21:07:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0xc9b46e…
05-20 21:04:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x90d174…
05-20 20:44:22	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	Germany	SELL	45	37¢	$17	0x7c8b1b…
05-20 16:54:13	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x62e170…
05-20 16:52:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	179	64¢	$115	0xa4048b…
05-20 16:52:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf18b6d…
05-20 16:51:00	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	Slovenia	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x60b8fe…
05-20 16:48:54	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	Germany	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xfed127…
05-19 08:53:06	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$2	0x25b941…
05-18 16:19:41	World Championships: Germany vs. Switzerland	Germany	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x840cce…
05-18 16:19:07	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x71dc8e…
05-17 13:50:14	World Championships: Germany vs. Latvia	Latvia	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x19c6e8…
05-17 13:49:50	World Championships: Norway vs. Slovenia	Slovenia	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e8684…
05-17 13:49:31	World Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden	Denmark	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7df95c…
05-17 13:49:11	World Championships: Austria vs. Hungary	Hungary	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9f0e30…
05-16 20:36:15	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Latvia	Latvia	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x4c9dd9…
05-16 20:35:05	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	Slovenia	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x8b7184…
05-16 19:55:06	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	Slovenia	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0a73a5…
05-16 19:53:24	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Latvia	Latvia	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe7f95b…
05-15 19:20:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xc36176…
05-13 15:23:25	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x83be1c…
05-12 13:59:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x8498ea…
05-12 13:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$111	0xf48043…
05-11 17:35:10	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8f0f09…
05-11 17:34:47	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xea1e8a…
05-11 17:34:29	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x3fe28a…
05-11 12:52:58	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbf2872…
05-11 12:51:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x909351…
05-11 12:51:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x962fc6…
05-11 12:51:03	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x728be0…
05-11 12:50:31	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6154f9…
05-11 12:50:17	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x31b721…
05-11 12:50:03	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1dad74…
05-11 12:49:46	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x15c04c…
05-11 12:49:28	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x560d71…
05-11 12:49:14	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b846b…
05-11 07:24:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xb8f83d…
05-10 20:24:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd8b10f…
05-10 20:18:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x63428a…
05-10 20:18:11	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x021b78…
05-10 20:09:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4bc560…
05-10 20:07:24	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x257da5…
05-10 20:07:01	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xb98a1d…
05-10 10:17:35	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x8ddc94…
05-10 10:16:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x3cbad8…
05-10 10:16:11	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0e75b0…
05-10 10:15:33	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbca318…
05-10 10:13:11	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8e0b0d…
05-10 10:12:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa34b4f…
05-09 21:20:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa23cd1…
05-09 21:15:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbe72b0…
05-09 21:14:29	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1f3012…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	28	$6.24K	1,791	05-30 14:45
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	25	$2.07K	380	05-31 07:40
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	22	$3.92M	4,104	06-01 02:26
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	21	$38.0K	551	06-01 05:55
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	18	$16.4K	159	05-28 20:27
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	17	$50.3K	520	05-28 20:33
(anonymous) 0x7d7f…86d2	17	$5.14K	185	05-28 20:18
Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f	17	$3.98K	214	05-28 20:45