Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?
open
Total volume
$749
$1,193 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$4,841
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 17:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+17.1¢
(top1%: 83% YES on $540
vs crowd: 66% YES on $693)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $450 | — | +$450 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $9 | $234 | $225 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $450 | $90 | +$360 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $32 | $31 |
| Below median | 4 | $8 | $11 | $3 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $75 | $75 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Up | +751 | $450 | $450 | 4 | 05-11 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb52a…48a7 | Down | +100 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-11 15:08 |
| Fond-Thaw 0x8c31…ac64 | Down | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-11 14:20 |
| Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | +45 | $2 | $2 | 9 | 05-11 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d7…7c97 | Up | +34 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-11 15:28 |
| Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | Down | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-11 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x141c…8f9e | Down | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 03:12 |
| Silver-Hurry 0xed37…2f93 | Down | +14 | $8 | $23 | 2 | 05-11 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Up | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:47 |
| Dismal-Jaguar-Miter 0x9aa8…ff16 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 14:28 |
| Threadbare-Verification 0xc654…55a8 | Down | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:33 |
| Bronze-Warrant 0xcd1e…6983 | Up | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 12:03 |
| Prickly-Passport 0x619d…b31c | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 21:21 |
| Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 17:28:43 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xed7402… |
| 05-11 17:28:41 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0215a6… |
| 05-11 17:28:39 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x000e8b… |
| 05-11 17:28:38 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1c1a95… |
| 05-11 17:28:36 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9e501c… |
| 05-11 17:28:32 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7505db… |
| 05-11 17:28:31 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb51261… |
| 05-11 17:28:29 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf22717… |
| 05-11 17:28:27 | Nutritious-Management 0x3b32…64d0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9a8f27… |
| 05-11 15:28:24 | (anonymous) 0x41d7…7c97 | Up | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x33daa8… |
| 05-11 15:28:24 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Up | BUY | 18 | 80¢ | $14 | 0xdd946b… |
| 05-11 15:21:54 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Down | SELL | 32 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x770573… |
| 05-11 15:17:30 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Up | BUY | 41 | 70¢ | $29 | 0x147e04… |
| 05-11 15:16:18 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Up | BUY | 500 | 68¢ | $340 | 0xf34106… |
| 05-11 15:08:46 | (anonymous) 0xb52a…48a7 | Down | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0x3ac97a… |
| 05-11 15:08:41 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Up | BUY | 193 | 35¢ | $67 | 0xe0cb66… |
| 05-11 14:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Up | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x940786… |
| 05-11 14:47:22 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Down | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3ff533… |
| 05-11 14:46:07 | Old-Fashioned-Doorpost 0xe9f2…b4eb | Down | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x7f72be… |
| 05-11 14:28:10 | Wary-Seal 0x22a4…13e5 | Up | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x304916… |
| 05-11 14:28:02 | Dismal-Jaguar-Miter 0x9aa8…ff16 | Down | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x1eb2e1… |
| 05-11 14:20:35 | Fond-Thaw 0x8c31…ac64 | Down | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x719992… |
| 05-11 14:20:28 | Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | Down | BUY | 27 | 90¢ | $24 | 0x4bd292… |
| 05-11 14:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x41d7…7c97 | Up | BUY | 32 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x39c86d… |
| 05-11 14:02:25 | Known-Bonfire 0x0472…fe48 | Up | SELL | 119 | 15¢ | $18 | 0x0ac9c9… |
| 05-11 13:33:08 | Threadbare-Verification 0xc654…55a8 | Down | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x038c49… |
| 05-11 13:31:14 | Silver-Hurry 0xed37…2f93 | Down | SELL | 11 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xa7090b… |
| 05-11 13:14:26 | Old-Fashioned-Doorpost 0xe9f2…b4eb | Down | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x1d8908… |
| 05-11 12:03:22 | Bronze-Warrant 0xcd1e…6983 | Up | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x36f71e… |
| 05-11 09:09:46 | Silver-Hurry 0xed37…2f93 | Down | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0xd3faf0… |
| 05-11 03:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x141c…8f9e | Down | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0xed0af1… |
| 05-10 21:21:25 | Prickly-Passport 0x619d…b31c | Down | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xe8a12f… |