Dismal-Jaguar-Miter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

431

Trades

486

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 05-16 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 92% -$30

Other

36% 90% -$39

Politics

5% 100% +$5

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	1	$34	50	0	+50	Yes	+$16	03-04 17:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-14 04:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	10	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-05 14:24
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	4	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-19 18:45
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$15	10	5	+5	No	+$0	03-09 17:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:34
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	-$10	05-10 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	-$10	05-11 14:52
Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 17:32
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 16:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 22:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 22:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 10:06
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 16:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 01:28
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 16:03
Will Oklahoma City Thunder receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 00:13
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 16:25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	-$10	05-11 00:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 8?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-08 22:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-10 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 14:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-11 16:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 23:30
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-11 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:16:34	Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x506a7a…
05-15 12:54:00	Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd6ab50…
05-15 05:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5de6cc…
05-15 05:30:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $79 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1cb472…
05-15 03:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1c129b…
05-15 03:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xac447a…
05-15 03:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1f71c8…
05-15 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2987b5…
05-15 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2435f7…
05-15 02:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaed981…
05-15 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x21b103…
05-14 23:52:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xccba5b…
05-14 20:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0673da…
05-14 20:46:55	Will G2 win PGL Astana 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9e3620…
05-14 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9f3008…
05-14 18:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x782433…
05-14 18:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x8084d4…
05-14 16:01:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xf66f8f…
05-14 13:30:23	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.00?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa02aca…
05-14 13:06:44	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f7a91…
05-14 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c2210…
05-14 11:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc4d98…
05-14 10:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7616f…
05-14 10:45:41	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x939105…
05-14 09:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x075fc8…
05-14 09:50:58	Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9be406…
05-14 09:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36579c…
05-14 09:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x22c09f…
05-14 09:41:33	Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27a2af…
05-14 09:40:30	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x111a74…
05-14 09:20:31	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd14f1…
05-14 08:57:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x923796…
05-14 08:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x339645…
05-14 08:11:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa5ca51…
05-14 07:45:35	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x37ae04…
05-14 06:21:43	Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x23ffeb…
05-14 04:37:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad80b0…
05-14 04:36:31	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b25fd…
05-14 04:35:37	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x50dd8e…
05-14 04:35:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa7e823…
05-14 04:35:25	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2feae3…
05-14 04:35:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xccf8d1…
05-14 04:35:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x899fd8…
05-14 04:34:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1b1269…
05-14 04:34:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x855dd7…
05-14 04:34:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6898a7…
05-14 04:34:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6b7c0a…
05-14 04:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0cd73e…
05-14 03:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x97bc4f…
05-14 03:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0ac565…
05-14 03:23:33	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x821c02…
05-14 03:11:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc8cbe9…
05-14 03:11:33	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9858bf…
05-14 02:55:20	Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x45b75f…
05-14 02:48:12	Will Solana dip to $90 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x68fc0a…
05-14 02:45:25	Will paiN Gaming win IEM Atlanta 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xadffe1…
05-14 02:00:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x65a79b…
05-14 01:49:06	Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc27d8f…
05-14 00:48:59	Will Legacy win IEM Atlanta 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbb54e4…
05-14 00:46:04	Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x45ed07…
05-14 00:23:14	Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb4b7cc…
05-14 00:09:35	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4814c1…
05-14 00:08:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xade34a…
05-14 00:03:07	Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77b081…
05-13 23:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc2ce43…
05-13 23:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xea7e73…
05-13 23:02:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x801e72…
05-13 22:58:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x9b82be…
05-13 22:55:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe521a1…
05-13 22:52:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d614f…
05-13 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x19da60…
05-13 21:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa2c12f…
05-13 21:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x357428…
05-13 21:14:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x107028…
05-13 21:04:38	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xe312c2…
05-13 21:03:13	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xcabb06…
05-13 20:56:32	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x95b564…
05-13 20:56:00	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x1bfd10…
05-13 20:52:06	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x4d1a1a…
05-13 20:47:38	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x362099…
05-13 20:44:48	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x9b2cc4…
05-13 20:25:44	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc43b0b…
05-13 20:19:36	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x58caf5…
05-13 20:11:02	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1eb929…
05-13 19:47:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8d70f9…
05-13 19:39:37	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1a061…
05-13 19:37:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfeb183…
05-13 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x22a13d…
05-13 18:53:39	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x97d749…
05-13 18:46:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x046ce5…
05-13 18:45:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x87a3f8…
05-13 18:09:38	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x18354a…
05-13 17:45:07	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd3d62…
05-13 17:01:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09977f…
05-13 16:38:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2fd06b…
05-13 16:30:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x5584c5…
05-13 16:22:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3029db…
05-13 16:20:33	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x206375…
05-13 16:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32fb88…
05-13 16:11:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x171d7f…