Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
open
Total volume
$259
$2,851 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$7,235
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 09:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+90.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 9% YES on $216)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $2 | $46 | $45 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $18 | $120 | $103 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | $29 | $27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $10 | $68 | $58 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $92 | $92 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flawless-Update-Buying 0x4473…28ad | Yes | +464 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 00:58 |
| Querulous-Incarnation 0x6dc6…fe98 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:03 |
| Well-Groomed-Subcontractor 0xbdcb…68c5 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 17:38 |
| Compassionate-Immortal 0xade9…9ec3 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:15 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-11 18:30 |
| Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | +38 | $37 | $101 | 11 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Ordinary-Impairment 0x4c91…b7f4 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:21 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Absolute-Ape 0x61c6…bcee | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-13 04:17 |
| International-Expertise 0xe130…4006 | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 19:39 |
| Sentimental-Linkage 0xc5cb…3c6b | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:07 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 20:57 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 09:14:35 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xad26a0… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd0419d… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x7dd6c5… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xefdbb5… |
| 05-13 07:04:23 | Well-Groomed-Silicon 0xea7b…2004 | Yes | SELL | 369 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x175bc0… |
| 05-13 06:03:50 | Querulous-Incarnation 0x6dc6…fe98 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d94e6… |
| 05-13 04:17:06 | Absolute-Ape 0x61c6…bcee | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x0e6713… |
| 05-13 04:16:28 | Absolute-Ape 0x61c6…bcee | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xbde4c8… |
| 05-13 02:21:24 | Ordinary-Impairment 0x4c91…b7f4 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfd9bb0… |
| 05-13 01:21:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd8aa82… |
| 05-13 00:16:55 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x84dcdd… |
| 05-13 00:16:48 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x300f43… |
| 05-13 00:16:15 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xcb5e71… |
| 05-12 20:57:44 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe3019f… |
| 05-12 18:27:30 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 101 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1441cc… |
| 05-12 13:02:54 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc08c97… |
| 05-12 06:15:46 | Compassionate-Immortal 0xade9…9ec3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2ba2ec… |
| 05-12 05:14:40 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x93561e… |
| 05-12 03:25:33 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x8f0030… |
| 05-12 01:49:08 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x6bc627… |
| 05-12 01:24:06 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf29890… |
| 05-12 01:23:33 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xfd230f… |
| 05-12 01:23:01 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x104d72… |
| 05-12 00:58:37 | Flawless-Update-Buying 0x4473…28ad | Yes | BUY | 464 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xc90542… |
| 05-11 22:58:07 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x76bbd5… |
| 05-11 22:25:20 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x993d55… |
| 05-11 19:39:44 | International-Expertise 0xe130…4006 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5088f2… |
| 05-11 19:37:48 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x606306… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5d63a9… |
| 05-11 19:13:41 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x83a3b2… |
| 05-11 18:30:56 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x9b327b… |
| 05-11 17:38:55 | Well-Groomed-Subcontractor 0xbdcb…68c5 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x49f67c… |
| 05-11 17:07:22 | Sentimental-Linkage 0xc5cb…3c6b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x12f500… |