Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82e3…8aaf92
whale hot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$16.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$986
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
12,647
Trades
119,417
lifetime
Volume
$4.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$55.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 09-01 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
62% 86% +$20,189
Politics
26% 89% +$1,169
Sports
9% 95% +$6,372
Tech
2% 70% -$12,220
Crypto
0% 90% +$317
Pop-Culture
0% 89% +$209
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,800 $2,788 100¢ $2.8K +$8 05-15 01:33
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,800 $2,783 100¢ $2.8K +$12 05-15 01:33
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,800 $2,713 100¢ $2.8K +$79 05-15 01:33
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,800 $2,779 100¢ $2.8K +$8 05-15 01:33
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,768 $2,748 100¢ $2.8K +$16 05-15 01:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,759 $2,100 98¢ $2.7K +$613 05-17 12:27
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,288 $2,217 97¢ $2.2K -$2 05-13 19:05
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,206 $1,302 100¢ $2.2K +$901 05-13 14:21
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $2,006 100¢ $2.0K +$2 05-13 17:53
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No — +2,011 $1,996 100¢ $2.0K +$12 05-13 17:53
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $2,006 100¢ $2.0K +$2 05-13 17:53
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $2,003 100¢ $2.0K +$5 05-13 17:53
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $1,998 100¢ $2.0K +$10 05-13 17:53
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $2,005 100¢ $2.0K -$1 05-13 17:53
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $2,005 100¢ $2.0K -$2 05-13 17:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $1,848 98¢ $2.0K +$113 05-13 17:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $1,273 91¢ $1.8K +$558 05-13 17:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,970 $1,569 91¢ $1.8K +$232 05-10 17:02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,650 $2,476 66¢ $1.7K -$738 05-15 01:33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes -1,688 -$53 97¢ $-1633 -$1,581 05-16 13:24
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,666 $1,485 97¢ $1.6K +$130 05-13 14:21
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,504 $1,346 100¢ $1.5K +$156 04-29 07:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,011 $1,204 73¢ $1.5K +$264 05-13 17:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,200 $936 92¢ $1.1K +$162 05-12 18:34
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +980 $976 100¢ $978 +$2 05-07 16:14
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +980 $978 100¢ $978 +$0 05-07 16:14
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +980 $977 100¢ $978 +$2 05-07 16:14
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +980 $978 100¢ $978 $0 05-07 16:14
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No +973 $964 100¢ $972 +$7 05-11 02:22
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +973 $954 99¢ $967 +$13 05-11 02:22