Realized P&L
+$5.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$647
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
36,051
Trades
152,924
lifetime
Volume
$3.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$43.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 11-01 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
69% 89% +$421
Politics
19% 86% +$1,098
Sports
9% 91% +$3,743
Tech
1% 78% +$12
Crypto
1% 84% -$139
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$79
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1710 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,263 $2,251 100¢ $2.3K +$2 10-27 06:14
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,931 $1,929 100¢ $1.9K -$4 10-25 10:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +2,174 $1,898 81¢ $1.8K -$143 10-31 08:13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,841 $1,645 94¢ $1.7K +$92 10-30 15:14
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,687 $1,676 100¢ $1.7K +$7 10-26 16:00
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,672 $1,668 100¢ $1.7K +$2 10-28 19:42
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,617 $1,609 100¢ $1.6K +$5 09-10 16:41
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,541 $1,524 99¢ $1.5K +$0 10-26 16:00
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,574 $1,527 96¢ $1.5K -$23 10-26 16:00
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,495 $1,477 99¢ $1.5K +$8 10-26 16:00
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,525 $1,484 97¢ $1.5K -$11 10-27 20:42
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,575 $1,486 92¢ $1.5K -$29 10-26 16:00
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,450 $1,433 100¢ $1.4K +$10 10-27 11:36
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,455 $1,449 99¢ $1.4K -$6 10-28 18:12
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,495 $1,439 95¢ $1.4K -$24 10-27 19:15
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,413 $1,377 97¢ $1.4K -$5 10-28 19:42
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,384 $1,334 97¢ $1.3K +$14 10-27 08:46
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,368 $1,350 98¢ $1.3K -$10 10-25 06:27
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,335 $1,322 100¢ $1.3K +$11 10-27 11:37
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,358 $1,303 98¢ $1.3K +$27 10-28 15:26
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,300 $1,255 97¢ $1.3K +$9 10-26 16:00
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,269 $1,261 100¢ $1.3K +$2 10-26 16:00
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,250 $1,247 100¢ $1.2K +$1 11-01 02:39
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,233 $1,223 100¢ $1.2K +$9 10-26 19:39
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,293 $1,261 93¢ $1.2K -$63 10-29 17:22
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,206 $1,199 99¢ $1.2K -$4 10-26 16:00
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,188 $1,185 100¢ $1.2K +$1 10-27 09:06
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +1,204 $411 98¢ $1.2K +$768 10-29 16:20
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,274 $1,183 92¢ $1.2K -$4 10-27 05:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +1,148 $1,142 100¢ $1.1K +$3 09-24 19:39