Worthy-Jockey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.97K

Unrealized P&L

+$616

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

36,135

Trades

153,116

lifetime

Volume

$3.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$43.2K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-01 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Other

69% 89% +$200

Politics

19% 86% +$1,098

Sports

9% 91% +$3,743

Tech

1% 78% -$10

Crypto

1% 84% -$139

Pop-Culture

0% 86% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1710 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+2,263	$2,251	100¢	$2.3K	+$2	10-27 06:14
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1,931	$1,929	100¢	$1.9K	-$4	10-25 10:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	+2,174	$1,898	82¢	$1.8K	-$126	10-31 08:13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+1,841	$1,645	94¢	$1.7K	+$93	10-30 15:14
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,687	$1,676	100¢	$1.7K	+$7	10-26 16:00
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,672	$1,668	100¢	$1.7K	+$2	10-28 19:42
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1,617	$1,609	100¢	$1.6K	+$5	09-10 16:41
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,541	$1,524	99¢	$1.5K	+$0	10-26 16:00
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,574	$1,527	96¢	$1.5K	-$23	10-26 16:00
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,495	$1,477	99¢	$1.5K	+$8	10-26 16:00
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,525	$1,484	96¢	$1.5K	-$13	10-27 20:42
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,575	$1,486	92¢	$1.5K	-$29	10-26 16:00
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,455	$1,449	99¢	$1.4K	-$4	10-28 18:12
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,450	$1,433	100¢	$1.4K	+$10	10-27 11:36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,495	$1,439	95¢	$1.4K	-$24	10-27 19:15
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,413	$1,377	97¢	$1.4K	-$3	10-28 19:42
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,384	$1,334	97¢	$1.3K	+$15	10-27 08:46
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,368	$1,350	98¢	$1.3K	-$9	10-25 06:27
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,335	$1,322	100¢	$1.3K	+$11	10-27 11:37
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,358	$1,303	98¢	$1.3K	+$27	10-28 15:26
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,269	$1,261	100¢	$1.3K	+$3	10-26 16:00
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,300	$1,255	97¢	$1.3K	+$9	10-26 16:00
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,250	$1,247	100¢	$1.2K	+$1	11-01 02:39
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1,233	$1,223	100¢	$1.2K	+$9	10-26 19:39
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,206	$1,199	99¢	$1.2K	-$3	10-26 16:00
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,293	$1,261	92¢	$1.2K	-$65	10-29 17:22
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+1,188	$1,185	100¢	$1.2K	+$1	10-27 09:06
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,274	$1,183	92¢	$1.2K	-$4	10-27 05:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	No	+1,148	$1,142	100¢	$1.1K	+$3	09-24 19:39
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	+1,204	$411	94¢	$1.1K	+$715	10-29 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	811	$22.2K	22,732	399	+22,333	No	+$503	10-26 22:11
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	295	$8.8K	8,944	342	+8,602	No	+$98	10-26 19:06
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	326	$8.5K	8,562	461	+8,101	No	+$49	10-26 22:05
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	170	$6.5K	6,546	0	+6,546	No	+$7	07-10 20:17
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	259	$6.0K	5,822	2,432	+3,390	No	+$350	10-26 17:31
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	248	$5.9K	5,954	49	+5,905	No	+$14	09-19 15:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	299	$5.9K	7,246	344	+6,901	No	+$1,472	10-26 22:08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	144	$5.6K	6,035	74	+5,961	No	+$564	06-21 10:11
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	190	$5.2K	5,174	0	+5,174	No	+$8	06-01 02:25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	220	$5.1K	5,501	429	+5,072	No	+$578	10-26 19:14
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	442	$4.5K	10,895	448	+10,447	Yes	-$4,333	10-26 22:06
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	154	$4.3K	4,388	228	+4,160	No	+$47	10-21 21:42
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	146	$4.3K	4,340	0	+4,340	No	+$4	06-04 12:52
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	154	$4.3K	4,305	70	+4,235	No	+$22	09-09 20:39
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	150	$4.2K	4,228	290	+3,938	No	+$15	10-21 21:42
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	143	$4.0K	4,014	66	+3,948	No	+$4	05-15 18:33
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	296	$4.0K	5,264	62	+5,202	No	+$1,307	09-20 09:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	127	$3.9K	4,810	141	+4,669	Yes	-$3,789	10-25 23:44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	122	$3.9K	3,890	74	+3,816	No	+$27	06-20 06:49
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	124	$3.8K	3,843	75	+3,768	No	+$9	09-17 10:57
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	115	$3.8K	3,848	0	+3,848	No	+$43	09-21 14:35
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	120	$3.7K	3,696	48	+3,648	No	+$5	09-07 16:16
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	94	$3.5K	3,547	6	+3,541	No	+$8	07-31 12:34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	105	$3.5K	3,553	96	+3,457	No	+$33	10-25 23:16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	110	$3.3K	3,745	123	+3,622	No	+$414	06-20 06:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	146	$3.3K	3,331	1,371	+1,960	No	+$16	06-21 08:06
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	113	$3.3K	3,384	133	+3,251	Yes	-$3,421	09-22 08:45
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	127	$3.3K	3,833	1	+3,832	No	+$555	05-19 23:47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	126	$3.2K	3,262	132	+3,130	No	+$15	09-17 21:38
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	137	$3.1K	3,192	53	+3,139	No	+$56	09-20 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:08:07	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x54679c…
11-01 18:06:45	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x712e57…
11-01 18:00:19	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xe3b901…
11-01 17:59:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x5642d3…
11-01 17:57:12	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13a8cb…
11-01 17:55:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	75	79¢	$59	0x9378e5…
11-01 17:55:12	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe94b0f…
11-01 17:53:39	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7e9c38…
11-01 17:45:21	Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb470b9…
11-01 17:43:57	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2808d8…
11-01 17:38:37	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x702c57…
11-01 17:34:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xe01f63…
11-01 17:34:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x1ad852…
11-01 17:30:00	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 32.5-35%?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0xdc2e5e…
11-01 17:27:31	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xd0a426…
11-01 17:26:27	Will US births in 2026 be between 3.62 million and 3.65 million?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xd8418f…
11-01 17:21:40	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa89bd2…
11-01 17:21:10	Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xab99a2…
11-01 17:20:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x2b9de9…
11-01 17:16:42	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x03f8b7…
11-01 17:14:39	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x187785…
11-01 17:12:03	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x12b943…
11-01 17:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c6bd1…
11-01 17:06:27	Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x95217f…
11-01 17:02:52	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x552bfe…
11-01 16:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x93de84…
11-01 16:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x540fd0…
11-01 16:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbfe562…
11-01 16:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe72977…
11-01 16:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3128ae…
11-01 16:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb0b039…
11-01 16:52:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x99a80f…
11-01 16:52:27	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xe1eb49…
11-01 16:50:27	Will Vox win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xcf04d3…
11-01 16:43:49	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 32.5-35%?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x800837…
11-01 16:43:34	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa3c538…
11-01 16:39:31	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 25%?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xb3ec19…
11-01 16:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x0205af…
11-01 16:31:01	Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd5f167…
11-01 16:30:12	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 110m?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x53e3b4…
11-01 16:24:55	Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x560897…
11-01 16:24:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x8833b5…
11-01 16:24:21	Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x4358f1…
11-01 16:23:48	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe1a977…
11-01 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 2?	No	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xee0afd…
11-01 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4f585c…
11-01 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4707b6…
11-01 16:10:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	No	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0xd19b0a…
11-01 16:10:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x9f5fb2…
11-01 16:10:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x02ec60…
11-01 16:07:12	Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xe4d2ca…
11-01 16:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x46e0a0…
11-01 16:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x2b39ed…
11-01 16:01:16	Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a1a69…
11-01 15:46:46	Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xf60cf2…
11-01 15:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x901e6e…
11-01 15:29:30	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xef3856…
11-01 15:24:28	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	No	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xaa4072…
11-01 15:24:28	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x23d8d1…
11-01 15:22:12	Will Minnesota be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa17f21…
11-01 15:17:31	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x7f6b30…
11-01 15:15:52	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x218793…
11-01 15:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xed0344…
11-01 15:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xecf969…
11-01 15:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xdd3711…
11-01 15:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xbaf259…
11-01 15:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb868b4…
11-01 15:12:19	Will November 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a5bdb…
11-01 15:11:04	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x58e4fc…
11-01 15:09:04	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x4e6c10…
11-01 15:09:03	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x8d6e46…
11-01 15:07:31	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xb2433d…
11-01 15:06:27	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 29%+?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf51f5a…
11-01 15:05:09	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe3b19c…
11-01 15:05:09	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x748678…
11-01 15:05:09	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x14a8e7…
11-01 15:04:54	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xddb07b…
11-01 15:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7ea548…
11-01 15:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xcaa3eb…
11-01 15:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0fdca4…
11-01 15:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x92c344…
11-01 14:56:13	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xbf78e6…
11-01 14:56:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x12d35a…
11-01 14:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe3ae3c…
11-01 14:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9240aa…
11-01 14:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xfa0be8…
11-01 14:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x41b232…
11-01 14:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf8e150…
11-01 14:35:03	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f34bd…
11-01 14:34:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	No	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0xc0d499…
11-01 14:13:15	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb42bb1…
11-01 14:11:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x720077…
11-01 14:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6c7a25…
11-01 14:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbcfbb8…
11-01 14:01:04	Will Wicker win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xb6ca46…
11-01 14:01:04	Will Madden win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x72bcea…
11-01 14:01:04	Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5acf41…
11-01 14:01:04	Will I Love Boosters win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x386781…
11-01 14:01:04	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3068a6…
11-01 14:00:49	Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x7a2cd0…