Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
open
Total volume
$1,549
$23,321 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$103,822
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $925 | $925 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $1 | $622 | $621 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 1 | — | $110 | $110 |
| unranked | 14 | $1 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +624 | $623 | $623 | 5 | 05-05 20:45 |
| Oval-Prune 0x12fd…c776 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:18 |
| Lumbering-Approval 0xd253…d86c | No | +318 | $318 | $318 | 1 | 05-05 10:45 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +302 | $301 | $301 | 2 | 05-04 23:54 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 05-05 20:45 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-05 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 05-05 20:34 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 05-05 15:14 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 20:34 |
| Great-Beast 0x2703…a515 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 06:59 |
| Oily-Identification 0xca0d…a358 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:20 |
| Narrow-Chastity 0xcced…2e1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 01:30 |
| Youthful-Workhorse 0xa76e…fea5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:45:06 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x931a51… |
| 05-05 20:45:06 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xaf8095… |
| 05-05 20:34:44 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 149 | 100¢ | $148 | 0x81658f… |
| 05-05 20:34:34 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x1c5ca9… |
| 05-05 20:34:34 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x3e174d… |
| 05-05 20:34:34 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd4c52… |
| 05-05 20:34:34 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5ac156… |
| 05-05 20:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1ffa48… |
| 05-05 18:18:12 | Oval-Prune 0x12fd…c776 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd8c7b3… |
| 05-05 15:14:40 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x53a655… |
| 05-05 14:29:38 | Slim-Read 0x161d…d613 | Yes | SELL | 633 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3a8103… |
| 05-05 13:50:30 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 89 | 100¢ | $89 | 0x620b3a… |
| 05-05 13:50:30 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 306 | 100¢ | $306 | 0x7d2a75… |
| 05-05 13:50:30 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xab0aa8… |
| 05-05 10:45:14 | Lumbering-Approval 0xd253…d86c | No | BUY | 318 | 100¢ | $318 | 0xbc9a58… |
| 05-05 10:05:14 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xd7469d… |
| 05-05 08:20:04 | Oily-Identification 0xca0d…a358 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd292fb… |
| 05-05 06:59:48 | Great-Beast 0x2703…a515 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2874a1… |
| 05-05 06:30:44 | Youthful-Workhorse 0xa76e…fea5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3479b8… |
| 05-05 05:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdb83f9… |
| 05-05 04:50:04 | Growling-Styling 0xdf37…8b49 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2aa48e… |
| 05-05 01:30:18 | Narrow-Chastity 0xcced…2e1b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4ff2a1… |
| 05-04 23:54:56 | (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8f65ab… |
| 05-04 23:54:56 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 246 | 100¢ | $246 | 0x87a074… |
| 05-04 22:54:48 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0x06c40c… |
| 05-04 22:14:50 | (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7b7bcc… |