Realized P&L
+$2.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$432
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
368
Trades
194,322
lifetime
Volume
$58.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$628
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
91% 29% -$1,724
Tech
9% 50% +$3,951
Politics
0% 0% -$73
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Crypto
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +49,731 $48 0¢ $75 +$26 10-26 15:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes -100 -$54 62¢ $-62 -$7 10-28 17:14
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +36,494 $38 0¢ $55 +$16 10-31 06:12
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +29,423 $29 0¢ $44 +$15 10-31 08:23
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +29,184 -$16 0¢ $44 +$59 11-01 07:56
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +16,323 $38 0¢ $41 +$3 10-31 17:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No -50 -$28 72¢ $-36 -$7 10-28 14:00
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +27,338 $32 0¢ $27 -$4 10-31 06:18
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +18,073 $7 0¢ $27 +$20 11-01 07:55
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes +17,643 $28 0¢ $26 -$1 10-31 18:33
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? Yes +17,093 $44 0¢ $26 -$18 10-31 18:33
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes +15,802 $15 0¢ $24 +$8 10-31 18:33
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5,080 -$91 0¢ $23 +$113 10-31 04:12
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8,707 -$69 0¢ $22 +$91 11-01 07:55
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes +13,806 $26 0¢ $21 -$5 11-01 07:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No -50 -$25 38¢ $-19 +$6 10-28 09:36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,600 $42 1¢ $14 -$28 10-09 10:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes -50 -$22 29¢ $-14 +$8 10-28 05:10
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +943 -$9 1¢ $9 +$18 10-07 13:29
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +197 -$34 4¢ $9 +$43 09-24 19:41
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -190 -$24 3¢ $-5 +$18 10-31 12:48
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +83 $4 5¢ $4 +$0 05-29 22:43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +623 -$55 0¢ $2 +$57 10-27 06:54