Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
430
lifetime
Volume
$1.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
48%
Sports
29%
Other
23%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? Yes -276 $-253 94¢ $-261 $-8 05-05 19:03
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-230 60¢ $-229 +$1 05-05 04:15
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -195 $-181 98¢ $-190 $-9 05-05 21:50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes -210 $-115 57¢ $-120 $-5 05-05 21:45
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes -118 $-71 58¢ $-69 +$2 05-05 02:55
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes -109 $-59 58¢ $-64 $-5 05-05 19:54
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes -158 $-64 36¢ $-58 +$7 05-05 19:11
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-63 15¢ $-57 +$6 05-05 04:15
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? Yes -61 $-50 84¢ $-51 $-1 05-05 08:56
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-35 $-35 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-20 $-20 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Luis Javier Suárez score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season? Yes -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 05-05 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6? Yes -19 $-16 97¢ $-18 $-2 05-05 09:56
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? Yes -100 $-16 16¢ $-16 +$1 05-05 01:34
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-14 $-14 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes -30 $-14 43¢ $-13 +$1 05-05 14:14
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-12 $-12 +$0 05-05 04:15
Will Nikema Williams be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05? Yes -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 05-05 20:34
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-9 $-10 $-1 05-05 04:15
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026? Yes -111 $-10 $-9 +$1 05-05 19:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Yes -362 $-7 $-8 $-1 05-05 21:45
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? Yes -52 $-7 12¢ $-6 +$1 05-05 18:02
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? Yes -19 $-6 30¢ $-6 +$0 05-05 17:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? Yes -15 $-5 34¢ $-5 +$0 05-05 01:10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Yes -318 $-5 $-5 +$0 05-05 21:45
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -379 $-4 $-4 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -242 $-0 $-4 $-4 05-05 20:45
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes -12 $-4 35¢ $-4 $-1 05-05 14:14
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -436 $-1 $-4 $-4 05-05 20:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? Yes -15 $-4 26¢ $-4 $-0 05-05 01:10