Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$62,227
$7,106 in 24h
Trades
1,712
Unique wallets
244
Liquidity
$300,363
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-27 00:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.6¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $22.8K
vs crowd: 22% YES on $51.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 94 | $3.9K | $36.5K | $32.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 56 | $1.8K | $1.7K | +$109 |
| 🐟 Fish | 52 | $4.7K | $1.6K | +$3.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $929 | $245 | +$684 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 76 | $786 | $22.1K | $21.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 26 | $1.3K | $1.4K | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $59 | $60 | $1 |
| Median | 17 | $1.7K | $78 | +$1.6K |
| Below median | 32 | $596 | $307 | +$290 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $101 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 29 | $1.7K | $1.3K | +$369 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 38 | $4.9K | $13.4K | $8.5K |
| unranked | 2 | $142 | — | +$142 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | +15,694 | $1,584 | $1,584 | 65 | 10-27 00:14 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +10,000 | $9,018 | $9,018 | 16 | 10-26 23:55 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7,880 | $6,644 | $6,644 | 119 | 05-14 13:13 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | +7,530 | -$324 | $527 | 7 | 08-18 23:14 |
| Semen-Demon 0xf440…2747 | Yes | +7,108 | $1,044 | $1,368 | 21 | 10-23 13:10 |
| Jubilant-Park 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | +5,833 | $978 | $978 | 8 | 09-20 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1775…72a2 | Yes | +5,139 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-23 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | +5,000 | $524 | $524 | 24 | 10-26 13:33 |
| Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | +3,408 | $3,066 | $3,066 | 6 | 10-26 16:17 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +1,590 | $1,439 | $1,439 | 28 | 10-26 23:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | +1,430 | $141 | $141 | 15 | 10-26 16:17 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,404 | $1,251 | $1,251 | 13 | 10-25 23:41 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +1,337 | $1,158 | $3,880 | 53 | 10-25 12:28 |
| Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | +1,337 | $120 | $304 | 39 | 10-13 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | Yes | +1,333 | $96 | $96 | 21 | 10-23 17:26 |
| Optimal-Miss 0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | +1,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-23 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x371a…ce66 | No | +1,000 | $910 | $910 | 1 | 10-23 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +936 | $855 | $855 | 12 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +920 | $48 | $110 | 13 | 06-30 09:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +885 | $799 | $799 | 15 | 10-25 07:18 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +853 | $69 | $69 | 7 | 10-07 23:08 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +753 | $677 | $677 | 7 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +752 | $633 | $633 | 2 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +739 | $658 | $2,866 | 31 | 10-25 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +713 | $67 | $77 | 5 | 10-25 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +713 | $654 | $1,007 | 8 | 10-25 12:28 |
| Palatable-Argument 0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | +674 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 08-02 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +655 | $592 | $592 | 23 | 10-27 00:12 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | +651 | $30 | $89 | 14 | 06-30 12:28 |
| Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | No | +616 | $534 | $534 | 1 | 08-17 03:40 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +564 | $479 | $479 | 11 | 05-15 13:50 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +562 | $460 | $460 | 6 | 06-09 05:38 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | +500 | $50 | $50 | 6 | 10-26 03:20 |
| Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | +476 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 10-13 23:52 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +421 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 10-24 15:03 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +373 | $32 | $32 | 21 | 10-25 13:13 |
| Worn-Word 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | +331 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 10-25 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +329 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 10-26 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb36c…1077 | Yes | +300 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 08-20 16:01 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +300 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 08-18 23:14 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | +270 | $248 | $248 | 1 | 09-22 15:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +250 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-13 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +250 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 10-07 23:08 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +248 | $215 | $215 | 4 | 10-23 04:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +242 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-19 15:16 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | Yes | +229 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 08-04 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8839…b28c | No | +215 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-23 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | +204 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 10-26 03:00 |
| frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | Yes | +200 | $25 | $25 | 8 | 10-05 18:49 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +187 | $165 | $165 | 9 | 10-26 03:20 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +177 | $161 | $163 | 10 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Blue-Gelatin 0x0f60…026a | Yes | +171 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 05-23 15:02 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +160 | $145 | $145 | 4 | 10-13 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ac2…67da | Yes | +153 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 10-26 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc16e…8f62 | Yes | +151 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-14 18:52 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +135 | $113 | $113 | 10 | 10-02 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf60…5dd4 | Yes | +127 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-03 04:01 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +120 | $108 | $108 | 4 | 10-26 11:20 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +117 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 08-10 17:00 |
| Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | +105 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-13 14:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:14:21 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9c7f6a… |
| 10-27 00:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9c7f6a… |
| 10-27 00:14:11 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xbe6cfc… |
| 10-27 00:14:11 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbe6cfc… |
| 10-27 00:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x07132f… |
| 10-27 00:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x07132f… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x07ea5c… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x329627… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x07ea5c… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x329627… |
| 10-27 00:03:29 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0xe45e26… |
| 10-27 00:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xe45e26… |
| 10-26 23:55:29 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 6,363 | 10¢ | $636 | 0xbcc01f… |
| 10-26 23:55:29 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 8,574 | 90¢ | $7,717 | 0xbcc01f… |
| 10-26 23:14:15 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 10¢ | $15 | 0x6eefc8… |
| 10-26 23:14:15 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 152 | 90¢ | $137 | 0x6eefc8… |
| 10-26 17:15:18 | (anonymous) 0x50f7…92d9 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x3e7e17… |
| 10-26 17:15:18 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x3e7e17… |
| 10-26 16:21:08 | (anonymous) 0x50f7…92d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x756e07… |
| 10-26 16:21:08 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x756e07… |
| 10-26 16:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x3ff0…4a80 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x08bc57… |
| 10-26 16:17:41 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x08bc57… |
| 10-26 16:17:38 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x10bc74… |
| 10-26 16:17:38 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x10bc74… |
| 10-26 13:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xe402cb… |
| 10-26 13:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe402cb… |
| 10-26 13:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x42b840… |
| 10-26 13:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x42b840… |
| 10-26 13:51:20 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5cd4e6… |
| 10-26 13:51:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x5cd4e6… |
| 10-26 13:49:27 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x96d8e5… |
| 10-26 13:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x96d8e5… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5fab48… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x5fab48… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xab8c15… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x6323ae… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xbc229e… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd9dfd8… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xab8c15… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbc229e… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6323ae… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd9dfd8… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 90¢ | $140 | 0x972e4e… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x24cd77… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x13d3a3… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 47 | 90¢ | $42 | 0xa5fc29… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 10¢ | $16 | 0x972e4e… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xa5fc29… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x24cd77… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x13d3a3… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 90¢ | $140 | 0xd2b19b… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xc9cc83… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xa0d4…9942 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xc9cc83… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 10¢ | $16 | 0xd2b19b… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 143 | 90¢ | $129 | 0xc9cc83… |
| 10-26 13:48:02 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | Yes | SELL | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x1534d8… |
| 10-26 13:48:02 | Perfect-Appetiser 0x6238…57c8 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x1534d8… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x0f4020… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xd95b44… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x02d5f6… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x02d5f6… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x0f4020… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd95b44… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 10¢ | $22 | 0x5afd39… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 220 | 90¢ | $198 | 0x5afd39… |
| 10-26 13:39:53 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | Yes | SELL | 486 | 10¢ | $49 | 0xa49f55… |
| 10-26 13:39:53 | (anonymous) 0xb1ed…3056 | Yes | BUY | 486 | 10¢ | $49 | 0xa49f55… |
| 10-26 13:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 3,416 | 11¢ | $376 | 0xb30c23… |
| 10-26 13:33:12 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | Yes | SELL | 3,416 | 11¢ | $376 | 0xb30c23… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x8f17a1… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8f17a1… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x70d5e2… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x70d5e2… |
| 10-26 13:02:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x642133… |
| 10-26 13:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x642133… |
| 10-26 11:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x543455… |
| 10-26 11:20:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x543455… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x646e5d… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 51 | 90¢ | $46 | 0xe4c1ab… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 44 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xdc2b55… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0xfd2c…9d20 | No | BUY | 44 | 90¢ | $40 | 0xdc2b55… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 51 | 90¢ | $46 | 0x646e5d… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe4c1ab… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x4acdb1… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xc3ee4a… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x4acdb1… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 166 | 90¢ | $149 | 0xdfb693… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x54b1ba… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x442d0c… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x54b1ba… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x442d0c… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xc3ee4a… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 166 | 10¢ | $17 | 0xdfb693… |
| 10-26 08:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x4df3…0d00 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc329d8… |
| 10-26 08:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x8d41…404a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc329d8… |
| 10-26 07:46:47 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xe53f14… |
| 10-26 07:46:47 | (anonymous) 0x5ac2…67da | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xe53f14… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x5f1c4a… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0e4831… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 31 | 90¢ | $28 | 0x2bf67e… |