Linear-Monocle 0xa7b5bf…66fa78 Create alert
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
342
Trades
7,225
lifetime
Volume
$189.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$33.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 11-02 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Politics
41% 51% +$1,103
Sports
40% 35% -$2,810
Other
19% 34% -$412
Crypto
0% 55% -$26
Tech
0% 0% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,000 $6,610 76¢ $6.9K +$275 11-03 00:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7,000 $4,920 76¢ $5.3K +$365 11-01 03:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +17,905 $3,330 16¢ $2.8K -$510 09-24 03:05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,500 $2,000 78¢ $2.0K -$38 11-02 09:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,000 $1,880 94¢ $1.9K +$10 10-30 14:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,867 $1,777 5¢ $1.8K +$16 09-23 22:00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +31,244 $1,549 5¢ $1.6K +$60 10-16 16:25
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,030 62¢ $1.2K +$200 11-01 03:55
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +59,938 $756 2¢ $1.0K +$293 08-13 20:46
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,869 $641 4¢ $989 +$348 07-10 16:08
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +19,499 $828 4¢ $799 -$29 09-13 00:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,225 -$457 14¢ $-611 -$153 09-15 13:28
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +12,784 $431 5¢ $607 +$177 11-01 17:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$476 97¢ $-484 -$8 10-19 02:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $460 94¢ $472 +$12 10-25 13:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3,480 $507 14¢ $470 -$37 11-02 13:32
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,700 $268 12¢ $462 +$194 06-24 05:40
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,834 $525 7¢ $408 -$117 05-18 10:56
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,000 $163 8¢ $392 +$229 09-05 18:17
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +6,571 $440 6¢ $361 -$79 11-02 23:16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +5,546 $499 6¢ $333 -$166 11-01 18:25
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,176 $187 10¢ $319 +$132 07-13 21:51
Bears vs. Seahawks Bears +800 $312 38¢ $308 -$4 11-03 00:44
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +26,667 $320 1¢ $307 -$13 11-03 00:36
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $60 3¢ $305 +$245 08-17 19:12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +147,675 $295 0¢ $295 +$0 11-03 00:57
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +27,793 $300 1¢ $292 -$8 11-02 23:33
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? Yes +37,337 $310 1¢ $261 -$49 11-03 00:09
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +38,571 $270 1¢ $251 -$19 11-03 00:36
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +14,325 $200 2¢ $251 +$51 11-02 21:53