Linear-Monocle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$184

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,078

lifetime

Volume

$75.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-19 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% 0% $-80

Other

37% — —

Sports

14% 0% $-104

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	67	$9.1K	12,949	12,099	+850	open	—	03-20 01:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	16	$8.2K	9,015	610	+8,405	open	—	03-01 02:46
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	14	$5.4K	7,342	0	+7,342	open	—	02-25 03:47
will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	33	$4.4K	2,094	2,738	-644	open	—	03-09 04:13
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	17	$2.1K	3,870	0	+3,870	open	—	02-25 03:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	03-03 15:52
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-11 13:59
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	10	$1.9K	4,333	0	+4,333	open	—	02-24 23:57
will finland win the mens ice hockey bronze medal at the 2026 winter olympics	15	$1.8K	4,445	374	+4,072	open	—	02-21 21:48
will any candidate win the texas republican senate primary outright	18	$1.7K	951	990	-38	open	—	03-08 00:01
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	19	$1.4K	12,055	5,838	+6,217	open	—	03-04 08:09
mlb al nl 2026 07 14	4	$1.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-15 00:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$1.3K	2,608	1,304	+1,304	open	—	03-21 00:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$1.0K	8,232	0	+8,232	open	—	03-06 15:08
ncaa tournament no 15 seed to win a game	39	$1.0K	6,453	5,177	+1,276	open	—	03-21 04:42
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	10	$934	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	06-30 00:58
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	101	$852	3,638	1,483	+2,155	open	—	03-18 02:52
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$781	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	03-26 01:59
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	5	$780	1,304	0	+1,304	open	—	02-28 06:40
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$710	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 19:00
ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	19	$690	862	0	+862	open	—	03-27 00:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$685	700	700	+0	open	—	03-21 00:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	6	$685	500	200	+300	open	—	05-18 14:27
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	6	$662	973	0	+973	open	—	03-09 20:23
will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	22	$655	6,387	0	+6,387	open	—	02-25 03:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$641	400	400	+0	open	—	04-08 11:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$638	500	500	+0	open	—	04-08 00:34
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	9	$603	25,877	0	+25,877	open	—	03-11 01:22
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	1	$574	641	0	+641	open	—	02-17 21:20
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	2	$560	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	07-15 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:17:10	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	328	37¢	$121	0xf6783f…
07-19 16:12:00	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0xbd649b…
07-19 15:50:21	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x86dcae…
07-19 15:24:12	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2a8e39…
07-19 13:29:58	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x537738…
07-19 12:58:39	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xdfcd42…
07-19 11:16:21	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	526	10¢	$50	0x3262eb…
07-19 10:35:00	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xce6983…
07-15 20:10:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0xad2417…
07-15 20:10:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0x0698e0…
07-15 20:09:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb964a1…
07-15 20:07:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x35c041…
07-15 20:06:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6c9410…
07-15 20:06:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x98e8ff…
07-15 20:06:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x433e28…
07-15 20:06:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	52	46¢	$24	0x218f61…
07-15 20:06:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	74	46¢	$34	0x1e3389…
07-15 20:06:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x18b81b…
07-15 20:06:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	58	46¢	$27	0xc85909…
07-15 19:18:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa2a310…
07-15 19:13:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0x0c326b…
07-15 19:12:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0xa82ca1…
07-15 19:06:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x93bf58…
07-15 19:05:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0xd58f5d…
07-15 18:57:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0xe0751e…
07-15 18:56:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0xcd2e60…
07-15 18:56:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0b0965…
07-15 18:54:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x646f0a…
07-15 18:51:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe13447…
07-15 18:51:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xb0c44c…
07-15 00:29:17	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x636f26…
07-14 23:58:56	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	246	45¢	$111	0xe199bf…
07-14 23:58:55	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdea26b…
07-14 23:58:26	mlb al nl 2026 07 14	American League	BUY	1,745	45¢	$785	0x3d4a52…
07-12 02:57:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x585906…
07-12 02:54:19	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x1d607b…
07-12 01:02:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0x819b44…
07-12 01:00:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xd0f498…
07-12 01:00:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xb7df3b…
07-12 00:59:23	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0x62f3e2…
07-11 21:20:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe9381d…
07-11 21:17:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	394	42¢	$166	0x39124b…
07-11 21:16:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x0289f0…
07-11 21:16:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6d38de…
07-06 02:46:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xbe40ff…
07-06 02:46:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6c8890…
07-06 02:46:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x4dee03…
07-06 00:55:46	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x3769f5…
06-30 00:58:34	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	535	58¢	$310	0xbaa58b…
06-30 00:58:32	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0xbcf513…
06-30 00:58:14	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xedf84a…
06-30 00:57:59	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa33f8d…
06-30 00:57:43	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x12fac8…
06-30 00:57:40	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xe24896…
06-30 00:57:38	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf8d589…
06-30 00:57:29	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x54cd76…
06-30 00:57:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	279	58¢	$162	0x0f142d…
06-30 00:56:56	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	600	59¢	$354	0x6b78e2…
06-28 19:06:38	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x1b4940…
06-26 18:37:17	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$23	0x2c4ced…
06-25 22:59:37	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xdc96e7…
06-25 22:34:22	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0xdaac74…
06-22 18:02:32	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	198	30¢	$59	0x53cc3f…
06-22 18:02:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xca1553…
06-22 18:02:11	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xd39a68…
06-22 16:57:58	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	231	16¢	$37	0xc8df8d…
06-22 16:57:47	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0xb53d5e…
06-22 16:57:43	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	110	16¢	$18	0x9d0b4d…
06-14 19:11:49	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe00a95…
06-14 19:11:49	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	SELL	86	92¢	$79	0x804da8…
06-14 19:11:49	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x5bba21…
06-14 19:11:45	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0xf6884a…
06-14 19:11:19	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4a3135…
06-14 19:11:19	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x1d3140…
06-14 17:57:55	mlb hou kc 2026 06 14	Kansas City Royals	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x23d51f…
05-29 14:06:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe7c916…
05-18 14:27:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0x5a14b9…
05-18 14:18:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xac3e50…
05-17 02:52:06	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0x6fe038…
05-17 02:51:41	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x22fa42…
05-17 02:10:39	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x9684e8…
05-17 02:10:28	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x8c3757…
05-17 02:07:04	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xde13f3…
05-17 02:06:50	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0x84374d…
05-16 22:44:32	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x1aa6c3…
05-16 00:12:29	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xe24952…
05-15 02:57:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x3ee79b…
05-14 22:52:36	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x772dff…
05-12 23:10:30	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xa53299…
05-07 00:35:23	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x6340c2…
04-26 00:00:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xde8d79…
04-25 23:54:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x9a0abd…
04-25 23:53:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4afba6…
04-25 23:53:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x93ebc0…
04-25 23:52:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x82787b…
04-25 23:51:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x98507c…
04-25 18:47:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x118710…
04-25 16:04:52	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc8778d…
04-25 15:47:22	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x34d648…
04-25 15:37:12	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$6	0x2356af…