Realized P&L
+$100
Unrealized P&L
+$774
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
318
Trades
3,702
lifetime
Volume
$406.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$168.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-26 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
49% 71% +$196
Other
42% 86% -$140
Sports
8% 100% +$50
Tech
1% 0% -$4
Crypto
0% 90% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +37,698 $26,370 70¢ $26.6K +$206 10-26 17:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +28,231 $24,996 92¢ $26.1K +$1,118 10-26 16:36
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +38,003 $11,497 30¢ $11.6K +$94 10-26 17:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,992 $7,929 95¢ $9.4K +$1,519 10-26 01:36
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,320 $9,137 100¢ $9.3K +$150 10-26 01:36
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,992 $9,295 81¢ $8.1K -$1,216 10-26 01:36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,173 $6,735 64¢ $7.2K +$433 10-25 17:06
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6,313 $6,292 100¢ $6.3K -$8 10-26 14:10
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,804 $5,784 100¢ $5.8K +$14 10-26 01:36
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,804 $5,791 100¢ $5.8K +$5 10-26 01:36
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,209 $4,205 100¢ $4.2K -$2 10-24 10:15
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,173 $4,403 36¢ $4.0K -$436 10-25 17:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,440 $3,338 83¢ $3.7K +$347 10-21 23:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,534 $3,520 64¢ $3.6K +$49 10-20 19:01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,251 $3,246 100¢ $3.2K $0 10-26 01:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,240 $3,159 97¢ $3.2K -$7 10-22 02:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,909 $2,777 36¢ $2.8K +$31 10-23 09:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,402 $2,682 78¢ $2.7K -$12 10-22 02:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +30,128 $3,508 8¢ $2.4K -$1,098 10-26 16:36
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,992 $2,988 24¢ $2.4K -$585 10-26 01:36
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $2,201 99¢ $2.3K +$64 10-26 16:22
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $2,229 96¢ $2.2K -$18 10-26 16:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,203 $2,199 100¢ $2.2K +$2 10-26 12:00
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $1,912 90¢ $2.1K +$139 10-26 16:22
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $2,098 89¢ $2.0K -$60 10-26 16:22
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $1,957 88¢ $2.0K +$48 10-26 16:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,113 $1,953 92¢ $2.0K +$2 10-22 06:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +2,649 $1,987 74¢ $1.9K -$40 10-23 08:15
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $1,929 84¢ $1.9K -$16 10-26 16:22
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,923 $1,851 99¢ $1.9K +$50 10-25 00:17