Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$386

Unrealized P&L

+$29.8K

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved (30d)

436

Trades (30d)

4,249

4,249 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$518.5K

$518.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$147.0K

30 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-30 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

47% 87% +$195

Politics

45% 73% +$192

Sports

7% 75% +$4

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 90% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+42,164	$12,787	100¢	$42.2K	+$29,377	10-27 02:58
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+10,473	$10,442	100¢	$10.5K	+$15	10-27 02:57
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+13,381	$8,199	68¢	$9.1K	+$941	10-30 15:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+11,083	$8,682	74¢	$8.3K	-$425	10-30 07:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+7,928	$7,740	99¢	$7.8K	+$72	10-29 07:13
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+7,486	$5,331	78¢	$5.8K	+$471	10-29 19:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+6,716	$5,169	82¢	$5.5K	+$372	10-29 21:40
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+13,227	$5,117	32¢	$4.2K	-$885	10-30 15:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+5,534	$3,520	72¢	$4.0K	+$437	10-20 19:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+12,258	$3,011	29¢	$3.5K	+$483	10-30 07:01
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,530	$3,059	94¢	$3.3K	+$241	10-28 22:30
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,530	$3,396	93¢	$3.3K	-$122	10-28 22:30
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,530	$3,048	92¢	$3.2K	+$182	10-28 22:30
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,529	$3,182	88¢	$3.1K	-$85	10-28 22:30
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,530	$2,968	84¢	$2.9K	-$21	10-28 22:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+4,655	$3,015	62¢	$2.9K	-$153	10-29 15:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+3,965	$2,647	72¢	$2.8K	+$188	10-29 17:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+7,909	$2,777	29¢	$2.3K	-$523	10-23 09:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+2,649	$1,987	78¢	$2.1K	+$66	10-23 08:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+2,113	$1,953	94¢	$2.0K	+$44	10-22 06:18
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,529	$2,208	56¢	$2.0K	-$213	10-28 22:30
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	-1,928	-$540	99¢	$-1909	-$1,369	10-26 11:01
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,923	$1,851	99¢	$1.9K	+$50	10-25 00:17
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,903	$1,887	96¢	$1.8K	-$55	10-28 04:52
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,823	$1,299	100¢	$1.8K	+$520	10-26 22:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+4,655	$1,657	38¢	$1.8K	+$133	10-29 15:02
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,919	$1,713	93¢	$1.8K	+$72	10-20 21:11
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,777	99¢	$1.8K	+$0	10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,774	99¢	$1.8K	-$4	10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,770	99¢	$1.8K	-$4	10-26 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	69	$60.6K	65,981	889	+65,092	No	+$5,015	10-28 15:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	40	$29.8K	41,858	1,928	+39,930	open	—	10-27 02:57
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	40	$14.0K	42,164	1,622	+40,541	open	—	10-27 02:58
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	33	$13.0K	19,435	1,728	+17,706	Yes	-$11,768	10-25 17:16
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	40	$10.5K	10,473	33,313	-22,839	open	—	10-27 02:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$9.6K	12,286	0	+12,286	Yes	-$9,566	10-22 01:09
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$9.3K	9,992	0	+9,992	No	+$697	10-26 01:36
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$9.2K	9,320	673	+8,647	No	+$196	10-26 01:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	22	$8.7K	11,083	0	+11,083	open	—	10-30 07:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	30	$8.2K	13,381	0	+13,381	open	—	10-30 15:21
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$7.9K	9,992	0	+9,992	No	+$2,063	10-26 01:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	22	$7.8K	7,928	3,155	+4,773	open	—	10-30 07:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	39	$7.7K	8,264	0	+8,264	No	+$588	10-25 08:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	39	$7.5K	7,624	640	+6,984	No	+$156	10-25 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	67	$6.8K	6,668	59,214	-52,545	No	+$214	10-28 15:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	39	$6.8K	8,264	0	+8,264	Yes	-$6,771	10-25 08:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	73	$6.7K	68,886	0	+68,886	Yes	-$5,174	10-28 15:14
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	25	$6.4K	14,252	2,815	+11,436	No	+$11,762	10-25 17:16
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	13	$6.2K	8,708	118	+8,590	Yes	-$6,099	10-23 18:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	47	$6.1K	9,239	0	+9,239	No	+$2,611	10-25 08:56
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$5.8K	5,804	4,188	+1,616	No	+$29	10-26 01:36
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$5.8K	5,804	4,188	+1,616	No	+$40	10-26 01:36
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	32	$5.6K	13,799	726	+13,073	open	—	10-30 15:21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	12	$5.3K	7,486	0	+7,486	open	—	10-29 19:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	7	$5.2K	6,716	0	+6,716	open	—	10-29 21:40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	41	$5.0K	8,359	105	+8,254	No	+$3,369	10-25 08:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$4.4K	10,284	5	+10,279	open	—	10-23 09:16
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	54	$4.2K	4,209	4,352	-142	No	+$10	10-24 10:15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	39	$4.1K	4,091	4,172	-81	No	+$58	10-25 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	26	$3.9K	13,433	0	+13,433	open	—	10-30 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:34:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	178	1¢	$1	0x99a668…
10-30 17:34:33	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	178	0¢	$1	0x758b6d…
10-30 17:34:33	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	178	0¢	$0	0x70f501…
10-30 17:34:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	178	53¢	$94	0xd4d234…
10-30 17:34:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	178	49¢	$87	0x1244f5…
10-30 17:24:07	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	BUY	169	60¢	$101	0x936388…
10-30 17:24:06	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	BUY	169	41¢	$69	0x62af92…
10-30 16:20:15	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	1,644	10¢	$167	0x9ed64a…
10-30 16:19:52	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	1,644	12¢	$199	0xaf7ca0…
10-30 16:09:18	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	427	0¢	$0	0x95cd7e…
10-30 16:09:04	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	427	63¢	$269	0xc2dc73…
10-30 16:09:04	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	427	37¢	$158	0x39673d…
10-30 15:21:48	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	110	33¢	$36	0x909142…
10-30 15:21:46	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	110	67¢	$74	0xb974bb…
10-30 15:14:55	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xc41eb8…
10-30 15:14:54	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xcf320c…
10-30 15:14:54	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xa18fbe…
10-30 15:14:54	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x83209b…
10-30 15:14:54	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x7d0235…
10-30 15:14:54	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x5d90a6…
10-30 15:14:54	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x1c5ffb…
10-30 15:14:54	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x0251a5…
10-30 15:14:54	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x007111…
10-30 15:14:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	75	41¢	$31	0xa5ffb0…
10-30 15:14:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x7e04da…
10-30 15:14:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$51	0x1fd4f7…
10-30 14:49:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$9	0x905c26…
10-30 14:49:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xa1ed42…
10-30 13:19:13	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xdd5d1d…
10-30 13:19:13	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x4f30ef…
10-30 13:19:13	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x40cbc7…
10-30 13:19:13	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x0a3ddc…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xdf2612…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xc784f6…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x337090…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x3177d9…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x301c81…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x0333cf…
10-30 12:22:00	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	517	73¢	$377	0xe70105…
10-30 12:21:58	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	517	27¢	$140	0x4698ee…
10-30 11:33:55	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	154	72¢	$111	0x00aacf…
10-30 11:33:42	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	154	71¢	$110	0xcaec36…
10-30 09:05:54	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xb0268f…
10-30 09:05:52	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x7f5e1e…
10-30 08:19:34	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xb227ad…
10-30 08:18:42	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x68e642…
10-30 08:18:36	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xe777c7…
10-30 08:18:09	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x5e200e…
10-30 07:02:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,993	2¢	$45	0x6d2074…
10-30 07:02:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,993	0¢	$15	0x302006…
10-30 07:02:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,993	0¢	$9	0x057a47…
10-30 07:01:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,993	27¢	$808	0x7dff78…
10-30 07:01:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,993	75¢	$2,245	0x6affca…
10-30 00:20:16	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	109	15¢	$16	0xfd5822…
10-30 00:19:54	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xe6feb7…
10-30 00:14:30	Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	No	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x956421…
10-30 00:14:30	Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$21	0x2e277f…
10-29 23:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x07fd92…
10-29 23:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x78e056…
10-29 22:41:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x6224b8…
10-29 22:41:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0x12d10c…
10-29 21:40:39	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	512	17¢	$87	0xd717f1…
10-29 21:40:37	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	512	82¢	$420	0x2e1bf2…
10-29 20:29:36	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$0	0xca42b2…
10-29 20:29:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	164	1¢	$1	0x956d2d…
10-29 20:29:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$0	0x68e10d…
10-29 20:29:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	164	63¢	$103	0xbb8355…
10-29 20:29:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	164	39¢	$64	0x549179…
10-29 20:09:31	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	255	0¢	$1	0xf0099a…
10-29 20:09:31	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	255	1¢	$3	0x6a94da…
10-29 20:09:30	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	255	0¢	$0	0x6ff964…
10-29 20:09:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	255	64¢	$162	0x68c129…
10-29 20:09:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	255	39¢	$99	0x87b7cc…
10-29 19:04:34	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,678	26¢	$436	0x12579c…
10-29 19:04:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,678	73¢	$1,225	0xe25c71…
10-29 19:03:55	Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x4968dc…
10-29 17:53:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,524	68¢	$1,036	0x9453b6…
10-29 17:53:08	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,524	31¢	$472	0x267bf9…
10-29 17:49:53	Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x17b03c…
10-29 17:49:52	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x67bc5c…
10-29 17:47:32	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,764	80¢	$1,411	0xfb9d9b…
10-29 17:47:31	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,764	19¢	$335	0x02f5d7…
10-29 17:35:25	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,274	26¢	$331	0x0f735c…
10-29 17:35:23	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,274	73¢	$930	0x35f9be…
10-29 17:20:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x36dbbe…
10-29 17:20:22	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x041b1b…
10-29 17:20:20	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb8dd8d…
10-29 17:20:20	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x81f674…
10-29 17:20:20	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2bdbb9…
10-29 17:20:20	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x28f78c…
10-29 17:20:20	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x134eaf…
10-29 17:20:20	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0db8fb…
10-29 17:19:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xe6bd3a…
10-29 17:19:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x8735a8…
10-29 16:38:47	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	SELL	1,436	12¢	$172	0x35a8c8…
10-29 16:38:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	BUY	1,016	83¢	$844	0xccf36c…
10-29 16:38:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,016	18¢	$183	0x842dfc…
10-29 16:38:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	BUY	1,436	19¢	$273	0x25f508…
10-29 16:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xf461c1…
10-29 16:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xa38d20…