Realized P&L (7d)
+$146
Unrealized P&L
+$220
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved (7d)
214
Trades (7d)
1,858
3,748 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$282.7K
$417.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$143.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-27 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
50% 71% +$197
Other
41% 87% -$60
Sports
8% 100% +$50
Tech
1% 0% -$4
Crypto
0% 90% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +41,858 $29,241 70¢ $29.5K +$269 10-27 02:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +29,890 $26,567 94¢ $27.9K +$1,380 10-27 02:11
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +42,164 $12,787 30¢ $12.4K -$348 10-27 02:58
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,473 $10,442 100¢ $10.4K +$5 10-27 02:57
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,173 $6,735 65¢ $7.2K +$489 10-25 17:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,173 $4,403 35¢ $3.9K -$492 10-25 17:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,440 $3,338 82¢ $3.7K +$325 10-21 23:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,534 $3,520 66¢ $3.6K +$105 10-20 19:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,240 $3,159 97¢ $3.2K -$5 10-22 02:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,909 $2,777 34¢ $2.7K -$49 10-23 09:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,402 $2,682 78¢ $2.7K -$12 10-22 02:42
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $2,201 100¢ $2.3K +$84 10-26 16:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,203 $2,199 100¢ $2.2K +$2 10-26 12:00
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $2,229 95¢ $2.2K -$60 10-26 16:22
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $1,912 92¢ $2.1K +$184 10-26 16:22
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $2,098 88¢ $2.0K -$78 10-26 16:22
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $1,957 88¢ $2.0K +$48 10-26 16:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,113 $1,953 92¢ $2.0K +$2 10-22 06:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +2,649 $1,987 74¢ $1.9K -$40 10-23 08:15
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +2,291 $1,929 84¢ $1.9K +$7 10-26 16:22
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,923 $1,851 99¢ $1.9K +$60 10-25 00:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +31,787 $3,611 6¢ $1.9K -$1,704 10-27 02:11
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,774 99¢ $1.8K +$2 10-26 13:13
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,777 99¢ $1.8K -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,770 99¢ $1.8K $0 10-26 13:13
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,763 98¢ $1.8K -$2 10-26 13:13
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1,919 $1,713 92¢ $1.8K +$43 10-20 21:11
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,753 98¢ $1.8K -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,740 98¢ $1.8K +$10 10-26 13:13
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,789 $1,743 97¢ $1.7K -$2 10-26 13:13