Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$219

Unrealized P&L

+$28.9K

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved (7d)

201

Trades (7d)

1,795

4,054 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$312.5K

$486.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$128.0K

30 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-28 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

47% 86% +$166

Politics

45% 72% +$59

Sports

7% 100% +$50

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Crypto

0% 90% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+42,164	$12,787	100¢	$42.2K	+$29,377	10-27 02:58
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+10,473	$10,442	100¢	$10.5K	+$21	10-27 02:57
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+12,942	$7,896	68¢	$8.7K	+$840	10-28 10:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+4,819	$4,705	98¢	$4.7K	-$4	10-28 15:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+12,942	$5,027	32¢	$4.2K	-$821	10-28 10:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+4,982	$3,936	82¢	$4.1K	+$173	10-28 15:38
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+5,534	$3,520	66¢	$3.7K	+$160	10-20 19:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+4,440	$3,338	82¢	$3.6K	+$281	10-21 23:37
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,271	$3,157	93¢	$3.0K	-$125	10-28 22:25
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,271	$2,810	92¢	$3.0K	+$183	10-28 22:25
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,271	$2,829	90¢	$2.9K	+$98	10-28 22:25
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,271	$2,955	88¢	$2.9K	-$85	10-28 22:25
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,271	$2,752	84¢	$2.7K	-$20	10-28 22:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+7,909	$2,777	34¢	$2.6K	-$128	10-23 09:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+2,113	$1,953	94¢	$2.0K	+$23	10-22 06:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+2,649	$1,987	74¢	$1.9K	-$40	10-23 08:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	-1,928	-$540	100¢	$-1918	-$1,379	10-26 11:01
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,923	$1,851	100¢	$1.9K	+$66	10-25 00:17
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,903	$1,887	99¢	$1.9K	-$8	10-28 04:52
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	+3,271	$2,060	56¢	$1.8K	-$212	10-28 22:25
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,823	$1,299	100¢	$1.8K	+$522	10-26 22:47
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,777	99¢	$1.8K	+$0	10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,774	99¢	$1.8K	-$1	10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,770	99¢	$1.8K	-$7	10-26 13:13
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,763	98¢	$1.8K	-$8	10-26 13:13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,740	98¢	$1.8K	+$12	10-26 13:13
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,753	98¢	$1.8K	-$1	10-26 13:13
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,737	98¢	$1.7K	+$9	10-26 13:13
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,743	97¢	$1.7K	-$2	10-26 13:13
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1,789	$1,743	97¢	$1.7K	-$5	10-26 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	69	$60.6K	65,981	889	+65,092	No	+$5,015	10-28 15:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	40	$29.8K	41,858	1,928	+39,930	open	—	10-27 02:57
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	40	$14.0K	42,164	1,622	+40,541	open	—	10-27 02:58
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	33	$13.0K	19,435	1,728	+17,706	Yes	-$11,768	10-25 17:16
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	40	$10.5K	10,473	33,313	-22,839	open	—	10-27 02:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$9.6K	12,286	0	+12,286	Yes	-$9,566	10-22 01:09
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$9.3K	9,992	0	+9,992	No	+$697	10-26 01:36
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$9.2K	9,320	673	+8,647	No	+$196	10-26 01:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$7.9K	9,992	0	+9,992	No	+$2,063	10-26 01:36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	27	$7.9K	12,942	0	+12,942	open	—	10-28 10:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	39	$7.7K	8,264	0	+8,264	No	+$588	10-25 08:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	39	$7.5K	7,624	640	+6,984	No	+$156	10-25 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	67	$6.8K	6,668	59,214	-52,545	No	+$214	10-28 15:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	39	$6.8K	8,264	0	+8,264	Yes	-$6,771	10-25 08:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	73	$6.7K	68,886	0	+68,886	Yes	-$5,174	10-28 15:14
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	25	$6.4K	14,252	2,815	+11,436	No	+$11,762	10-25 17:16
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	13	$6.2K	8,708	118	+8,590	Yes	-$6,099	10-23 18:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	47	$6.1K	9,239	0	+9,239	No	+$2,611	10-25 08:56
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$5.8K	5,804	4,188	+1,616	No	+$29	10-26 01:36
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	59	$5.8K	5,804	4,188	+1,616	No	+$40	10-26 01:36
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	29	$5.4K	13,514	572	+12,942	open	—	10-28 10:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	41	$5.0K	8,359	105	+8,254	No	+$3,369	10-25 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	19	$4.7K	4,819	162	+4,657	open	—	10-28 15:38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$4.4K	10,284	5	+10,279	open	—	10-23 09:16
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	54	$4.2K	4,209	4,352	-142	No	+$10	10-24 10:15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	39	$4.1K	4,091	4,172	-81	No	+$58	10-25 08:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	19	$3.9K	4,982	0	+4,982	open	—	10-28 15:38
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$3.5K	5,534	5	+5,529	open	—	10-23 09:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	5	$3.3K	4,440	0	+4,440	open	—	10-21 23:37
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	67	$3.3K	3,251	6,742	-3,491	No	+$15	10-26 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:26:08	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	0¢	$1	0x92a2b4…
10-28 22:26:08	Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	1¢	$4	0x709b95…
10-28 22:26:08	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	1¢	$2	0x50628d…
10-28 22:26:08	Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	0¢	$1	0x1413cf…
10-28 22:26:07	Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	1¢	$2	0xa5fcc0…
10-28 22:26:07	Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	2¢	$7	0x70b3a8…
10-28 22:25:40	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	356	93¢	$330	0x75f3bb…
10-28 22:25:40	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	356	57¢	$203	0x50dd5c…
10-28 22:25:38	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	356	89¢	$317	0xcd4bb8…
10-28 22:25:38	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	356	83¢	$295	0x81541a…
10-28 22:25:38	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	356	88¢	$312	0x553420…
10-28 22:25:38	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	356	92¢	$327	0x4dc1f5…
10-28 22:10:13	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	193	75¢	$145	0x111449…
10-28 22:10:13	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	193	24¢	$46	0x04be4a…
10-28 21:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x2992c3…
10-28 21:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x340bb9…
10-28 21:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x4c0a2d…
10-28 21:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 29?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xf0af2a…
10-28 20:38:05	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	1¢	$2	0xcc7794…
10-28 20:38:05	Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	1¢	$2	0x8b5c62…
10-28 20:38:05	Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	1¢	$2	0x6bd658…
10-28 20:38:05	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	0¢	$1	0x5e9923…
10-28 20:38:05	Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	2¢	$6	0x5bba0e…
10-28 20:38:05	Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	1¢	$3	0x34f1a5…
10-28 20:37:40	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	277	84¢	$232	0x91317e…
10-28 20:37:40	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	277	96¢	$266	0x6683a3…
10-28 20:37:40	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	277	56¢	$155	0x1a3443…
10-28 20:37:38	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	277	92¢	$254	0x64e5cb…
10-28 20:37:38	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	277	87¢	$241	0x4dbe26…
10-28 20:37:38	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	277	89¢	$246	0x467540…
10-28 19:50:14	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xfdf7f1…
10-28 19:50:14	Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	646	0¢	$1	0xe83c30…
10-28 18:12:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xc2ed9b…
10-28 18:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x64921f…
10-28 18:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x9cfa0b…
10-28 18:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0xb55424…
10-28 18:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xb54bb8…
10-28 18:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0x7a31d2…
10-28 18:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x4b1cf1…
10-28 17:10:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x7da350…
10-28 16:58:52	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	343	93¢	$319	0xaf2c78…
10-28 16:58:52	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	343	7¢	$23	0x9fe4b0…
10-28 16:39:14	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb4b31a…
10-28 16:39:14	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9f289f…
10-28 16:39:13	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xfbbf59…
10-28 16:39:13	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbec70f…
10-28 16:39:13	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbb4ce3…
10-28 16:39:13	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7eaf69…
10-28 16:38:59	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7f79a4…
10-28 16:38:59	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x690a98…
10-28 16:38:59	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x395de3…
10-28 16:03:38	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3b3169…
10-28 15:38:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	620	0¢	$2	0x88883b…
10-28 15:38:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	620	1¢	$3	0x7f6d4d…
10-28 15:38:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	620	80¢	$496	0xf6140a…
10-28 15:38:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	620	23¢	$143	0xdad17c…
10-28 15:38:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	620	98¢	$606	0x1ea4a1…
10-28 15:14:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	578	0¢	$2	0x9ae4db…
10-28 15:14:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	578	5¢	$29	0xfe7d74…
10-28 15:14:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	578	95¢	$550	0xdab61d…
10-28 15:13:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	931	0¢	$3	0xd5bd87…
10-28 15:13:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	931	95¢	$886	0xa1525f…
10-28 15:13:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	931	5¢	$47	0x682f3f…
10-28 15:13:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0x4e659b…
10-28 15:12:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	95¢	$89	0xf35a6f…
10-28 15:12:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xa2ba5b…
10-28 15:01:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x6575a4…
10-28 15:01:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6c2519…
10-28 15:01:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x672874…
10-28 15:00:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x202d30…
10-28 15:00:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x148cf7…
10-28 13:49:31	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x80a7e9…
10-28 13:49:23	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xd8c077…
10-28 12:56:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	875	0¢	$3	0xe12660…
10-28 12:55:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	875	5¢	$46	0xec091b…
10-28 12:55:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	875	95¢	$832	0x4df79f…
10-28 11:53:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,665	0¢	$5	0x238290…
10-28 11:52:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,665	95¢	$1,585	0xae824e…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,665	5¢	$83	0x996984…
10-28 11:28:17	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x854f3d…
10-28 11:28:17	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x7e06bf…
10-28 11:05:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xced4e9…
10-28 11:05:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x51a3e6…
10-28 11:05:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x43d51c…
10-28 10:59:52	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	856	38¢	$325	0xe6aa14…
10-28 10:59:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	284	52¢	$149	0xe43d58…
10-28 10:59:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	1,140	69¢	$786	0x1fa24a…
10-28 10:11:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	998	0¢	$3	0x04c902…
10-28 10:11:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	998	5¢	$50	0x3b01db…
10-28 10:11:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	998	95¢	$950	0x3566dc…
10-28 10:08:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x86c813…
10-28 10:08:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x9b6964…
10-28 10:08:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x682a0c…
10-28 10:05:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,814	100¢	$1,808	0x428eec…
10-28 10:05:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,814	5¢	$92	0x2fa754…
10-28 10:05:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,814	95¢	$1,726	0x074d1b…
10-28 10:04:22	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	410	34¢	$140	0x735a2f…
10-28 10:04:22	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	410	66¢	$270	0x69d4ac…
10-28 09:56:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x795828…
10-28 09:56:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x525db3…