Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$23,455
$1,778 in 24h
Trades
1,049
Unique wallets
161
Liquidity
$287,937
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-26 21:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $23.1K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $26.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 63 | $180 | $24.1K | $23.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $120 | $649 | $529 |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $558 | $265 | +$293 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $169 | $622 | $452 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 54 | $37 | $23.0K | $23.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $473 | $955 | $482 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $22 | $47 | $25 |
| Median | 19 | $31 | $611 | $580 |
| Below median | 19 | $129 | $153 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $7 | $56 | $49 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $65 | $197 | $132 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $258 | $600 | $343 |
| unranked | 2 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semen-Demon 0xf440…2747 | Yes | +12,811 | $404 | $425 | 17 | 09-23 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfaf6…cc47 | No | +7,974 | $7,747 | $7,747 | 10 | 10-07 20:44 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7,843 | $7,718 | $7,718 | 119 | 05-14 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | +7,219 | $27 | $27 | 55 | 10-25 18:50 |
| Impossible-Id 0x576e…f1cd | Yes | +4,952 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 05-15 02:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | +2,857 | $4 | $4 | 16 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | +2,725 | $35 | $35 | 14 | 06-23 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe091…9549 | Yes | +2,084 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-07 20:44 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +1,637 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 09-28 04:29 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,305 | $1,292 | $1,292 | 11 | 10-25 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc84c…2092 | Yes | +1,113 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +1,048 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 09-17 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x413b…b488 | Yes | +926 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf60…febb | Yes | +800 | $6 | $6 | 18 | 10-25 05:27 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +752 | $740 | $740 | 2 | 05-10 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +704 | $700 | $700 | 9 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +651 | $647 | $647 | 17 | 10-25 18:55 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +595 | $5 | $5 | 16 | 10-26 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +576 | $573 | $573 | 19 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +567 | $557 | $557 | 2 | 06-01 13:07 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +564 | $557 | $557 | 11 | 05-15 13:50 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +500 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 10-17 00:47 |
| Rubbery-Policy 0x2cfe…e4de | Yes | +427 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-02 20:54 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +400 | $389 | $782 | 7 | 08-06 13:08 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +379 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 10-05 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | +366 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 08-23 05:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x682c…c888 | Yes | +357 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 22:35 |
| Damp-Lye 0x8791…6e5e | Yes | +357 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-22 23:35 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +332 | $331 | $331 | 3 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +262 | $257 | $257 | 3 | 10-10 21:02 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +250 | $247 | $247 | 4 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | Yes | +200 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-25 19:51 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +200 | $198 | $198 | 4 | 10-25 14:15 |
| Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | +175 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 10-25 23:39 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +160 | $158 | $158 | 4 | 10-13 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe184…08c5 | Yes | +157 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-02 07:18 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +148 | $146 | $146 | 11 | 10-02 19:24 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +133 | $132 | $132 | 6 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +117 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 08-10 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +113 | $113 | $113 | 5 | 10-25 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a57…b867 | Yes | +106 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-25 21:30 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +103 | $102 | $102 | 4 | 10-26 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-13 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f47…b00f | No | +90 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 10-13 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe949…dea6 | No | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +79 | $79 | $79 | 3 | 10-25 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | +75 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 10-26 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +73 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 09-19 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 10-25 23:39 |
| Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | +64 | $64 | $64 | 4 | 10-25 16:59 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 10-25 07:56 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 10-23 04:07 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 04-30 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 10-25 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5791…0bd3 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 23:52 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +40 | $1 | $8 | 30 | 06-02 03:14 |
| Bulky-Flame 0xaa73…c2c4 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-13 07:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:40:33 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 358 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc70617… |
| 10-26 21:40:33 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 358 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc70617… |
| 10-26 13:49:29 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdec682… |
| 10-26 13:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdec682… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xa81cb7… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa81cb7… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa76ffb… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa76ffb… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x9c1a83… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c1a83… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc4adb7… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4adb7… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 143 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58e64d… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $143 | 0x58e64d… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd82b97… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc739d8… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0xd82b97… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7c7f0f… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x63bb26… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c7f0f… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08d8ce… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63bb26… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 47 | 100¢ | $47 | 0x08d8ce… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc739d8… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a916a… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0x1a916a… |
| 10-26 13:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x302c6a… |
| 10-26 13:48:18 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x19dbb2… |
| 10-26 13:48:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x302c6a… |
| 10-26 13:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19dbb2… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x828660… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ef10a… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 232 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x828660… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x227f…a574 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ef10a… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | Proud-Infusion 0x7d24…a93f | Yes | SELL | 725 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x828660… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | Yes | SELL | 193 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x828660… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x95b4…216d | Yes | BUY | 2,234 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x828660… |
| 10-26 13:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 166 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x828660… |
| 10-26 03:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xe949…dea6 | No | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0x145c07… |
| 10-26 03:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x145c07… |
| 10-26 03:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x145c07… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb01405… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebdbb7… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8396ed… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb01405… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x8396ed… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xebdbb7… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x945ef8… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x227f…a574 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x945ef8… |
| 10-26 02:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1af9f9… |
| 10-26 02:16:30 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1af9f9… |
| 10-25 23:39:47 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x809cc3… |
| 10-25 23:39:47 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d1e16… |
| 10-25 23:39:47 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x809cc3… |
| 10-25 23:39:47 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5d1e16… |
| 10-25 23:23:11 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 73 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x29873c… |
| 10-25 23:23:11 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 73 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29873c… |
| 10-25 23:23:11 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0x35b1ea… |
| 10-25 23:23:11 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 61 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35b1ea… |
| 10-25 21:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x7a57…b867 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x986a9b… |
| 10-25 21:30:23 | Proud-Infusion 0x7d24…a93f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x986a9b… |
| 10-25 21:30:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x986a9b… |
| 10-25 21:30:23 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x986a9b… |
| 10-25 18:55:56 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x7b3ce9… |
| 10-25 18:55:56 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b3ce9… |
| 10-25 18:55:32 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0cdbbb… |
| 10-25 18:55:32 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0cdbbb… |
| 10-25 18:50:53 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x975fcb… |
| 10-25 18:50:53 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x975fcb… |
| 10-25 18:50:48 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x8ec16c… |
| 10-25 18:50:48 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ec16c… |
| 10-25 18:50:48 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ec16c… |
| 10-25 18:48:50 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xe92754… |
| 10-25 18:48:50 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe92754… |
| 10-25 18:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 189 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2a8db5… |
| 10-25 18:48:48 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcd7ab7… |
| 10-25 18:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7ab7… |
| 10-25 18:48:48 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 189 | 100¢ | $188 | 0x2a8db5… |
| 10-25 17:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x995594… |
| 10-25 17:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x995594… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2b6ef… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x0a1262… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f9c02… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x13d497… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a1262… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13d497… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf2b6ef… |
| 10-25 17:00:00 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2f9c02… |
| 10-25 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf7b9ac… |
| 10-25 16:59:48 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x696222… |
| 10-25 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 176 | 100¢ | $175 | 0xf7b9ac… |
| 10-25 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07b4fc… |
| 10-25 16:59:48 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x07b4fc… |
| 10-25 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x696222… |
| 10-25 16:59:44 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x176dc4… |
| 10-25 16:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb6b84… |
| 10-25 16:59:44 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xdb6b84… |
| 10-25 16:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x176dc4… |
| 10-25 16:59:44 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x302be1… |
| 10-25 16:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x302be1… |