Damp-Lye 0x879188…f56e5e
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.94K
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
32
Trades
213
lifetime
Volume
$29.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$13.6K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-12 07:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
49% 73% -$486
Other
46% 33% -$1,281
Tech
5% 100% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10,275 -$9,663 98¢ $-10064 -$401 05-08 05:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,355 $3,207 29¢ $1.8K -$1,395 08-12 07:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22,473 $3,950 6¢ $1.2K -$2,714 07-27 03:29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,836 $917 6¢ $321 -$596 07-07 00:27
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,750 $210 4¢ $66 -$143 05-05 09:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,072 $702 3¢ $33 -$669 05-14 21:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $33 30¢ $18 -$15 07-12 04:07
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes -360 -$16 3¢ $-11 +$6 05-18 09:41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +88 $5 6¢ $5 +$0 05-22 23:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +312 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 05-22 23:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +29 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 07-12 04:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +357 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 05-22 23:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $0 06-02 01:33
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +71 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-19 22:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +154 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 07-19 22:43