Realized P&L
+$249
Unrealized P&L
+$267
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
323
Trades
3,524
lifetime
Volume
$438.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$187.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-26 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
49% 68% +$291
Other
41% 86% -$240
Sports
9% 100% +$200
Tech
1% 0% -$4
Crypto
0% 91% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +41,925 $29,372 70¢ $29.6K +$185 10-26 17:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +28,357 $25,038 92¢ $26.2K +$1,192 10-26 16:36
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +42,115 $12,682 30¢ $12.8K +$163 10-26 17:57
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,087 $9,885 100¢ $10.1K +$166 10-25 23:39
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,415 $8,348 94¢ $9.8K +$1,483 10-25 23:39
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +9,428 $9,399 100¢ $9.4K -$13 10-26 14:10
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,415 $9,666 81¢ $8.4K -$1,245 10-25 23:39
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +10,682 $6,599 64¢ $6.9K +$253 10-26 15:55
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,794 $6,772 100¢ $6.8K +$15 10-25 23:39
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,794 $6,778 100¢ $6.8K +$5 10-25 23:39
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,887 $4,882 100¢ $4.9K -$2 10-24 19:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5,816 $4,482 83¢ $4.8K +$345 10-26 02:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,832 $4,361 64¢ $4.4K +$46 10-20 19:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,259 $4,153 97¢ $4.1K -$10 10-19 15:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,087 $4,190 36¢ $3.9K -$255 10-26 15:55
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,903 $3,897 100¢ $3.9K $0 10-25 23:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,693 $3,399 36¢ $3.4K +$42 10-23 09:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,340 $3,432 78¢ $3.4K -$25 10-19 15:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,577 $3,235 68¢ $3.1K -$100 10-25 01:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,672 $2,667 100¢ $2.7K +$3 10-26 12:00
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,635 $2,632 100¢ $2.6K $0 10-22 12:54
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,415 $3,059 24¢ $2.5K -$565 10-25 23:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,675 $2,473 92¢ $2.5K +$1 10-22 06:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +29,538 $3,444 8¢ $2.4K -$1,081 10-26 16:36
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,990 $1,988 100¢ $2.0K -$1 10-20 08:33
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,953 99¢ $2.0K +$1 10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,950 99¢ $1.9K $0 10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,946 99¢ $1.9K $0 10-26 13:13
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,939 99¢ $1.9K -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +2,627 $2,267 74¢ $1.9K -$336 10-23 17:58