Realized P&L (7d)
+$602
Unrealized P&L
+$591
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved (7d)
188
Trades (7d)
1,160
4,398 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$211.0K
$594.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$135
Open exposure
$128.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-01 17:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
48% 68% +$338
Other
44% 85% -$346
Sports
7% 75% +$11
Tech
1% 80% +$806
Crypto
0% 83% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +20,856 $15,248 72¢ $15.1K -$128 11-01 17:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,895 $10,642 98¢ $10.7K +$74 10-29 07:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +13,731 $8,647 65¢ $9.0K +$312 11-01 16:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,259 $9,677 72¢ $8.9K -$789 10-30 19:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +11,849 $7,960 70¢ $8.2K +$275 11-01 19:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +9,371 $6,141 66¢ $6.2K +$91 10-31 12:50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +7,618 $5,924 80¢ $6.1K +$208 10-29 17:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +20,856 $5,387 26¢ $5.5K +$140 11-01 17:39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,832 $4,361 72¢ $4.9K +$524 10-20 19:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14,009 $5,175 34¢ $4.7K -$482 11-01 16:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +13,194 $3,184 30¢ $3.9K +$709 10-30 19:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +11,640 $3,684 30¢ $3.4K -$250 11-01 19:20
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +4,570 $3,204 74¢ $3.4K +$200 10-31 21:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +9,371 $3,218 33¢ $3.1K -$121 10-31 12:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,693 $3,399 29¢ $2.8K -$637 10-23 09:16
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +2,627 $2,267 100¢ $2.6K +$349 10-23 17:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,675 $2,473 94¢ $2.5K +$54 10-22 06:18
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,503 $2,347 98¢ $2.5K +$110 10-27 01:06
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,577 $2,484 94¢ $2.4K -$62 10-28 22:30
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +2,577 $2,326 92¢ $2.4K +$52 10-28 22:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,353 $2,262 99¢ $2.3K +$57 10-27 01:06
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,577 $2,231 85¢ $2.2K -$44 10-28 22:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,134 $2,121 99¢ $2.1K +$2 10-27 14:47
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +2,226 $2,094 94¢ $2.1K -$11 10-28 16:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,861 $1,917 72¢ $2.0K +$129 10-23 09:16
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +2,577 $2,173 78¢ $2.0K -$175 10-28 22:30
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,953 99¢ $2.0K +$1 10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,950 99¢ $1.9K -$2 10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,946 99¢ $1.9K -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,926 98¢ $1.9K +$7 10-26 13:13