Realized P&L (90d)
+$6.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.50K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (90d)
922
Trades (90d)
5,689
5,689 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$742.9K
$742.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$122.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-10 01:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
51% 79% +$5,031
Other
42% 79% +$280
Sports
6% 75% +$11
Tech
1% 80% +$806
Crypto
0% 83% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 679 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +25,906 $20,303 82¢ $21.1K +$811 11-04 12:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +26,313 $17,199 67¢ $17.7K +$470 11-06 18:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,895 $10,642 99¢ $10.8K +$194 10-29 07:13
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +26,591 $9,114 32¢ $8.6K -$472 11-06 18:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +26,841 $6,342 20¢ $5.5K -$839 11-04 12:01
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4,299 $3,095 99¢ $4.2K +$1,154 11-02 17:29
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,810 $3,434 93¢ $3.5K +$92 11-08 22:09
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4,676 $3,937 63¢ $2.9K -$1,013 11-08 23:53
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,395 98¢ $2.4K -$13 11-08 00:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,155 $1,345 76¢ $2.4K +$1,037 11-09 05:56
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,374 98¢ $2.4K +$4 11-08 00:59
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,367 98¢ $2.4K +$8 11-08 00:59
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,385 $286 99¢ $2.4K +$2,072 11-03 12:56
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,336 96¢ $2.3K +$10 11-08 00:59
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,347 95¢ $2.3K -$22 11-08 00:59
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,368 95¢ $2.3K -$43 11-08 00:59
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,344 95¢ $2.3K -$25 11-08 00:59
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,297 94¢ $2.3K -$12 11-08 00:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,392 $2,233 96¢ $2.3K +$52 11-09 18:04
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,303 94¢ $2.3K -$26 11-08 00:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,506 $2,235 90¢ $2.3K +$21 11-09 19:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,134 $2,121 99¢ $2.1K -$4 10-27 14:47
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,282 $2,132 92¢ $2.1K -$21 11-08 00:59
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $2,170 87¢ $2.1K -$60 11-08 00:59
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,435 $1,937 84¢ $2.1K +$121 11-08 00:59
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,953 99¢ $2.0K +$3 10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,946 99¢ $1.9K $0 10-26 13:13
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,926 99¢ $1.9K +$13 10-26 13:13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,911 98¢ $1.9K +$21 10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,950 98¢ $1.9K -$31 10-26 13:13