Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.99K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved (30d)
885
Trades (30d)
5,298
5,298 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$700.6K
$700.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$104.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-06 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
52% 79% +$5,031
Other
42% 79% -$866
Sports
6% 75% +$11
Tech
1% 80% +$806
Crypto
0% 83% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 679 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +25,906 $20,303 78¢ $20.3K +$34 11-04 12:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,895 $10,642 99¢ $10.8K +$194 10-29 07:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14,289 $8,992 71¢ $10.1K +$1,110 11-03 13:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +26,841 $6,342 22¢ $5.8K -$571 11-04 12:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14,566 $5,386 30¢ $4.4K -$1,016 11-03 13:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4,299 $3,095 98¢ $4.2K +$1,103 11-02 17:29
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,561 $3,369 93¢ $3.3K -$46 11-04 15:07
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +3,561 $2,970 84¢ $3.0K +$4 11-04 15:07
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,561 $3,069 76¢ $2.7K -$369 11-04 15:07
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,385 $286 98¢ $2.3K +$2,051 11-03 12:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,134 $2,121 99¢ $2.1K +$0 10-27 14:47
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,953 99¢ $2.0K +$1 10-26 13:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,946 99¢ $1.9K $0 10-26 13:13
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,926 99¢ $1.9K +$13 10-26 13:13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,911 98¢ $1.9K +$19 10-26 13:13
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,916 98¢ $1.9K +$5 10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,950 98¢ $1.9K -$30 10-26 13:13
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,910 97¢ $1.9K +$7 10-26 13:13
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,939 97¢ $1.9K -$24 10-26 13:13
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,918 97¢ $1.9K -$18 10-26 13:13
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,883 96¢ $1.9K +$13 10-26 13:13
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,899 95¢ $1.9K -$22 10-26 13:13
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,856 94¢ $1.9K +$1 10-26 13:13
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,901 94¢ $1.8K -$55 10-26 13:13
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,862 94¢ $1.8K -$23 10-26 13:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,712 $1,705 100¢ $1.7K +$1 10-27 14:47
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,763 87¢ $1.7K -$57 10-26 13:13
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,813 $1,696 94¢ $1.7K $0 10-26 13:13
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,966 $1,538 86¢ $1.7K +$143 10-26 13:13
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +3,561 $2,128 46¢ $1.7K -$472 11-04 15:07