Realized P&L
-$233
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
559
Trades
1,420
lifetime
Volume
$31.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.66K
23 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
77% 80% -$149
Politics
11% 68% -$172
Sports
9% 83% +$88
Tech
3% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$0
Crypto
0% 75% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +494 $493 100¢ $494 +$1 10-15 08:08
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +227 $227 100¢ $227 $0 10-09 01:23
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +178 $174 97¢ $173 -$1 10-14 10:42
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $170 100¢ $170 $0 10-14 04:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $89 100¢ $90 +$0 10-13 22:44
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +92 $78 97¢ $89 +$10 10-16 00:49
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +87 $86 99¢ $87 +$1 10-16 10:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $64 89¢ $80 +$16 10-12 04:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $68 99¢ $68 $0 10-14 15:12
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 $0 10-11 00:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +23 $20 84¢ $19 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $21 82¢ $19 -$2 10-08 05:35
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 98¢ $18 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $28 12¢ $11 -$17 10-12 04:21
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 $0 10-14 12:31
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-08 06:53
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +28 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-14 04:42
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +18 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-11 13:35