(anonymous) 0x9f4756…abb00f Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$251
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved (90d)
637
Trades (90d)
1,432
1,432 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$31.2K
$31.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$931
20 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
77% 81% -$160
Politics
11% 73% -$224
Sports
9% 81% +$101
Tech
3% 100% +$33
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$0
Crypto
0% 75% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +227 $227 100¢ $227 $0 10-09 01:23
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +178 $174 99¢ $176 +$3 10-14 10:42
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $170 100¢ $170 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +87 $86 100¢ $87 +$1 10-16 10:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $68 100¢ $68 +$0 10-14 15:12
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? No +45 $44 99¢ $44 +$0 10-08 12:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +23 $20 92¢ $22 +$2 10-26 17:42
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 97¢ $17 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $21 76¢ $17 -$4 10-08 05:35
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 $0 10-15 06:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 10-16 17:33
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 $0 10-10 06:03
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 $0 10-14 12:31
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? No +7 $7 97¢ $6 $0 10-05 20:27
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-08 19:50
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-08 06:53