(anonymous) 0x9f4756…abb00f Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$251
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
637
Trades
1,432
lifetime
Volume
$31.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
77% 81% -$160
Politics
11% 73% -$224
Sports
9% 81% +$101
Tech
3% 100% +$33
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$0
Crypto
0% 75% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +227 $227 100¢ $227 $0 10-09 01:23
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +178 $174 96¢ $171 -$3 10-14 10:42
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $170 100¢ $170 $0 10-14 04:22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%? No +113 $96 96¢ $109 +$12 10-05 11:54
Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +104 $103 100¢ $103 +$0 10-16 17:56
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +90 $90 99¢ $89 -$1 10-15 15:40
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +87 $86 100¢ $87 +$1 10-16 10:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $68 99¢ $68 $0 10-14 15:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No +66 $64 99¢ $65 +$1 10-10 06:41
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +62 $62 100¢ $62 $0 10-13 17:04
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? No +45 $44 99¢ $44 +$0 10-08 12:02
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%? No +36 $27 89¢ $32 +$5 10-15 15:27
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 +$0 10-14 17:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? No +43 $29 55¢ $23 -$6 10-16 18:35
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? No +27 $20 86¢ $23 +$3 10-12 09:57
will alperen sengun win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-16 20:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +23 $20 92¢ $22 +$2 10-26 17:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%? No +18 $17 99¢ $18 +$0 10-09 15:39
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? No — +18 $18 99¢ $18 $0 10-14 22:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 20%-25%? No +18 $17 98¢ $18 +$1 10-07 04:30
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%? No +18 $18 97¢ $17 $0 10-15 16:30
Will Christine Lagarde win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +17 $17 97¢ $16 $0 10-12 19:55
Will Giedrius Dainys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? No +18 $17 91¢ $16 -$1 10-09 13:59
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + SD? No +16 $16 99¢ $16 $0 10-05 07:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $21 72¢ $16 -$5 10-08 05:35
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 $0 10-15 06:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026? No +14 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 10-08 16:00
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$0 10-26 03:32