(anonymous) 0x9f4756…abb00f
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$233
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
91.0%
Resolved (30d)
607
Trades (30d)
1,432
1,432 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$31.2K
$31.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$978
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
77% 81% -$150
Politics
11% 71% -$216
Sports
9% 84% +$101
Tech
3% 100% +$33
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$0
Crypto
0% 75% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +227 $227 100¢ $227 $0 10-09 01:23
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +178 $174 97¢ $172 -$1 10-14 10:42
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $170 100¢ $170 $0 10-14 04:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $89 100¢ $90 +$0 10-13 22:44
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +87 $86 100¢ $87 +$1 10-16 10:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $68 100¢ $68 $0 10-14 15:12
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +23 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 10-26 17:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $21 81¢ $18 -$3 10-08 05:35
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 10-28 02:47
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 $0 10-14 12:31
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-08 19:50
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-08 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +6 $6 86¢ $5 -$1 10-26 14:14
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +28 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-14 04:42
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +18 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-11 13:35