(anonymous) 0xe94906…a4dea6
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$523
Unrealized P&L
+$6.89K
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
700
Trades
4,455
lifetime
Volume
$571.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$257.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-08
last 10-26 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
50% 71% +$730
Other
41% 87% -$466
Sports
8% 100% +$265
Tech
1% 0% -$4
Crypto
0% 90% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +32,150 $27,880 94¢ $30.1K +$2,180 10-26 16:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +40,490 $28,255 68¢ $27.7K -$519 10-26 21:27
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20,365 $20,313 99¢ $20.2K -$90 10-26 21:27
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +14,885 $12,011 100¢ $14.9K +$2,859 10-26 01:42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +14,881 $13,980 100¢ $14.9K +$886 10-26 01:42
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +12,688 $12,434 100¢ $12.7K +$242 10-26 01:42
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +38,816 $11,741 32¢ $12.2K +$486 10-26 21:27
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,796 $9,772 100¢ $9.8K +$15 10-26 01:42
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,530 $9,497 100¢ $9.5K +$19 10-26 01:42
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,787 $8,777 100¢ $8.8K -$4 10-24 10:15
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,908 $7,326 64¢ $7.7K +$343 10-25 17:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,859 $7,664 97¢ $7.6K -$17 10-21 15:39
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,584 $7,574 100¢ $7.6K -$2 10-23 05:46
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +8,516 $6,468 83¢ $7.1K +$600 10-26 02:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,859 $6,222 80¢ $6.2K +$26 10-21 15:39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,471 $6,036 66¢ $6.2K +$167 10-20 19:01
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,137 $6,129 100¢ $6.1K -$1 10-22 15:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6,399 $5,930 92¢ $5.9K -$11 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8,371 $5,939 68¢ $5.7K -$246 10-25 14:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +13,430 $4,709 34¢ $4.6K -$76 10-23 09:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,178 $4,648 64¢ $4.6K -$18 10-26 20:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,838 $4,485 36¢ $4.2K -$283 10-25 17:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +3,218 $3,175 99¢ $3.2K -$3 10-22 15:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4,299 $3,224 74¢ $3.2K -$64 10-23 08:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +4,316 $3,017 69¢ $3.0K -$39 10-26 11:26
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,976 $2,776 95¢ $2.8K +$45 10-26 14:39
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,853 $2,717 98¢ $2.8K +$86 10-26 14:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8,371 $2,351 32¢ $2.7K +$369 10-25 14:35
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,662 $2,659 100¢ $2.7K -$1 10-21 21:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,960 $2,653 66¢ $2.6K -$59 10-23 09:16