Realized P&L
-$746
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
8,175
Trades
20,745
lifetime
Volume
$109.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 11-07 13:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
73% 82% -$532
Politics
17% 74% -$10
Sports
9% 56% -$461
Crypto
0% 62% +$6
Tech
0% 75% +$250
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 2486 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +278 $185 66¢ $183 -$3 10-31 12:49
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +144 $121 82¢ $119 -$2 10-20 18:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +219 $75 34¢ $75 +$1 10-31 12:49
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 10-25 09:59
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +50 $42 97¢ $48 +$6 07-26 07:15
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +50 $42 94¢ $47 +$5 07-26 07:15
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +41 $34 97¢ $40 +$6 10-22 19:11
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 11-04 09:54
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 10-27 22:43
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 10-27 22:43
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $30 96¢ $29 -$1 10-27 22:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +32 $26 86¢ $28 +$2 10-26 03:55
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +144 $23 18¢ $25 +$2 10-20 18:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $17 79¢ $24 +$7 10-27 22:43
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 $0 09-12 14:02
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +24 $23 99¢ $23 $0 09-12 14:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $22 100¢ $23 +$1 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +23 $22 100¢ $23 +$1 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $20 99¢ $23 +$3 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $18 97¢ $22 +$4 10-27 05:32
Will Ilia Topuria fight Arman Tsarukyan next? No +25 $24 88¢ $22 -$2 07-26 10:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $16 91¢ $21 +$5 10-27 05:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +60 $19 34¢ $20 +$2 10-31 04:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $19 82¢ $19 -$1 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +23 $22 75¢ $17 -$5 10-27 05:32
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 -$1 10-26 03:55
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 10-26 03:55
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 10-26 03:55