Realized P&L
-$4.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.10K
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved
144
Trades
84,869
lifetime
Volume
$3.45M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$6.92K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
51% 51% $-3,694
Sports
32% 56% $-795
Politics
14% 79% +$78
Pop-Culture
3% 50% +$9
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 503 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +3,286 $2,156 96¢ $3.2K +$1,005 07-19 06:07
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +2,823 $1,737 96¢ $2.7K +$979 07-20 01:30
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +757 $714 98¢ $743 +$29 07-19 16:22
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +191 $73 40¢ $75 +$3 07-04 21:52
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +87 $52 76¢ $66 +$13 07-13 09:20
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +63 $59 95¢ $60 +$1 07-13 20:29
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +27 $24 98¢ $26 +$3 07-02 17:46
Will "Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? No +22 $17 100¢ $22 +$5 04-20 23:20
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +30 $15 64¢ $19 +$4 07-16 22:29
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$1 07-14 13:20
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -11 $-37 98¢ $-10 +$26 07-13 14:06
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +3 $8 31¢ $1 $-7 07-02 17:46
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +20 $3 $1 $-2 07-13 13:52
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +81 $12 $1 $-11 07-11 16:06
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +2 $1 19¢ $0 $-0 07-02 18:12
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +0 $-51 97¢ $0 +$51 07-13 11:01
Will Gigi Patta as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? Yes +22 $2 $0 $-2 04-08 20:46