Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd1d…46816c
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$361
Unrealized P&L
+$128
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
28
Trades
123,296
lifetime
Volume
$5.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$3.12K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 17:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
47% 70% +$283
Other
30% 50% $-5
Politics
20% 92% +$83
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1051 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +592 $546 92¢ $544 $-2 07-13 08:54
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +640 $456 76¢ $489 +$34 07-19 17:05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +400 $364 97¢ $388 +$24 05-27 20:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -300 $-280 96¢ $-289 $-8 05-28 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -504 $-96 46¢ $-229 $-134 05-28 02:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $213 68¢ $202 $-10 07-14 16:22
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +400 $204 50¢ $202 $-2 06-05 07:18
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +159 $116 82¢ $131 +$15 07-17 16:27
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -162 $-61 68¢ $-111 $-50 07-19 08:21
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Mayweather -177 $-111 57¢ $-102 +$10 06-06 18:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +412 $-91 22¢ $93 +$184 07-20 21:19
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -100 $-88 90¢ $-90 $-2 05-29 20:35
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -101 $-104 88¢ $-89 +$14 07-04 00:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +511 $78 12¢ $64 $-14 06-13 12:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +215 $3 17¢ $36 +$33 07-20 13:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +1,000 $19 2¢ $23 +$4 07-17 22:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +57 $10 20¢ $11 +$1 06-14 06:59
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -400 $-10 2¢ $-8 +$2 06-02 17:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +100 $-26 6¢ $6 +$32 07-17 17:03
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -9 $-11 35¢ $-3 +$8 06-02 12:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +20 $7 15¢ $3 $-4 06-12 22:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $10 36¢ $3 $-7 06-26 09:02
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -23 $-4 5¢ $-1 +$3 06-04 00:16