Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd1d…46816c
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$361
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
28
Trades
116,197
lifetime
Volume
$4.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$9.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
45% 70% +$283
Other
32% 50% $-5
Politics
20% 92% +$83
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3654 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,078 $1,027 90¢ $1.9K +$853 06-09 17:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,000 $949 96¢ $963 +$15 06-03 00:53
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +701 $565 80¢ $565 $-0 06-09 06:40
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +592 $442 78¢ $459 +$17 06-09 12:37
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +499 $404 82¢ $407 +$2 06-09 05:41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +400 $364 94¢ $374 +$10 05-27 20:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +424 $313 86¢ $366 +$53 06-03 01:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -349 $-340 98¢ $-342 $-2 06-02 13:40
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +416 $325 76¢ $316 $-9 06-04 21:56
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $291 97¢ $291 $-1 06-09 20:16
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $289 96¢ $289 +$1 06-09 21:00
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $285 96¢ $287 +$2 06-09 21:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -300 $-280 95¢ $-284 $-3 05-28 15:02
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -385 $-233 62¢ $-240 $-7 06-09 14:20
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +333 $230 68¢ $225 $-5 06-07 01:06
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +303 $204 72¢ $220 +$16 06-04 12:45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +218 $216 100¢ $217 +$1 05-27 20:25
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +221 $213 98¢ $216 +$3 06-08 16:13
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +400 $204 50¢ $202 $-2 06-05 07:18
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +200 $190 97¢ $194 +$4 06-09 21:01
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +200 $181 95¢ $189 +$8 06-09 03:52
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +200 $186 95¢ $189 +$3 06-09 18:25
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +788 $173 22¢ $177 +$4 06-07 19:28
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +175 $169 97¢ $170 +$1 06-09 20:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +166 $149 89¢ $148 $-2 06-02 09:25
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +146 $133 94¢ $137 +$4 06-09 06:32
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +132 $126 96¢ $127 +$1 06-09 21:00
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +177 $125 72¢ $127 +$2 06-08 06:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -504 $-96 24¢ $-124 $-28 05-28 02:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +487 $37 23¢ $112 +$75 06-09 15:54