Realized P&L
+$25.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$126
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved
3,166
Trades
262,653
lifetime
Volume
$11.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$134.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 19:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 281 days
Categories
Sports
45% 80% +$9,517
Other
28% 69% +$11,765
Politics
25% 58% +$3,586
Crypto
2% 38% +$1,226
Tech
1% 55% -$176
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 735 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12,826 $6,739 72¢ $9.2K +$2,431 10-30 10:02
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,340 $7,634 94¢ $8.8K +$1,193 09-14 19:16
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +8,800 $8,564 93¢ $8.2K -$340 08-10 15:18
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,845 $7,562 98¢ $7.7K +$145 07-30 08:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +7,553 $6,340 96¢ $7.2K +$873 09-10 16:03
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,912 $6,658 96¢ $6.6K -$32 09-12 11:05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +7,400 $4,530 76¢ $5.7K +$1,131 10-27 19:43
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,613 $5,388 96¢ $5.4K +$20 10-29 15:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,599 $3,932 70¢ $5.4K +$1,426 10-31 16:06
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,917 $4,749 98¢ $4.8K +$63 08-24 06:01
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +4,635 $4,156 96¢ $4.4K +$291 10-26 18:43
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,658 $4,526 93¢ $4.3K -$196 08-13 09:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14,537 $6,708 29¢ $4.1K -$2,565 10-31 06:06
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,119 $3,159 80¢ $4.1K +$962 10-28 21:12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,900 $3,777 97¢ $3.8K +$23 08-24 08:55
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,387 $4,205 86¢ $3.8K -$438 10-29 16:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +3,744 $3,677 99¢ $3.7K +$47 08-26 23:55
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,636 $3,487 100¢ $3.6K +$140 09-13 21:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,407 $2,761 96¢ $3.3K +$492 10-31 05:46
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3,199 $3,150 100¢ $3.2K +$36 07-03 04:16
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +3,700 $3,067 82¢ $3.0K -$51 10-31 09:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4,140 $2,832 69¢ $2.9K +$25 10-31 11:22
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +3,314 $2,418 84¢ $2.8K +$382 10-31 12:48
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes -5,721 -$629 48¢ $-2775 -$2,146 10-27 15:00
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,699 $2,585 100¢ $2.7K +$110 09-13 01:24
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +2,695 $2,672 100¢ $2.7K +$18 07-30 04:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +9,078 $4,839 30¢ $2.7K -$2,161 10-30 19:27
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes -5,039 -$511 52¢ $-2620 -$2,109 10-27 06:31
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,514 $2,340 95¢ $2.4K +$55 09-17 11:17
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +2,400 $2,344 100¢ $2.4K +$49 07-06 00:28