Bulky-Flame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$477

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

3,232

Trades

5,862

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

62% 38% -$384

Sports

37% 46% -$77

Politics

1% 46% -$5

Crypto

0% 17% -$9

Tech

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+269	$8	6¢	$16	+$8	08-11 05:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	+6	$3	68¢	$4	+$1	09-30 17:06
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+343	$2	1¢	$3	+$1	09-20 17:31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+7	$3	39¢	$3	$0	09-30 17:06
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+3	$2	68¢	$2	$0	10-26 13:13
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	92¢	$2	$0	10-26 11:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+3	$2	70¢	$2	$0	10-19 20:49
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	10-19 20:50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	26¢	$1	$0	10-26 13:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+77	$1	1¢	$1	$0	08-14 05:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+4	$1	8¢	$0	$0	08-13 06:51
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+30	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-13 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	19	$168	320	277	+43	Yes	+$90	04-07 15:34
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 70 71f	8	$120	167	160	+7	Yes	+$70	04-24 04:36
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	16	$104	416	416	+0	No	-$14	03-27 10:03
lol ig1 jdg 2026 02 03	4	$92	317	0	+317	JD Gaming	-$92	02-03 10:40
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	11	$78	276	146	+130	No	-$20	04-02 00:18
lol wb al 2026 02 04 total games 2pt5	7	$68	76	76	+0	Over	-$2	02-04 11:16
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	4	$68	58	56	+2	Yes	+$36	04-07 15:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$65	87	87	+0	Yes	+$35	07-19 14:51
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	9	$60	253	159	+95	No	-$25	03-31 07:49
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	10	$60	86	86	+0	Yes	+$22	03-31 16:26
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 21corhigher	3	$51	32	31	+1	Yes	+$12	04-18 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	2	$47	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-25 05:21
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	3	$43	37	36	+2	Yes	+$30	04-20 10:44
lol ig1 jdg 2026 02 03 game handicap home 1pt5	1	$42	70	0	+70	Invictus Gaming	+$28	02-03 06:03
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	8	$40	113	39	+74	No	-$16	03-27 13:19
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	8	$37	213	204	+9	No	-$19	04-10 03:23
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	6	$37	92	88	+3	No	-$13	04-10 07:37
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	6	$37	147	31	+116	No	-$23	04-07 05:54
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	9	$36	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	03-26 15:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	3	$35	42	41	+1	Yes	-$4	04-18 11:00
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 15c	4	$35	34	33	+1	Yes	+$24	04-21 14:52
nhl tor edm 2026 02 03 total 6pt5	2	$34	24	24	+0	Over	+$6	02-04 04:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	5	$33	67	45	+22	Yes	+$37	04-21 05:50
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	6	$33	281	268	+13	No	-$7	04-08 12:28
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	6	$32	28	27	+1	Yes	+$13	04-17 15:47
nhl edm cal 2026 02 04	9	$31	40	34	+6	Flames	-$9	02-05 04:44
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	6	$31	78	78	+0	No	+$7	03-29 05:04
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 64 65f	6	$30	41	40	+1	Yes	+$1	04-24 12:03
lol fnc g2 2026 04 05	5	$29	119	65	+54	Fnatic	+$37	04-05 18:22
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	10	$28	104	104	+0	No	-$5	04-01 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:52:39	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 5 million	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0a38f2…
10-27 04:52:00	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 25 million	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa7ac4e…
10-27 04:47:36	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0cd1af…
10-27 04:41:03	Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdb41b8…
10-27 04:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x86fd12…
10-27 04:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x263c60…
10-27 04:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2a3bdf…
10-26 18:03:27	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x66c6fe…
10-26 17:59:00	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x078178…
10-26 17:54:32	Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcc6f64…
10-26 17:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb0886b…
10-26 17:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8eb5f1…
10-26 17:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0f1eb7…
10-26 13:13:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xca3350…
10-26 13:12:35	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbec49c…
10-26 11:56:42	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5dfb54…
10-26 11:54:29	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6cf11c…
10-26 11:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9dc1a3…
10-26 11:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xca0d28…
10-26 11:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x27dfdc…
10-26 10:58:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x53d600…
10-26 08:52:45	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb7d22a…
10-26 08:52:23	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9b30ce…
10-26 04:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb3f23c…
10-26 04:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x06b9fb…
10-26 04:05:47	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3dbc4e…
10-25 17:45:47	Spread: Stars (-1.5)	Islanders	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x97806a…
10-25 17:45:15	Bruins vs. Hurricanes	Bruins	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x171b1d…
10-25 17:44:59	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x85f5aa…
10-25 17:44:33	Wild vs. Canucks	Wild	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xecd99f…
10-25 17:42:41	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xef7940…
10-25 17:42:26	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5fc55f…
10-25 17:41:38	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x696778…
10-25 17:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcdcae4…
10-25 17:15:14	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xeefc13…
10-25 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1cc38a…
10-25 07:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd5e67b…
10-25 07:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2fcf53…
10-25 06:10:00	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf33dc2…
10-25 05:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xae989a…
10-24 18:10:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x88b9a0…
10-24 18:09:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x320309…
10-24 16:17:42	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c4289…
10-24 16:16:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa68a98…
10-24 13:18:14	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x93a8b1…
10-24 13:18:08	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xadd173…
10-24 12:49:32	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc6930e…
10-24 12:41:44	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x172c07…
10-24 12:29:15	Sharks vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6aad8d…
10-24 12:27:48	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x2349bb…
10-23 21:14:39	Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8c6d19…
10-23 21:13:26	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x26e49c…
10-23 21:10:27	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x279d35…
10-23 15:23:18	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Lightning	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xddac1b…
10-23 15:19:23	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2cf375…
10-23 15:18:45	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcea30c…
10-23 13:15:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1d417d…
10-22 18:16:38	Jukurit Mikkeli vs. Ilves Tampere	Jukurit Mikkeli	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xda060a…
10-22 18:15:42	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets	Severstal Cherepovets	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x256a40…
10-22 18:14:24	Panthers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb74433…
10-22 18:14:15	Kings vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51169e…
10-22 18:13:54	Jets vs. Stars	Jets	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xae14e3…
10-22 18:12:54	Utah vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x34b9e1…
10-22 18:12:20	Ducks vs. Devils	Ducks	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x959457…
10-22 17:04:03	will vance peak at category 2	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3c13d8…
10-22 17:03:45	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf13f2…
10-22 16:59:05	will you can see everything 2nd weekend box office be between 18m and 19 5m 20261025	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3b0604…
10-22 16:46:03	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xd905d0…
10-22 16:45:50	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x297111…
10-21 15:29:33	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x78e72d…
10-21 15:01:21	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb113bb…
10-20 17:44:39	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x591c2e…
10-20 17:44:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x997750…
10-20 17:44:20	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf8cf81…
10-19 21:08:22	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd91fe2…
10-19 21:08:01	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x19f66c…
10-19 21:05:19	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xea004e…
10-19 20:51:38	Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x665bab…
10-19 20:50:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3c444b…
10-19 20:49:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa7a33e…
10-19 20:35:56	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa1be59…
10-19 20:34:08	Spread: Utah (-1.5)	Penguins	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0b2232…
10-19 20:33:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4d75e1…
10-18 06:17:20	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf32e7a…
10-18 06:00:51	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x908266…
10-18 05:52:18	KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8328fe…
10-18 05:51:47	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Avalanche	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeb8f4f…
10-18 05:51:39	Hurricanes vs. Flames	Hurricanes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x12c0f4…
10-17 16:34:39	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xea6ef3…
10-17 16:34:08	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6e6ff5…
10-17 16:32:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8982f9…
10-17 16:31:50	Oilers vs. Utah	Oilers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x228632…
10-17 16:30:48	Bruins vs. Kings	Bruins	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x041292…
10-17 16:30:30	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4d4e67…
10-17 16:30:12	Hurricanes vs. Jets	Hurricanes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa88327…
10-17 16:10:47	will the republicans win leavenworth county in the kansas senate race in 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd8ff36…
10-17 16:09:47	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x090a61…
10-17 08:12:57	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x17c398…
10-17 08:12:02	Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x80713c…
10-17 08:11:00	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x186f79…