Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
1,296
Trades
4,388
lifetime
Volume
$603
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$5
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-26 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
62% 9% -$3
Crypto
18% 21% +$1
Politics
17% 6% +$7
Sports
2% 7% -$1
Tech
1% 8% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +75 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-23 05:48
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 09:54
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +67 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 10-26 11:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 03:00
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 19:17
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 12:33
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 06:24
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 13:27
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 13:06
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 13:11
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-23 16:03
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-24 08:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +56 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-22 18:02
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 01:00
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-19 21:19
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 17:39
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-19 23:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-22 08:11
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes +60 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-23 19:00
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-24 08:11
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-23 04:55
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-24 04:34
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-25 09:54
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-22 07:59
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-26 16:01
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 20:05
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-19 07:45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 14:31
Will LOS win Worlds 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-18 12:54
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-26 06:34