Realized P&L (7d)
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
79.3%
Resolved (7d)
395
Trades (7d)
1,627
6,819 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$219
$913 lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$12
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-06 01:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
58% 17% +$31
Politics
23% 19% +$44
Crypto
13% 20% $0
Tech
3% 14% -$1
Sports
3% 15% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-03 05:37
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +110 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 05:12
Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 22:41
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 03:40
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-03 05:37
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027? Yes — +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-02 13:25
Will Anastasios Douvikas score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes +10 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 10-10 19:10
Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-04 11:41
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 03:13
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027? Yes +100 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-02 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +100 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-04 13:27
Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-02 10:10
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 02:04
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-30 17:47
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +110 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 09:57
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +110 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 17:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +110 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-02 22:20
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +90 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 23:43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)? Yes +39 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-27 17:02
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-04 23:43
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 11-04 03:00
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 04:28
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 21:41
Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-02 21:32
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-03 08:37
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-02 02:26
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 18:23
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +110 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 13:40