Realized P&L (90d)
+$86
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved (90d)
1,993
Trades (90d)
8,398
8,398 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.10K
$1.10K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$29
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-15 09:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
58% 18% +$44
Politics
23% 19% +$44
Crypto
12% 19% -$5
Tech
4% 16% +$1
Sports
3% 15% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? Yes +5 -$1 38¢ $2 +$3 11-02 09:16
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on November 19? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 11-14 16:04
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 19? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 11-14 13:37
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on November 20? Yes +97 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 11-14 13:37
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on November 19? Yes +94 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-14 13:37
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on November 20? Yes +94 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-14 13:37
Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-09 04:34
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? Yes +73 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-13 23:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-12 08:59
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 18? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-12 16:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.2%-1.5%? Yes +135 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 11-14 11:31
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-14 05:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 19? Yes +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-13 17:02
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +142 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-13 07:21
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +65 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-14 23:10
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-13 18:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in November? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-12 01:41
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-13 02:02
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-11 18:37
Will PSOE win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +130 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-08 21:36
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-12 10:31
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 42.0 on November 20, 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-13 06:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +80 -$1 1¢ $1 +$1 11-15 08:25
dpwt 2026 dp world tour championship winner mikael lindberg win Yes +5 $0 13¢ $1 +$1 11-10 09:02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more? Yes +75 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-14 17:41
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-14 20:33
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-14 20:33
Will 220-224 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? Yes +97 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 11-12 06:43
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31? Yes +89 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-10 08:06
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +110 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-04 05:12