Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.40K

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

8,080

Trades

31,921

lifetime

Volume

$665.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$49.4K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 10-26 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

59% 88% +$1,898

Politics

36% 82% +$1,105

Sports

3% 93% +$203

Tech

2% 85% -$105

Crypto

0% 83% -$124

Pop-Culture

0% 95% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 1468 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+5,772	$5,736	100¢	$5.8K	+$31	10-26 00:07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+5,744	$5,723	100¢	$5.7K	+$12	10-25 21:59
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+4,358	$4,353	100¢	$4.4K	-$2	10-24 18:51
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+4,545	$3,453	93¢	$4.2K	+$783	10-24 18:36
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+3,134	$2,973	81¢	$2.6K	-$422	10-24 11:40
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+2,075	$2,070	100¢	$2.1K	+$3	10-22 17:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1,821	$1,161	92¢	$1.7K	+$523	10-23 07:05
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+1,400	$1,370	100¢	$1.4K	+$27	10-24 18:51
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+5,355	$1,599	25¢	$1.3K	-$257	10-24 18:25
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+1,259	$1,258	100¢	$1.3K	-$1	10-20 01:06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+1,144	$1,142	99¢	$1.1K	-$4	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,123	$1,095	96¢	$1.1K	-$17	10-24 17:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,184	$1,089	89¢	$1.1K	-$32	10-26 18:27
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,060	$1,052	100¢	$1.1K	+$4	10-25 21:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	+1,024	$1,006	100¢	$1.0K	+$16	10-25 20:09
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+999	$997	100¢	$998	+$1	10-21 23:51
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$997	99¢	$992	-$6	10-24 02:22
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+1,020	$925	96¢	$974	+$49	10-07 05:02
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+960	$959	100¢	$959	$0	09-20 16:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+934	$932	99¢	$929	-$3	10-23 20:49
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+924	$923	99¢	$918	-$4	09-19 23:29
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	+953	$906	96¢	$916	+$11	10-22 21:44
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$832	90¢	$900	+$68	10-26 19:52
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+892	$891	100¢	$889	-$2	09-21 22:52
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+896	$855	99¢	$888	+$33	10-25 16:47
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	No	+890	$886	98¢	$872	-$13	10-26 03:44
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+869	$868	100¢	$868	$0	10-02 13:55
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+865	$237	99¢	$854	+$617	10-25 17:41
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+865	$860	99¢	$853	-$7	10-24 03:51
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+849	$844	99¢	$843	$0	10-25 17:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	63	$104.8K	52,934	52,004	+930	No	-$51	09-19 16:42
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	119	$17.9K	9,925	8,014	+1,912	No	-$5	09-20 14:34
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	224	$5.7K	5,772	80	+5,692	open	—	10-26 00:07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	203	$5.7K	5,744	109	+5,635	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	176	$4.4K	4,358	234	+4,124	open	—	10-24 18:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	92	$3.5K	3,555	453	+3,102	No	+$27	10-25 23:11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	232	$3.5K	4,545	37	+4,509	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	134	$3.0K	3,134	69	+3,065	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	124	$2.9K	2,984	14	+2,970	No	+$39	09-20 19:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	76	$2.5K	2,554	0	+2,554	No	+$84	10-25 22:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	140	$2.3K	2,989	98	+2,891	Yes	-$2,354	10-24 23:15
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	98	$2.1K	2,075	83	+1,992	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	52	$1.9K	1,933	763	+1,170	No	+$5	10-25 23:11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	253	$1.6K	5,355	33	+5,323	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	104	$1.6K	1,980	44	+1,935	No	+$407	10-23 10:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	49	$1.5K	1,512	493	+1,019	No	+$12	10-26 00:11
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	100	$1.4K	1,693	1	+1,692	No	+$289	09-20 19:12
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	61	$1.4K	1,914	1	+1,912	No	+$520	10-04 21:53
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	68	$1.4K	1,400	67	+1,333	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	56	$1.3K	1,259	2,647	-1,388	open	—	10-23 03:37
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	20	$1.2K	1,253	2	+1,251	open	—	10-26 03:11
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	18	$1.2K	1,180	0	+1,180	No	+$3	09-20 23:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	85	$1.2K	1,821	0	+1,821	open	—	10-23 07:05
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	22	$1.1K	1,144	1	+1,143	open	—	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	36	$1.1K	1,123	47	+1,076	open	—	10-24 17:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	38	$1.1K	1,184	6	+1,178	open	—	10-26 18:27
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	50	$1.1K	1,085	14	+1,072	No	+$11	09-20 18:00
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	34	$1.1K	1,060	7	+1,053	open	—	10-25 21:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	28	$1.0K	1,024	1	+1,023	open	—	10-25 20:09
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	26	$997	1,000	47	+953	open	—	10-24 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:06:45	Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x37333b…
10-26 20:05:50	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x67065b…
10-26 20:05:12	Will Vincent Kompany win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7683bc…
10-26 20:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x00a0ee…
10-26 20:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbf556a…
10-26 20:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa603f8…
10-26 20:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x003a69…
10-26 20:00:09	Will Anthony Davis win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x460bc3…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0xcd1abf…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 27?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9d5db0…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x3483e8…
10-26 19:55:35	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in November?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd6de80…
10-26 19:55:08	Will Éric Zemmour win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2633a7…
10-26 19:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x586b89…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa9967b…
10-26 19:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd9711c…
10-26 19:52:24	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0x49df1d…
10-26 19:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xaac026…
10-26 19:49:41	Will GamerLegion win PARI Universe?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c19b4…
10-26 19:39:57	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdeea1e…
10-26 19:39:57	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x98ea04…
10-26 19:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9f5a5f…
10-26 19:37:27	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x063f2d…
10-26 19:32:48	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0xd16614…
10-26 19:32:18	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x52f900…
10-26 19:30:03	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcae6be…
10-26 19:29:59	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xe2eb56…
10-26 19:23:32	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x65856c…
10-26 19:22:18	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0xedd273…
10-26 19:21:21	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xfe31fb…
10-26 19:19:51	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x3852a5…
10-26 19:07:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x715ff2…
10-26 19:07:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x3a6e98…
10-26 19:04:48	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$11	0xdc4fb7…
10-26 19:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	81¢	$61	0x7fc8e3…
10-26 19:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6b3a66…
10-26 19:01:12	Will Mikel Arteta win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x26954b…
10-26 18:59:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xe4570f…
10-26 18:59:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcfd064…
10-26 18:54:27	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xc617c9…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb7d98…
10-26 18:52:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x2ee3e7…
10-26 18:52:29	Will David Njoku be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb927a9…
10-26 18:51:21	Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbca351…
10-26 18:43:26	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x647c29…
10-26 18:40:35	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3d3da…
10-26 18:39:00	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x9b86d9…
10-26 18:38:59	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x3a323e…
10-26 18:36:21	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0xad0a43…
10-26 18:33:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xbea79d…
10-26 18:29:00	Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xec5b0c…
10-26 18:29:00	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xc9d1d2…
10-26 18:28:47	Will Himesh Patel win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0fc687…
10-26 18:27:53	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x3558a1…
10-26 18:24:03	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xe65212…
10-26 18:21:14	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x46c70a…
10-26 18:12:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x0df7b5…
10-26 18:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5834dc…
10-26 18:12:15	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x7ac7f1…
10-26 18:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f28d6…
10-26 17:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x0eef32…
10-26 17:55:33	Will The Joint List win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xeb00f1…
10-26 17:55:33	Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x4716ee…
10-26 17:55:12	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3a461d…
10-26 17:53:15	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x120c88…
10-26 17:52:53	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd09f6e…
10-26 17:52:27	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0xa1fa08…
10-26 17:52:27	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x808c24…
10-26 17:52:26	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x7794de…
10-26 17:52:23	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x177ee4…
10-26 17:48:36	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xcebbe2…
10-26 17:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa989c3…
10-26 17:46:23	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x58e0ae…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5a26f6…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x339953…
10-26 17:44:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf60bbb…
10-26 17:44:14	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x81c143…
10-26 17:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x2ad7ba…
10-26 17:40:08	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xab916b…
10-26 17:40:06	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc48b0a…
10-26 17:40:05	Will Mikel Arteta win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x480a27…
10-26 17:38:29	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd1736b…
10-26 17:21:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xcb14f9…
10-26 17:21:23	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x4347a3…
10-26 17:21:23	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x3baad8…
10-26 17:21:21	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xc4b2e3…
10-26 17:21:21	Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x771fc3…
10-26 17:21:21	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x658c2f…
10-26 17:21:21	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x4c163e…
10-26 17:21:21	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x45f211…
10-26 17:21:21	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x3c552d…
10-26 17:21:21	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x238e3d…
10-26 17:15:54	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe2eb75…
10-26 17:12:27	Will Jude Bellingham finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x08e50d…
10-26 17:09:14	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xfc01df…
10-26 17:08:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x8e069b…
10-26 17:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde3fa2…
10-26 17:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd1a3e8…
10-26 17:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb39bf6…
10-26 17:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xd27fe2…