Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$984

Unrealized P&L

+$2.51K

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved (30d)

5,341

Trades (30d)

18,234

33,029 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$343.0K

$689.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$28.5K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 10-28 00:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

59% 88% +$1,474

Politics

36% 82% +$1,079

Sports

3% 93% +$203

Tech

2% 85% -$283

Crypto

0% 84% -$121

Pop-Culture

0% 95% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 1468 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1,821	$1,161	96¢	$1.7K	+$587	10-23 07:05
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,753	$1,612	92¢	$1.6K	+$1	10-27 21:30
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,414	$797	98¢	$1.4K	+$588	10-27 21:17
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+1,144	$1,142	100¢	$1.1K	-$2	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,123	$1,095	95¢	$1.1K	-$23	10-24 17:09
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,060	$1,052	98¢	$1.0K	-$10	10-25 21:04
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,184	$1,089	87¢	$1.0K	-$61	10-26 18:27
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$997	99¢	$992	-$6	10-24 02:22
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+1,020	$925	96¢	$981	+$55	10-07 05:02
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+966	$650	100¢	$965	+$315	10-27 19:38
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+960	$959	100¢	$959	$0	09-20 16:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+934	$932	100¢	$931	-$1	10-23 20:49
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	+953	$906	97¢	$924	+$19	10-22 21:44
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+924	$923	100¢	$920	-$3	09-19 23:29
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$832	92¢	$915	+$83	10-26 19:52
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+896	$855	99¢	$890	+$36	10-25 16:47
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+892	$891	99¢	$886	-$5	09-21 22:52
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	No	+890	$886	98¢	$871	-$15	10-26 03:44
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+869	$868	100¢	$868	$0	10-02 13:55
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+865	$860	99¢	$853	-$7	10-24 03:51
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+1,121	$862	76¢	$848	-$15	10-27 13:23
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+865	$237	98¢	$847	+$610	10-25 17:41
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+849	$844	100¢	$845	+$2	10-25 17:16
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+800	$798	100¢	$799	+$1	10-27 09:06
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+791	$344	99¢	$783	+$439	10-26 10:27
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+773	$770	98¢	$760	-$9	10-26 20:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+725	$702	98¢	$707	+$4	10-27 05:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+715	$702	94¢	$670	-$32	10-23 15:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+979	$694	66¢	$641	-$52	10-25 17:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+794	$619	79¢	$628	+$8	09-30 17:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	63	$104.8K	52,934	52,004	+930	No	-$51	09-19 16:42
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	119	$17.9K	9,925	8,014	+1,912	No	-$5	09-20 14:34
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	224	$5.7K	5,772	80	+5,692	No	+$37	10-26 00:07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	203	$5.7K	5,744	109	+5,635	No	+$22	10-25 23:01
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	176	$4.4K	4,358	234	+4,124	No	+$5	10-24 18:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	92	$3.5K	3,555	453	+3,102	No	+$27	10-25 23:11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	232	$3.5K	4,545	37	+4,509	No	+$1,098	10-25 23:01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	134	$3.0K	3,134	69	+3,065	No	+$167	10-25 23:01
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	124	$2.9K	2,984	14	+2,970	No	+$39	09-20 19:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	76	$2.5K	2,554	0	+2,554	No	+$84	10-25 22:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	140	$2.3K	2,989	98	+2,891	Yes	-$2,354	10-24 23:15
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	98	$2.1K	2,075	83	+1,992	No	+$6	10-25 23:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	52	$1.9K	1,933	763	+1,170	No	+$5	10-25 23:11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	253	$1.6K	5,355	33	+5,323	Yes	-$1,610	10-25 23:01
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	51	$1.6K	1,753	51	+1,702	open	—	10-27 22:01
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	104	$1.6K	1,980	44	+1,935	No	+$407	10-23 10:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	49	$1.5K	1,512	493	+1,019	No	+$12	10-26 00:11
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	100	$1.4K	1,693	1	+1,692	No	+$289	09-20 19:12
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	61	$1.4K	1,914	1	+1,912	No	+$520	10-04 21:53
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	68	$1.4K	1,400	67	+1,333	No	+$31	10-25 23:01
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	56	$1.3K	1,259	2,647	-1,388	No	+$4	10-23 03:37
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	20	$1.2K	1,253	2	+1,251	open	—	10-26 03:11
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	70	$1.2K	2,152	8	+2,144	open	—	10-27 21:41
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	18	$1.2K	1,180	0	+1,180	No	+$3	09-20 23:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	85	$1.2K	1,821	0	+1,821	open	—	10-23 07:05
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	22	$1.1K	1,144	1	+1,143	open	—	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	36	$1.1K	1,123	47	+1,076	open	—	10-24 17:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	38	$1.1K	1,184	6	+1,178	open	—	10-26 18:27
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	50	$1.1K	1,085	14	+1,072	No	+$11	09-20 18:00
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	34	$1.1K	1,060	7	+1,053	open	—	10-25 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:16:21	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x52b677…
10-28 00:56:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	397	0¢	$0	0xb8accc…
10-28 00:46:21	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	341	0¢	$0	0x5a63f8…
10-28 00:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x898fe4…
10-27 23:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	219	0¢	$0	0x16aec4…
10-27 23:46:21	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7f09f1…
10-27 23:46:21	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x170d52…
10-27 23:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x1f8377…
10-27 23:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xfe0595…
10-27 23:36:21	Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	192	0¢	$0	0x4d55bb…
10-27 23:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x42bf80…
10-27 22:36:21	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x75b550…
10-27 22:36:21	Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x27fc3e…
10-27 22:31:21	Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0xbb505f…
10-27 22:21:21	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xd24b28…
10-27 22:01:21	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x797ec3…
10-27 21:56:21	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	202	0¢	$0	0xc0364d…
10-27 21:41:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xad23d7…
10-27 21:41:21	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb06969…
10-27 21:36:21	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc5629b…
10-27 21:31:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x54993a…
10-27 21:30:06	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xce72ba…
10-27 21:25:51	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbaaa06…
10-27 21:25:51	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	No	BUY	75	68¢	$51	0x229e9b…
10-27 21:25:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4842b7…
10-27 21:24:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc8a800…
10-27 21:23:44	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xe3ab1d…
10-27 21:23:44	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x9b0234…
10-27 21:23:42	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xa9cad9…
10-27 21:22:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x62fa97…
10-27 21:21:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x379dad…
10-27 21:21:09	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3bcb25…
10-27 21:20:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x06c4f2…
10-27 21:17:12	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa999b6…
10-27 21:17:11	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2280d7…
10-27 21:16:51	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xaf96e6…
10-27 21:16:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4828dd…
10-27 21:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe7ca95…
10-27 21:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc8e44f…
10-27 21:14:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x136d2b…
10-27 21:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x1a1eaa…
10-27 21:13:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x28d9c5…
10-27 21:12:45	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa15d18…
10-27 21:12:45	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x445c15…
10-27 21:12:44	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd278d9…
10-27 21:12:44	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xbc8795…
10-27 21:12:42	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xf99bdc…
10-27 21:12:42	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4631ca…
10-27 21:12:42	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x00b8fb…
10-27 21:12:41	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x3a6554…
10-27 21:12:30	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x0b436e…
10-27 21:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xf6e018…
10-27 21:10:53	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0xa12c8b…
10-27 21:09:18	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x6f557e…
10-27 21:06:42	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xeaf931…
10-27 21:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x33ad48…
10-27 21:06:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x2b28db…
10-27 21:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x2a1f03…
10-27 21:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbfc811…
10-27 21:06:02	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x61c609…
10-27 21:04:11	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xef8079…
10-27 21:03:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x150161…
10-27 21:02:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4f6e70…
10-27 21:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0b1891…
10-27 21:00:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x668560…
10-27 20:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x110861…
10-27 20:58:32	Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x82d5d5…
10-27 20:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x8b7e28…
10-27 20:50:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xaf34b9…
10-27 20:47:53	Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xed0b24…
10-27 20:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3c1a48…
10-27 20:46:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xc59385…
10-27 20:43:51	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0e107c…
10-27 20:42:00	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xd2fa9e…
10-27 20:41:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 0%-10%?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x830956…
10-27 20:41:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x1a2241…
10-27 20:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x712880…
10-27 20:39:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x478eac…
10-27 20:39:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x6a697b…
10-27 20:38:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0xd0f2b9…
10-27 20:37:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x0216e8…
10-27 20:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x115b95…
10-27 20:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4a25c5…
10-27 20:36:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xbaf8db…
10-27 20:36:21	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xc41423…
10-27 20:36:21	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x9369c5…
10-27 20:36:21	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x18bc73…
10-27 20:36:21	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x16b63f…
10-27 20:36:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x666d82…
10-27 20:36:14	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x04fd2f…
10-27 20:36:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x3e3a2a…
10-27 20:35:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x0d9bcc…
10-27 20:31:14	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xacb192…
10-27 20:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x73e319…
10-27 20:30:20	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x5ef3d5…
10-27 20:30:20	Will Srđan Milivojević win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2fcacc…
10-27 20:30:00	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xdad0d1…
10-27 20:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xf2aaee…
10-27 20:27:27	Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x382871…
10-27 20:27:11	Will Jamahal Hill be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31bfd9…