Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.56K

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

8,440

Trades

33,147

lifetime

Volume

$692.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$29.6K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 10-28 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

59% 88% +$1,459

Politics

36% 82% +$1,079

Sports

3% 93% +$203

Tech

2% 85% -$283

Crypto

0% 84% -$121

Pop-Culture

0% 95% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 1468 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+2,061	$1,392	96¢	$2.0K	+$587	10-28 05:00
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+2,039	$1,419	97¢	$2.0K	+$559	10-28 04:31
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,753	$1,612	93¢	$1.6K	+$26	10-27 21:30
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+1,144	$1,142	100¢	$1.1K	-$2	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,123	$1,095	96¢	$1.1K	-$22	10-24 17:09
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,060	$1,052	99¢	$1.1K	-$1	10-25 21:04
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,184	$1,089	87¢	$1.0K	-$55	10-26 18:27
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$997	99¢	$992	-$6	10-24 02:22
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+1,020	$925	96¢	$981	+$55	10-07 05:02
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+966	$650	100¢	$965	+$315	10-27 19:38
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+960	$959	100¢	$959	$0	09-20 16:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+934	$932	100¢	$931	-$1	10-23 20:49
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	+953	$906	97¢	$924	+$19	10-22 21:44
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+924	$923	100¢	$920	-$3	09-19 23:29
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$832	92¢	$915	+$83	10-26 19:52
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	No	+920	$915	98¢	$901	-$14	10-28 04:52
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+896	$855	99¢	$890	+$36	10-25 16:47
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+892	$891	99¢	$885	-$6	09-21 22:52
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+869	$868	100¢	$868	$0	10-02 13:55
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+865	$860	99¢	$854	-$6	10-24 03:51
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+1,121	$862	76¢	$848	-$15	10-27 13:23
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+865	$237	98¢	$847	+$610	10-25 17:41
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+849	$844	100¢	$845	+$2	10-25 17:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+850	$824	97¢	$825	+$1	10-28 04:31
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+800	$798	100¢	$799	+$1	10-27 09:06
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+791	$344	99¢	$783	+$439	10-26 10:27
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+773	$770	99¢	$762	-$8	10-26 20:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+715	$702	93¢	$668	-$34	10-23 15:17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+657	$649	100¢	$655	+$6	10-28 03:35
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+655	$654	100¢	$652	-$2	10-28 04:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	63	$104.8K	52,934	52,004	+930	No	-$51	09-19 16:42
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	119	$17.9K	9,925	8,014	+1,912	No	-$5	09-20 14:34
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	224	$5.7K	5,772	80	+5,692	No	+$37	10-26 00:07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	203	$5.7K	5,744	109	+5,635	No	+$22	10-25 23:01
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	176	$4.4K	4,358	234	+4,124	No	+$5	10-24 18:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	92	$3.5K	3,555	453	+3,102	No	+$27	10-25 23:11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	232	$3.5K	4,545	37	+4,509	No	+$1,098	10-25 23:01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	134	$3.0K	3,134	69	+3,065	No	+$167	10-25 23:01
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	124	$2.9K	2,984	14	+2,970	No	+$39	09-20 19:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	76	$2.5K	2,554	0	+2,554	No	+$84	10-25 22:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	140	$2.3K	2,989	98	+2,891	Yes	-$2,354	10-24 23:15
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	98	$2.1K	2,075	83	+1,992	No	+$6	10-25 23:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	52	$1.9K	1,933	763	+1,170	No	+$5	10-25 23:11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	253	$1.6K	5,355	33	+5,323	Yes	-$1,610	10-25 23:01
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	51	$1.6K	1,753	51	+1,702	open	—	10-27 22:01
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	104	$1.6K	1,980	44	+1,935	No	+$407	10-23 10:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	49	$1.5K	1,512	493	+1,019	No	+$12	10-26 00:11
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	47	$1.4K	2,039	6	+2,033	open	—	10-28 04:31
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	100	$1.4K	1,693	1	+1,692	No	+$289	09-20 19:12
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	61	$1.4K	1,914	1	+1,912	No	+$520	10-04 21:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	94	$1.4K	2,061	0	+2,061	open	—	10-28 05:00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	68	$1.4K	1,400	67	+1,333	No	+$31	10-25 23:01
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	56	$1.3K	1,259	2,647	-1,388	No	+$4	10-23 03:37
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	20	$1.2K	1,253	2	+1,251	open	—	10-26 03:11
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	70	$1.2K	2,152	8	+2,144	open	—	10-27 21:41
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	18	$1.2K	1,180	0	+1,180	No	+$3	09-20 23:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	22	$1.1K	1,144	1	+1,143	open	—	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	36	$1.1K	1,123	47	+1,076	open	—	10-24 17:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	38	$1.1K	1,184	6	+1,178	open	—	10-26 18:27
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	50	$1.1K	1,085	14	+1,072	No	+$11	09-20 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:26:20	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x9748cd…
10-28 05:21:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xadb04f…
10-28 05:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x8aaf2a…
10-28 05:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf1ed02…
10-28 05:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x6c3400…
10-28 05:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x45fa80…
10-28 05:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb7c4c2…
10-28 05:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7a646f…
10-28 05:00:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x5d447e…
10-28 04:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc22b67…
10-28 04:57:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdcb112…
10-28 04:53:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x6cb114…
10-28 04:52:02	Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x04b8c4…
10-28 04:51:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd0fca5…
10-28 04:50:20	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb2e6b6…
10-28 04:49:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x61f9ce…
10-28 04:49:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x1792b2…
10-28 04:48:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3fb3ae…
10-28 04:47:08	Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x3cd1c3…
10-28 04:47:07	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5bd872…
10-28 04:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x486a15…
10-28 04:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xac82ae…
10-28 04:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1ead27…
10-28 04:36:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x26e27d…
10-28 04:33:31	Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xacc5be…
10-28 04:31:53	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	625	100¢	$622	0xd8a262…
10-28 04:31:11	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x6364ef…
10-28 04:30:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf71b52…
10-28 04:25:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbff73a…
10-28 04:23:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4c3305…
10-28 04:20:28	Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4e22e0…
10-28 04:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4959bc…
10-28 04:18:14	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6f3da1…
10-28 04:18:13	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xe70077…
10-28 04:18:13	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x5c6ad0…
10-28 04:16:07	Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3599b8…
10-28 04:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbf7c7b…
10-28 04:13:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xcb61df…
10-28 04:13:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x183385…
10-28 04:12:38	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x4d0cbc…
10-28 04:12:38	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x178f6c…
10-28 04:05:55	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xe45cce…
10-28 03:54:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd7535f…
10-28 03:40:33	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x183b76…
10-28 03:36:18	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x3b12d5…
10-28 03:35:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x1fb947…
10-28 03:35:48	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x8f0f68…
10-28 03:35:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9b0c4d…
10-28 03:34:10	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x993e31…
10-28 03:34:07	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x4ec97f…
10-28 03:34:06	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xeb22de…
10-28 03:34:06	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb9888a…
10-28 03:34:06	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x5c68fc…
10-28 03:34:06	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0a5590…
10-28 03:34:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x86380d…
10-28 03:31:21	Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x47c945…
10-28 03:29:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x749873…
10-28 03:27:46	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	75	76¢	$57	0x8cf527…
10-28 03:23:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xba7c54…
10-28 03:22:13	Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8edf64…
10-28 03:21:42	Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x37c3d8…
10-28 03:21:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe561b6…
10-28 03:21:31	Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8405b9…
10-28 03:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 28?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x82432c…
10-28 03:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe5d52d…
10-28 03:15:33	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x6b19e4…
10-28 03:15:33	Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x48d6d2…
10-28 03:15:33	Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2b74fd…
10-28 03:11:21	Will Tajikistan win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x015bdb…
10-28 03:04:21	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5c8e74…
10-28 03:01:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xdbade2…
10-28 03:01:17	Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x782792…
10-28 02:55:56	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x0303bb…
10-28 02:55:41	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x61ac98…
10-28 02:52:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x904134…
10-28 02:51:23	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xdb3d20…
10-28 02:51:21	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x5552af…
10-28 02:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0dd320…
10-28 02:50:29	Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x8cfd33…
10-28 02:50:29	Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6f4150…
10-28 02:50:09	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x936897…
10-28 02:50:08	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x1100a3…
10-28 02:49:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x9e3a5a…
10-28 02:47:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 230,000 and 245,000?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x59feac…
10-28 02:47:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 275,000 and 290,000?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x1ed739…
10-28 02:47:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xabef88…
10-28 02:39:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xdabb28…
10-28 02:39:27	Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5fdc5…
10-28 02:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x22fa1c…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x96d0fe…
10-28 02:20:48	Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x096c64…
10-28 02:18:51	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x08a5ba…
10-28 02:18:38	Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xc4cde6…
10-28 02:17:59	Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x27ed89…
10-28 02:16:33	Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x112b7b…
10-28 02:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xee43ac…
10-28 02:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x605578…
10-28 02:12:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xde9e2e…
10-28 02:11:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xa38ecb…
10-28 02:11:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4d6e2b…