Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.51K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.35K

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved (90d)

8,211

Trades (90d)

30,270

30,270 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$646.1K

$646.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$44.9K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 10-27 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

59% 88% +$1,512

Politics

36% 82% +$1,105

Sports

3% 93% +$203

Tech

2% 85% -$283

Crypto

0% 83% -$124

Pop-Culture

0% 95% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 1468 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+5,772	$5,736	100¢	$5.8K	+$28	10-26 00:07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+5,744	$5,723	100¢	$5.7K	+$15	10-25 21:59
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+4,545	$3,453	100¢	$4.5K	+$1,087	10-24 18:36
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+4,358	$4,353	100¢	$4.4K	-$2	10-24 18:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1,821	$1,161	94¢	$1.7K	+$541	10-23 07:05
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+1,144	$1,142	100¢	$1.1K	-$4	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,123	$1,095	95¢	$1.1K	-$31	10-24 17:09
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,060	$1,052	99¢	$1.1K	+$2	10-25 21:04
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,184	$1,089	88¢	$1.0K	-$45	10-26 18:27
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	+1,024	$1,006	100¢	$1.0K	+$16	10-25 20:09
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+999	$997	100¢	$998	+$1	10-21 23:51
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$997	99¢	$992	-$6	10-24 02:22
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+1,020	$925	96¢	$974	+$49	10-07 05:02
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+960	$959	100¢	$959	$0	09-20 16:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+934	$932	100¢	$930	-$1	10-23 20:49
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+924	$923	99¢	$919	-$4	09-19 23:29
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	+953	$906	96¢	$917	+$12	10-22 21:44
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,000	$832	92¢	$915	+$83	10-26 19:52
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+896	$855	99¢	$890	+$36	10-25 16:47
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+892	$891	100¢	$890	-$1	09-21 22:52
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	No	+890	$886	98¢	$873	-$13	10-26 03:44
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+869	$868	100¢	$868	$0	10-02 13:55
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+865	$237	99¢	$855	+$618	10-25 17:41
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	+865	$860	99¢	$853	-$7	10-24 03:51
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+849	$844	100¢	$845	+$1	10-25 17:16
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	+807	$787	100¢	$806	+$19	10-25 20:09
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+1,046	$806	75¢	$781	-$24	10-22 21:59
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+773	$770	100¢	$769	$0	10-26 20:42
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+755	$753	100¢	$753	$0	10-22 13:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+715	$702	96¢	$683	-$19	10-23 15:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	63	$104.8K	52,934	52,004	+930	No	-$51	09-19 16:42
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	119	$17.9K	9,925	8,014	+1,912	No	-$5	09-20 14:34
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	224	$5.7K	5,772	80	+5,692	open	—	10-26 00:07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	203	$5.7K	5,744	109	+5,635	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	176	$4.4K	4,358	234	+4,124	open	—	10-24 18:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	92	$3.5K	3,555	453	+3,102	No	+$27	10-25 23:11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	232	$3.5K	4,545	37	+4,509	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	134	$3.0K	3,134	69	+3,065	No	+$167	10-25 23:01
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	124	$2.9K	2,984	14	+2,970	No	+$39	09-20 19:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	76	$2.5K	2,554	0	+2,554	No	+$84	10-25 22:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	140	$2.3K	2,989	98	+2,891	Yes	-$2,354	10-24 23:15
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	98	$2.1K	2,075	83	+1,992	No	+$6	10-25 23:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	52	$1.9K	1,933	763	+1,170	No	+$5	10-25 23:11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	253	$1.6K	5,355	33	+5,323	open	—	10-25 23:01
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	104	$1.6K	1,980	44	+1,935	No	+$407	10-23 10:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	49	$1.5K	1,512	493	+1,019	No	+$12	10-26 00:11
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	100	$1.4K	1,693	1	+1,692	No	+$289	09-20 19:12
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	61	$1.4K	1,914	1	+1,912	No	+$520	10-04 21:53
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	68	$1.4K	1,400	67	+1,333	No	+$31	10-25 23:01
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	56	$1.3K	1,259	2,647	-1,388	No	+$4	10-23 03:37
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	20	$1.2K	1,253	2	+1,251	open	—	10-26 03:11
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	18	$1.2K	1,180	0	+1,180	No	+$3	09-20 23:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	85	$1.2K	1,821	0	+1,821	open	—	10-23 07:05
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	22	$1.1K	1,144	1	+1,143	open	—	10-18 12:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	36	$1.1K	1,123	47	+1,076	open	—	10-24 17:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	38	$1.1K	1,184	6	+1,178	open	—	10-26 18:27
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	50	$1.1K	1,085	14	+1,072	No	+$11	09-20 18:00
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	34	$1.1K	1,060	7	+1,053	open	—	10-25 21:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	28	$1.0K	1,024	1	+1,023	open	—	10-25 20:09
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	26	$997	1,000	47	+953	open	—	10-24 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x52629e…
10-26 23:41:21	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xee916a…
10-26 23:41:21	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x53d346…
10-26 23:15:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x9ac94f…
10-26 23:12:59	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in November?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc6b73e…
10-26 23:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xf3da26…
10-26 23:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xd494d6…
10-26 23:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x1a4be6…
10-26 23:06:21	Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x93f886…
10-26 23:04:32	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc0ec08…
10-26 23:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x497837…
10-26 23:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9fc949…
10-26 23:02:53	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb01d4a…
10-26 23:01:21	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xb5f1f6…
10-26 23:01:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x481ebd…
10-26 23:00:03	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd0da4c…
10-26 23:00:03	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcfd103…
10-26 22:58:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69a83d…
10-26 22:58:00	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa37ee9…
10-26 22:57:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xb59c0a…
10-26 22:57:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xaec0be…
10-26 22:55:42	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x594984…
10-26 22:52:48	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb17344…
10-26 22:51:54	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x409796…
10-26 22:51:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd8aafd…
10-26 22:47:57	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0xd32c6e…
10-26 22:45:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x48e9ab…
10-26 22:45:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0be867…
10-26 22:43:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xa2e227…
10-26 22:36:36	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd058a9…
10-26 22:36:21	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x959e31…
10-26 22:36:18	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x8bdada…
10-26 22:34:54	Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7fdd5…
10-26 22:34:45	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xdef751…
10-26 22:29:51	Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xef3ffb…
10-26 22:29:51	Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0xb30696…
10-26 22:29:51	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0x4270dc…
10-26 22:29:51	Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x288733…
10-26 22:29:51	Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0b41a9…
10-26 22:27:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x7332a5…
10-26 22:27:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x28b918…
10-26 22:20:24	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe1e553…
10-26 22:17:44	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xeca638…
10-26 22:17:44	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xe4badf…
10-26 22:17:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc037ef…
10-26 22:16:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xfbeb94…
10-26 22:16:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd70719…
10-26 22:14:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9c189e…
10-26 22:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xfa4fe8…
10-26 22:14:36	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf74d39…
10-26 22:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x197229…
10-26 22:13:03	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$122	0x0acff2…
10-26 22:12:09	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x080570…
10-26 22:11:21	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xd6d8f9…
10-26 22:11:21	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x7596f3…
10-26 22:07:20	Will Amcha Yisrael win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x72bb07…
10-26 22:06:35	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x316363…
10-26 22:06:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x9ee071…
10-26 22:06:21	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x72f2a3…
10-26 22:05:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf03fed…
10-26 22:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xabebf4…
10-26 22:00:11	Will voter turnout be less than 66% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7fe13b…
10-26 22:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7d082a…
10-26 21:58:33	Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9c3aec…
10-26 21:56:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x2c6b96…
10-26 21:52:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x643159…
10-26 21:51:21	Will Alessia Russo win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6616a1…
10-26 21:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x115559…
10-26 21:43:21	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x41902e…
10-26 21:36:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x25a5d0…
10-26 21:28:12	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf0237a…
10-26 21:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xad5114…
10-26 21:27:36	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x75fbd4…
10-26 21:20:33	Will Luis Enrique win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0xc6597e…
10-26 21:20:33	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0x147f75…
10-26 21:20:26	Will Mikel Arteta win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1f930f…
10-26 21:17:54	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xd243f2…
10-26 21:16:21	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfacc8d…
10-26 21:16:21	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf312b6…
10-26 21:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x13cfff…
10-26 21:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x734df5…
10-26 21:11:35	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf7a2f2…
10-26 21:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9fd71a…
10-26 21:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x889f91…
10-26 21:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1fdf2c…
10-26 21:10:27	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0eec6a…
10-26 21:08:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe1c160…
10-26 21:08:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xc3f9f3…
10-26 21:06:54	Will Luis Enrique win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xcacf2a…
10-26 21:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xb89d3f…
10-26 21:01:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8e11af…
10-26 21:01:11	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5b1bcd…
10-26 21:00:24	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xd906f3…
10-26 20:59:27	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7ec5e8…
10-26 20:58:39	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x23658f…
10-26 20:57:08	Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2d18ef…
10-26 20:55:35	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xfea0d9…
10-26 20:49:02	Will Mikel Arteta win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x329856…
10-26 20:44:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0xf68818…
10-26 20:42:20	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x596603…