Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
open
Total volume
$336,872
$38,751 in 24h
Trades
3,609
Unique wallets
352
Liquidity
$72,096
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-10-25
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-26 14:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.5¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $201.5K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $266.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 93 | $1.2K | $229.4K | $228.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 65 | $7.0K | $10.9K | $3.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 86 | $10.1K | $5.5K | +$4.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 108 | $428 | $1.5K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 90 | $7.2K | $194.3K | $187.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 40 | $85 | $13.3K | $13.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $33 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| Median | 49 | $56 | $374 | $318 |
| Below median | 71 | $359 | $2.3K | $1.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 24 | $21 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 24 | $165 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 33 | $793 | $29.7K | $28.9K |
| unranked | 1 | $10.0K | — | +$10.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1253…1913 | Yes | +117,457 | $10,004 | $10,004 | 294 | 10-23 10:29 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +44,876 | $43,071 | $59,589 | 106 | 10-26 14:26 |
| Zany-Son 0x6979…c2a3 | Yes | +41,683 | $6,677 | $6,677 | 64 | 10-20 19:05 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +18,428 | $16,613 | $16,613 | 19 | 10-22 00:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +15,505 | $15,176 | $15,176 | 127 | 10-26 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb936…c2ca | Yes | +12,492 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 10-25 13:02 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +11,287 | $10,658 | $10,658 | 61 | 10-26 03:32 |
| Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | No | +9,842 | $9,120 | $9,433 | 5 | 10-26 00:14 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +8,098 | $6,870 | $6,870 | 15 | 10-20 20:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +6,518 | $6,285 | $6,285 | 52 | 10-26 00:53 |
| Descriptive-Embossing 0x6640…2202 | No | +6,222 | $5,484 | $5,484 | 9 | 10-22 18:04 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +4,400 | $29 | $29 | 66 | 10-26 09:27 |
| Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | +4,043 | $3,941 | $3,941 | 9 | 10-26 09:58 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +3,990 | $3,808 | $3,808 | 32 | 10-25 20:16 |
| Extraneous-Respite 0x08ff…32eb | No | +3,286 | $2,927 | $2,927 | 14 | 10-20 16:31 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +2,989 | $2,592 | $4,524 | 56 | 10-22 06:23 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +2,936 | $2,559 | $4,751 | 28 | 10-25 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +2,759 | $2,682 | $2,682 | 42 | 10-25 20:00 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +2,702 | $2,449 | $2,449 | 21 | 10-25 17:37 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +2,547 | $35 | $79 | 80 | 10-26 00:14 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +2,335 | $2,248 | $2,248 | 49 | 10-25 19:59 |
| Colorless-Compulsion 0xbc60…af79 | No | +2,171 | $1,864 | $1,864 | 6 | 10-19 11:30 |
| Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | Yes | +1,949 | $30 | $30 | 20 | 10-24 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +1,590 | $1,520 | $1,520 | 11 | 10-23 17:36 |
| Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | +1,500 | $1,384 | $1,384 | 7 | 10-21 17:09 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +1,380 | $1,277 | $1,277 | 7 | 10-23 15:23 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +1,263 | $1,207 | $2,676 | 13 | 10-25 19:59 |
| Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | +1,244 | $106 | $19,910 | 36 | 10-22 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +1,206 | $155 | $164 | 40 | 10-21 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +1,206 | $1,037 | $1,037 | 33 | 10-21 09:22 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +1,189 | $1,184 | $1,184 | 11 | 10-26 09:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1,144 | $113 | $113 | 5 | 10-20 20:15 |
| Black-And-White-Cloud 0xa639…a48f | No | +1,130 | $1,125 | $1,125 | 3 | 10-25 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +1,024 | $1,006 | $1,006 | 27 | 10-25 20:09 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +983 | $959 | $959 | 19 | 10-25 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +980 | $93 | $93 | 6 | 10-21 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +980 | $896 | $896 | 7 | 10-21 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc3…fb0b | No | +964 | $735 | $901 | 6 | 10-20 22:53 |
| Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | +810 | $66 | $135 | 8 | 10-25 12:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +752 | $669 | $669 | 13 | 10-25 20:09 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +466 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-23 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +359 | $6 | $6 | 36 | 10-26 00:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +359 | $96 | $254 | 23 | 10-25 12:50 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +318 | $37 | $37 | 6 | 10-21 17:32 |
| Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | +300 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 10-20 20:09 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +295 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-21 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +227 | $54 | $72 | 10 | 10-25 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f62…4fc8 | Yes | +167 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-25 09:52 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | +166 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-17 23:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:26:47 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x9a69a3… |
| 10-26 14:26:47 | Liquid-Plume 0xc741…73f6 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x9a69a3… |
| 10-26 14:26:44 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 450 | 100¢ | $450 | 0xa1185b… |
| 10-26 14:26:44 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 450 | 100¢ | $450 | 0xa1185b… |
| 10-26 10:27:00 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf2e2b5… |
| 10-26 10:27:00 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf2e2b5… |
| 10-26 09:58:20 | Liquid-Plume 0xc741…73f6 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xd5c841… |
| 10-26 09:58:20 | Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xd5c841… |
| 10-26 09:58:18 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 450 | 100¢ | $450 | 0x6bbceb… |
| 10-26 09:58:18 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 450 | 100¢ | $450 | 0x6bbceb… |
| 10-26 09:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x215f…9bda | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23bd78… |
| 10-26 09:49:15 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x23bd78… |
| 10-26 09:35:24 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x1dd1c0… |
| 10-26 09:35:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x1dd1c0… |
| 10-26 09:35:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 162 | 100¢ | $162 | 0xbff064… |
| 10-26 09:35:20 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 162 | 100¢ | $162 | 0xbff064… |
| 10-26 09:35:12 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x4c4dfe… |
| 10-26 09:35:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x4c4dfe… |
| 10-26 09:35:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0x590dcd… |
| 10-26 09:35:06 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0x590dcd… |
| 10-26 09:35:02 | Liquid-Plume 0xc741…73f6 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x36a1e9… |
| 10-26 09:35:02 | Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x36a1e9… |
| 10-26 09:35:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0x9dfee9… |
| 10-26 09:35:00 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0x9dfee9… |
| 10-26 09:34:54 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0xf0e1b1… |
| 10-26 09:34:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0xf0e1b1… |
| 10-26 09:34:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0x66bfd8… |
| 10-26 09:34:48 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 193 | 100¢ | $193 | 0x66bfd8… |
| 10-26 09:34:44 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xefccf1… |
| 10-26 09:34:44 | (anonymous) 0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefccf1… |
| 10-26 09:32:48 | Liquid-Plume 0xc741…73f6 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x4fada7… |
| 10-26 09:32:48 | Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x4fada7… |
| 10-26 09:32:47 | (anonymous) 0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a04e6… |
| 10-26 09:32:47 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x1a04e6… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 402 | 100¢ | $402 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x17bd…6550 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 450 | 100¢ | $450 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6426e… |
| 10-26 09:32:09 | Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1c1eb2… |
| 10-26 09:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x2dfb…4387 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1c1eb2… |
| 10-26 09:32:06 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x770580… |
| 10-26 09:32:06 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x770580… |
| 10-26 09:32:02 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb07cf0… |
| 10-26 09:32:02 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb07cf0… |
| 10-26 09:32:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb07cf0… |
| 10-26 09:32:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd0deb1… |
| 10-26 09:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xdce7…8bcf | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd0deb1… |
| 10-26 09:31:59 | (anonymous) 0xb6db…e8a7 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd8d9ba… |
| 10-26 09:31:59 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 892 | 100¢ | $890 | 0xd8d9ba… |
| 10-26 09:31:59 | Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | BUY | 898 | 100¢ | $896 | 0xd8d9ba… |
| 10-26 09:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8ebdbd… |
| 10-26 09:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x2a9d…4124 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4e5ad3… |
| 10-26 09:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4e5ad3… |
| 10-26 09:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x2dfb…4387 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8ebdbd… |
| 10-26 09:27:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5f921a… |
| 10-26 09:27:33 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5f921a… |
| 10-26 09:27:29 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4dc64a… |
| 10-26 09:27:29 | (anonymous) 0xdce7…8bcf | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4dc64a… |
| 10-26 09:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x1d4f…97f8 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9a6ce9… |
| 10-26 09:27:26 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 353 | 100¢ | $352 | 0x9a6ce9… |
| 10-26 09:27:26 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 217 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6ce9… |
| 10-26 09:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 575 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9a6ce9… |
| 10-26 03:39:03 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4e337… |
| 10-26 03:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xc4e337… |
| 10-26 03:32:59 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 450 | 100¢ | $449 | 0xe4f5a5… |
| 10-26 03:32:59 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 258 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe4f5a5… |
| 10-26 03:32:47 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 400 | 100¢ | $399 | 0xa75bb7… |
| 10-26 03:32:47 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa75bb7… |
| 10-26 02:49:03 | Trustworthy-Aside 0x1b13…4547 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb3470f… |
| 10-26 02:49:03 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3470f… |
| 10-26 02:18:11 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7aa12… |
| 10-26 02:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x6574…a89d | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xe7aa12… |
| 10-26 00:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x685588… |
| 10-26 00:53:35 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x685588… |
| 10-26 00:53:35 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x821ccb… |
| 10-26 00:53:35 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 218 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb06f5e… |
| 10-26 00:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x821ccb… |
| 10-26 00:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 218 | 100¢ | $217 | 0xb06f5e… |
| 10-26 00:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x248033… |
| 10-26 00:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x248033… |
| 10-26 00:52:53 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x248033… |
| 10-26 00:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1e95d… |
| 10-26 00:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb1e95d… |
| 10-26 00:15:21 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x01418e… |
| 10-26 00:15:21 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01418e… |
| 10-26 00:15:21 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01418e… |
| 10-26 00:14:33 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 158 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x127540… |
| 10-26 00:14:33 | Expert-Neuropathologist 0x6560…e164 | No | SELL | 158 | 99¢ | $157 | 0x127540… |
| 10-25 23:24:15 | Periodic-Tanktop 0x8ebf…a0fb | No | BUY | 575 | 100¢ | $573 | 0x1301db… |
| 10-25 23:24:15 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 575 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1301db… |
| 10-25 22:58:44 | Melodic-Giggle 0xc932…e6a5 | No | SELL | 413 | 99¢ | $411 | 0x1095c5… |
| 10-25 22:58:44 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 413 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1095c5… |
| 10-25 22:55:08 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b3898… |
| 10-25 22:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x09b8…e5fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b3898… |
| 10-25 22:28:06 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x09f04a… |
| 10-25 22:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x17fc…caf4 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x09f04a… |
| 10-25 22:25:06 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf5b535… |