Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved

Trades

887

lifetime

Volume

$593

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

12 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 10-28 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

52% 48% -$33

Politics

44% 38% -$9

Sports

4% 0% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	92¢	$4	+$0	10-27 01:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+3	$2	94¢	$3	+$1	10-28 15:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+2	$2	91¢	$2	+$0	10-28 16:36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	10-28 02:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	08-29 13:55
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-28 11:12
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	$0	08-25 08:37
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	08-12 04:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$0	09-20 05:25
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	09-24 05:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	Yes	+139	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-26 19:55
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	10-18 20:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	74	$57	189	47	+142	Yes	-$23	07-20 16:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	73	$26	16	13	+3	open	—	10-28 15:04
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	46	$22	12	11	+0	open	—	10-18 20:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	27	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:30
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	36	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 10:31
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	41	$14	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-29 01:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	15	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	10-27 19:51
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	13	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-06 00:07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	62	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	10-25 20:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	10	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	08-02 06:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$2	06-19 20:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	08-12 00:39
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	9	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-24 09:00
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	13	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-30 05:28
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	25	$8	6	3	+2	open	—	10-28 16:36
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	11	$8	6	2	+5	open	—	10-27 01:27
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	14	$7	5	4	+1	open	—	08-12 04:36
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$7	123	0	+123	No	-$7	06-26 11:06
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$7	281	281	+0	No	-$1	09-20 15:34
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	8	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	10-17 21:28
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	10-28 05:23
Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	6	$6	1,109	0	+1,109	No	-$6	07-20 17:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	13	0	+13	No	-$1	07-02 17:12
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	9	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	08-07 17:31
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	08-04 00:37
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	5	$6	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	07-15 16:22
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	10-27 20:01
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	08-25 08:37
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	10-27 12:51
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	9	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:36:59	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x47f118…
10-28 15:04:29	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x47c1e7…
10-28 14:59:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x92485c…
10-28 14:59:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x60343b…
10-28 14:59:04	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa17324…
10-28 14:26:38	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xedc734…
10-28 14:04:32	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xdf0d35…
10-28 11:12:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74b040…
10-28 10:48:20	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x2ae940…
10-28 09:19:14	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x4b1074…
10-28 09:16:10	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x446c39…
10-28 05:24:20	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x76f6b5…
10-28 05:23:59	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa37a1e…
10-28 05:17:19	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca2ea6…
10-28 04:37:32	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd5c82…
10-28 03:59:37	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x25e1dc…
10-28 02:43:02	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x279f33…
10-27 22:45:39	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca219a…
10-27 21:14:54	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc43a36…
10-27 20:01:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x7d8c9b…
10-27 19:53:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a7d60…
10-27 19:51:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x53cac0…
10-27 17:03:17	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8f8ea8…
10-27 16:06:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x958661…
10-27 16:05:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce2670…
10-27 15:58:27	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65313e…
10-27 15:45:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x27f4d2…
10-27 15:43:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x686e99…
10-27 15:33:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3d659f…
10-27 15:33:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xa4a018…
10-27 15:29:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x52fbad…
10-27 15:28:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x93f5c5…
10-27 15:26:41	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x48cbfb…
10-27 15:17:36	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9da0cd…
10-27 12:51:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7450d1…
10-27 12:15:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x6e7451…
10-27 07:51:30	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xed118d…
10-27 07:32:48	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x270086…
10-27 07:03:57	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb0e7fe…
10-27 06:39:30	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0abe3c…
10-27 01:27:30	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc4cc39…
10-27 01:23:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdce661…
10-26 23:04:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xd85c3f…
10-26 23:00:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x6718e4…
10-26 23:00:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xd96c0a…
10-26 22:37:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xbde47a…
10-26 22:29:30	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ba455…
10-26 22:27:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd3aedf…
10-26 22:27:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x71816a…
10-26 22:01:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xd55f57…
10-26 20:43:38	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa498ef…
10-26 16:37:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x8b99ed…
10-26 12:53:48	Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xea4b44…
10-26 12:20:17	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc641b1…
10-26 09:53:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0xd6f94c…
10-26 09:41:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0395db…
10-26 09:32:45	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe822bb…
10-26 09:27:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e5ad3…
10-26 08:59:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8ecc97…
10-26 08:48:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x56421b…
10-26 07:50:06	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfec5cc…
10-26 07:07:51	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe4b006…
10-26 05:10:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fd2ee…
10-26 04:40:41	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbc1763…
10-25 20:12:24	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xab9c8d…
10-25 20:09:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x590bd3…
10-25 20:07:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x96271d…
10-25 20:05:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd76476…
10-25 19:58:33	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25f3cf…
10-25 16:37:41	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3cd5a6…
10-25 16:17:33	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6c0420…
10-25 16:09:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeee34f…
10-25 15:58:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5d9007…
10-25 15:58:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x47a5ac…
10-25 15:58:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x68f7cb…
10-25 15:58:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2a75be…
10-25 15:58:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xfc74d5…
10-25 15:34:20	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x94c005…
10-25 15:18:29	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2120b2…
10-25 15:14:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xded3ac…
10-25 14:06:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x0d2726…
10-25 14:06:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x705fbd…
10-25 14:06:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcf190b…
10-25 14:06:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9923c7…
10-25 14:06:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xd90f5e…
10-25 14:06:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6fd0c2…
10-25 14:03:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x347ab8…
10-25 13:42:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4b8382…
10-25 13:41:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x004a3d…
10-25 13:41:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf34da8…
10-25 10:22:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9c95ca…
10-25 09:53:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xcf1482…
10-25 08:21:27	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x7fc956…
10-24 21:37:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xbff720…
10-24 21:37:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1af5f5…
10-24 21:37:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x64b73b…
10-24 21:37:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc4a721…
10-24 21:37:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x34137f…
10-24 21:37:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x02e4e4…
10-24 21:37:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x857e3c…